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The top daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on 9/24/20. Brian Entrekin's MLB DFS analysis and sleepers for building optimal DFS rosters.
We head into Thursday night with a 6 game slate on tap. It is a pretty straight forward slate as there are many high-priced pitchers to target. There are the lock and load play of Corbin Burns and then looking for an SP2. The bats, on the other hand, they are aplenty. They are also expensive. Saving on pitching and finding some value bats will make stacking the big dogs very easy.
When looking at the slate it comes down to which SP2 are we using. Lance Lynn is a strong candidate and so is Ian Anderson, but if you want to save money and pay for more bats then punting with the likes of Kris Bubic or even Mike Fiers because apart of the discussion. The stacks are pretty simple tonight as you can roll with the Red Sox, Braves, Dodgers, and a few other high priced targets. There should be plenty of offense tonight so full stacks may not be as strong as 2-3 man stacks to get exposure to multiple strong offenses.
In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on 9/24/2020. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel, and other sports too. If you have any questions or comments, contact me on Twitter @bdentrek.
DraftKings DFS Starting Pitchers
Corbin Burnes - P, MIL at STL ($8,400)
Burnes may be the hottest pitcher in all of baseball and DK decides to price him at only $8400 tonight. He should be the chalk of the chalk and he will be what they call good chalk. I will take the risk of a Burnes blow up and eat the chalk. If multi-entering having a non-Burnes lineup or a Cardinals stack is a solid game theory play. Over his last five starts, he has allowed one run over 29.2 innings for a 0,30 ERA and a 1.75 xFIP. He has seven or more strikeouts in every start and has a 36.6 K-BB%. He has been absolutely dominant and faces a Cardinals team that is striking out over 26% of the time with a .129 ISO vs RHP in the month of September. I will be eating all the Burnes chalk tonight.
Kris Bubic - P, KC vs DET ($6,600)
Bubic does not jump off the screen as a top-notch arm, but his price tag tonight is quite the gift as an SP2. In his nine starts, he has allowed more than two earned runs only twice. In his last four starts, he has struck out at least six with a 1.99 ERA and a 26.3% strikeout rate. He is allowing a 9.8% barrel rate and a 37.7% hard-hit rate over that stretch on his way to 17 or more DK points in each of the four starts. He faces the Tigers tonight who in the month of September is striking out nearly 28% of the time to LHP with a .155 ISO. Bubic paired with Burnes gives a nice 1-2 pitching combo with plenty of money for some high-end bats.
DraftKings DFS Infielders
Jacob Nottingham - C, MIL at Kwang Hyun Kim ($2,00)
When I look at small slates with some expensive stacks I want to attack, I look to punt catcher. Nottingham fits the mold perfectly. Usually, a $2K catcher can barely make contact with the ball, looking at you Jeff Mathis. That is not the case with Nottingham. He will not hit for a high average but does bring power to the plate. In the month of September, he has .303 ISO, a 14.3% barrel rate, and a 42.9% hard-hit rate. When he makes contact it is very loud. On the season, in a short sample, he is three for nine vs LHP with three home runs. It is an all or nothing type play, but one with a ton of upside. If you would like something safer like playing the pricier options mentioned below.
Other Options: Salvador Perez (KC vs DET) $5,300, Christian Vazquez (BOS vs BAL) $4,500
Bobby Dalbec - 1B, BOS vs Alex Cobb ($3,800)
For a player that we did not expect to hit for average, but rather just flex his muscle, Bobby D has been quite the surprise. Over his last 14 games, he has hit safely in 11 of 14 games for a .320 average. The power is definitely there with six home runs and a .420 ISO, 29.6% barrel rate, and a 48.1% hard-hit rate. There is some concern as he is still striking out 41.1% of the time and has a .476 BABIP. The bright side is when he does make contact the result is usually really strong. He has a strong matchup vs Cobb tonight and will look to stay hot with the rest of the Red Sox team.
Other Options: Freddie Freeman (ATL vs MIA) $5,500
Rougned Odor - 2B, TEX vs Christian Javier ($4,100)
Obviously Odor is GPP only, he is always GPP only as he is a boom or bust type play. Over his last 10 games, he is only hitting .216, but has hit safely in seven of the 10 games and has five home runs. He is averaging 10.1 DK points per game over those 10 games. More importantly, Odor faces Javier tonight who has allowed 2.1 HR/9 to LHH, making Odor a strong home run candidate tonight as he looks to add another bomb to his nice run.
Other Options: Ozzie Albies (ATL vs MIA) $5,500
Rafael Devers - 3B, BOS vs Alex Cobb ($5,500)
Devers had a very slow start to the season, but the month of September has been much better, hitting .317 for the month. He also has eight extra-base hits with a .407 wOBA over the month. One thing Devers has always done well when he's feeling it is making the consistent very strong quality of contact and that is not different in September with a 16.7% barrel rate and a 50% hard-hit rate. On the season he has hit .298 with a .309 ISO vs LHP and is in a great spot vs Cobb tonight.
Other Options: Max Muncy (LAD vs OAK) $5,400, Jedd Gyorko (MIL at STL) $3,700
Adalberto Mondesi - SS, KC vs Michael Fulmer ($5,000)
Remember the good ole days when Mondesi was a bargain night after night? Yeah, that was nice, but at least he has earned the price bump. He rolls into Thursday night on a three-game hitting streak and has hit safely in five of his last seven games. He is hitting .286 with three extra-base hits and four stolen bases. He is setting the table for a streaky offense, an offense that went off on Wednesday night, and an offense that has a great matchup vs Fulmer tonight.
Other Options: Corey Seager (LAD vs OAK) $5,800,
DraftKings DFS Outfielders
Alex Verdugo - OF, BOS vs Alex Cobb ($4,000)
Verdugo rolls into tonight's cushy matchup vs Cobb with a 10 game hitting streak. He has been raking all month, