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Dynasty League Rookie Round Up - Week 1

Rookie results and values after Week 1. Charlie Kleinheksel breaks down rookie values for dynasty leagues heading into Week 2 of the 2017 NFL season.

Each week, I'll take a quick look at the top rookies in dynasty fantasy football leagues. I'll review their recent performance (PPR scoring) and offer some thoughts about their upcoming games as well as their long term dynasty value.

As the season progresses, the format might change a bit, but for Week 1, I'll review all the high profile prospects, as well as some surprises. I've sorted them by their Week 1 fantasy points.

Let's get to it.

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Week 1 Rookie Standouts

Quarterbacks

DeShone Kizer, Cleveland Browns - 20.8 points - What more do you want? He won the starting job in camp. The Browns liked him enough to cut Brock Osweiler. He started the first game of the season and put up a very competitive fantasy stat line. Will he be a superstar? Who knows. He could bust, like Blake Bortles. Even sure things like Andrew Luck don't always turn out as expected. For now, Kizer is a solid streaming option and is worth holding in dynasty leagues where you have bench room to accommodate a developmental quarterback.

Deshaun Watson, Houston Texans - 6.7 points - You want a lot more than this. He's got draft pedigree, but let's face it, the Texans haven't exactly handled the quarterback position well in recent years. Maybe it's all the Texans' fault for starting Savage in the first place. Then again, the Texans will be managing Watson for the next five years. Part of one game is obviously not enough to go by, so I won't condemn Watson's career yet. But there's not much need to roster him in standard formats unless rosters are very deep or you're very desperate.

 

Running Backs

Kareem Hunt, Kansas City Chiefs - 45.6 points - Hunt may never again score 45 fantasy points in a game; he is virtually guaranteed to regress in a negative way. When he does, see if you can acquire Hunt for anything approaching a reasonable price. Opportunity is the name of the game at the running back position, and Hunt has it in spades. Spencer Ware is out of the way, and Charcandrick West is just a backup. Even better (for Hunt), the Chiefs have a terrible cap situation next year, which makes it less likely that any significant competition is brought in. They may even release one of Ware or West, for some cap relief. Hunt is looking at a couple of seasons at least of great opportunity, and is worth at least an early first round rookie pick.

Tarik Cohen, Chicago Bears - 25.3 points - Cohen may never again score 25 fantasy points in a game; so what? He should definitely be rostered in all dynasty formats. You may decide to wait until the hype (and his price) dies down a bit, but definitely keep him on the radar. Cohen's size is a concern, but just because it's rare for small players to succeed long term doesn't mean it can't happen. Near-term, Cohen's opportunity is very good. Jordan Howard will remain the workhorse, but Cohen should continue to get some rushing work and a lot of passing work, since the Bears figure to be trailing a lot. For reference, here are all the rookie running backs since 2000 to record more than 50 rushing yards and 10 targets in a game:

One game does not predict the future. But you couldn't ask for a much better signal than Cohen's Week 1 performance. He's worth a large waiver bid or at least a high second-round rookie pick, in my opinion. Blowing your entire FAAB budget for the year on him might be a bit extreme though.

Leonard Fournette, Jacksonville Jaguars - 21.4 points - Not much needs to be said here. T.J. Yeldon was inactive, which bodes very well for Fournette's involvement in the passing game. Consider it an early boost to his already considerable upside. Easily worth more than a first round rookie pick.

Dalvin Cook, Minnesota Vikings - 16.7 points - Another no-brainer. Latavius Murray earned just two carries, and Jerick McKinnon three. Breaking Adrian Peterson's Vikings' rookie rushing record speaks for itself. Also worth more than a first round rookie pick.

Marlon Mack, Indianapolis Colts - 11.5 points - A promising beginning, but don't get carried away. We've been trying to bury Frank Gore for years and it hasn't happened yet. Mack scored, but was also stymied on all but one run. Blowout losses offer poor representations of how a team wants to utilize its players. Still, the arrow is definitely pointing up; he's worth an early second round rookie pick, maybe more.

Christian McCaffrey, Carolina Panthers - 11.5 points - McCaffrey was involved early and often in his debut, and his outlook remains fantastic. It was always a given that Jonathan Stewart would be heavily involved, but McCaffrey offers much more as a receiver, and will still get ground work too. Stewart is unlikely to be back next year, and McCaffrey is worth a first round pick plus something.

Joe Mixon, Cincinnati Bengals - 5.4 points - It's hard to lose dynasty value after one game, but Mixon comes close. The workload was split between all three backs, with Giovani Bernard showing the best, and Mixon the poorest. His long term outlook is still great, but his immediate outlook is poor. He's still worth an early first round rookie pick, but if he has another bad game or two, see if you can acquire him for something less.

 

Wide Receivers

Kenny Golladay, Detroit Lions - 22.9 points - Touchdowns are notoriously fickle, so don't read too much into his two Week 1 scores. Market share of receiving opportunity, on the other hand, is a good indicator. Golladay rendered Marvin Jones irrelevant in Week 1. Like most rookies, expect Golladay to have ups and downs. But pay attention to his usage, and if he remains consistently involved, especially ahead of Jones, over the next few weeks, his value will solidify. As it is, he's worth a first round rookie pick.

Cooper Kupp, Los Angeles Rams - 17.6 points - Kupp also had a very nice debut and his value is climbing. Unlike Golladay, however, Kupp has a potential superstar (Sammy Watkins) to compete with. He's also got a poorer QB and is on a team that probably wants to feature Todd Gurley. Kupp's worth an early second rounder.

Corey Davis, Tennessee Titans - 12.9 points - His college production and draft pedigree lock in his value, and his surprisingly good debut only helps. After missing most of camp, expectations for Week 1 were low. Davis performed very well however, and remains, in my opinion, the most valuable rookie in dynasty formats.

Zay Jones, Buffalo Bills - 3.1 points - Not a great debut, but the overall situation remains positive. Jones has a very good prospect profile, and not much competition for targets. If Buffalo upgrades their quarterback this offseason, Jones' situation could be even better. An early second-round value.

 

Tight Ends

Evan Engram, New York Giants - 8.4 points - The absence of Odell Beckham obviously helps, but Engram's involvement in Week 1 is a great indicator for his future usage. Of all the rookie tight ends, Engram has the most value for this season. He'll probably finish outside the top 12, but should be streamable if you need a spot start. The tight end position is usually undervalued in dynasty leagues, for two reasons. First, you typically only need to start one. Second, it usually takes a season or two for tight ends to develop. Engram's a solid hold if you have him, and if you can get him for anything less than a mid-first round pick I'd do it. But only if you have roster space to hold him.

George Kittle, San Francisco 49ers - 7.7 points - He's not a great prospect, but should get used in San Francisco's talent-short passing game. I'd stay away. Between the rookie TE learning curve, the poor offense, and the high likelihood that more skill players are brought in next year, I don't think Kittle's value will hold up. If you own him and aren't desperate at the position, consider selling him for anything more than what you initially paid.

Gerald Everett, Los Angeles Rams - 4.9 points - Everett's a better prospect than Kittle, but also has more competition for targets around him. Only worth holding in the deepest of leagues or if you're truly in dire straits. I'd happily sell for anything more than I paid.

David Njoku, Cleveland Browns - 4 points - Arguably the best prospect at the position, his short term outlook isn't as good as Engram's. Partly that's because Engram has the better QB (Week 1 notwithstanding), but also because Cleveland has an underrated sophomore tight end by the name of Seth DeValve. Njoku will eventually be the No. 1, but it might take awhile. Hold steady if you're an owner; if not, try to acquire after a few dull weeks.

 

More 2017 Dynasty League Strategy




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Gabriel Landeskog

Out for Several Weeks
Jamie Drysdale

Makes Early Exit Tuesday
Bobby Brink

Injured in Tuesday's Win
Adam Henrique

Expected to Miss Time
Brad Marchand

Dealing With Lingering Health Issue
Haydn Fleury

Hospitalized Tuesday
Moussa Diabaté

Ryan Kalkbrenner Out, Moussa Diabate Probable Wednesday
Brandon Miller

Listed as Probable Wednesday
Alex Caruso

Absent for Second Consecutive Game
Nicolas Claxton

Available Wednesday
Moritz Wagner

Still Out Wednesday
Franz Wagner

Not Ready to Return Wednesday
Jalen Suggs

Remains Out Wednesday
Draymond Green

Questionable to Suit Up Wednesday
Jalen Smith

Ruled Out for Second Straight Game
Matas Buzelis

Could Miss First Game of the Season Wednesday
Coby White

May Skip Wednesday's Game
Cade Cunningham

Probable for Wednesday
Isaiah Hartenstein

to Remain Out Wednesday
Kelly Oubre Jr.

Could Return to Action Wednesday
Tim Hardaway Jr.

May Remain Out Wednesday
Christian Braun

Listed as Questionable for Wednesday
Aaron Gordon

Iffy for Wednesday
Jamal Murray

Considered Questionable for Wednesday Night
Max Strus

to Miss Another Month
Vince Williams Jr.

Making Return Tuesday Against Spurs
Trae Young

Listed as Questionable for Wednesday
New York Giants

John Harbaugh Expected to be Favorite to Become New Giants Head Coach
Mason Marchment

Out Tuesday
Sean Monahan

Available Tuesday
Jason Zucker

Set to Return From 11-Game Absence
Matvei Michkov

a Game-Time Call Tuesday
Matthew Schaefer

Cleared for Action Tuesday
Baltimore Ravens

John Harbaugh Won't Return as Ravens Head Coach
Adam Fox

Landing Back on Long-Term Injured Reserve
Seth Jarvis

Back for Hurricanes Tuesday
Bo Bichette

Unlikely to Return to Toronto?
Jordan Love

Ready to Start in Wild-Card Game Against Bears
CFB

Jadan Baugh Staying with Florida for Junior Season
Washington Commanders

Commanders "Mutually" Parting Ways With OC Kliff Kingsbury
CFB

Byrum Brown Officially Commits to Auburn
CFB

Austin Simmons Signing with Missouri
Jake McCabe

to Sit Out One Week
Hampus Lindholm

to Miss Time
Christian Dvorak

Flyers Sign Christian Dvorak to Five-Year Extension
Igor Shesterkin

Exits With Lower-Body Injury Monday
Joel Armia

Hurt in Monday's Win
Anze Kopitar

Sustains Lower-Body Injury Monday
Matthew Schaefer

a Game-Time Call Tuesday
Jamie Benn

to Miss at Least Two Games
CFB

Ty Simpson Undecided on 2026 Plans
CFB

Quarterback AJ Hill Following Ryan Silverfield to Arkansas
Atlanta Falcons

Falcons Have Requested an Interview With Klint Kubiak
Deshaun Watson

Browns Expect Deshaun Watson to be on the Team Next Year
Wan'Dale Robinson

Dealing With Fractured Ribs
Cam Skattebo

Hopes to be Back by Training Camp
Cameron Ward

Won't Need Surgery on his Shoulder
Davante Adams

Rams Expect Davante Adams to Return in Wild-Card Round
Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals Fire Head Coach Jonathan Gannon
Las Vegas Raiders

Raiders Fire Head Coach Pete Carroll
Malik Nabers

Unsure if He Will Be Ready for Week 1 of 2026 Season
CFB

Trinidad Chambliss Will Return to Ole Miss If Granted Sixth Year of Eligibility
Cincinnati Bengals

Zac Taylor Will Return as Bengals Head Coach in 2026
New York Giants

Giants Expected to Show Interest in Former Browns Head Coach Kevin Stefanski
Daniel Jones

Colts, Daniel Jones Appear to Have "Mutual Interest" in a 2026 Reunion
Cleveland Browns

Browns Fire Kevin Stefanski After Another Losing Season
Zay Flowers

Goes Off for 138 Yards, Two Touchdowns in Loss
Bo Bichette

Phillies Have Interest in Bo Bichette
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Dominates in Week 18 Win
Cameron Ward

Believed to Have Grade 3 AC Joint Sprain in Right Shoulder
Colston Loveland

Leads Bears in Targets, Receptions, Receiving Yards in Week 18
Kansas City Royals

Matt Quatraro Signs Three-Year Extension With Royals
CFB

Transfer QB Billy Edwards Commits to North Carolina
CFB

Sam Leavitt Visiting Texas Tech on Saturday
CFB

DJ Lagway Expected To Visit Florida State
Kyle Tucker

Blue Jays "Remain the Favorite" to Sign Kyle Tucker
CFB

Joey Aguilar Undergoes Surgery to Remove Tumor on Friday
CFB

Texas the "Team to Beat" for Transfer Running Back Isaac Brown
CFB

Rocco Becht to Follow Matt Campbell to Penn State?
CFB

Texas Targeting Cam Coleman in Transfer Portal
CFB

Former Texas Running Back CJ Baxter Visiting Kentucky
CFB

Beau Pribula Visiting Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech
Bo Bichette

Yankees Showing Interest in Bo Bichette
Houston Astros

Astros Sign Tatsuya Imai to Three-Year Deal

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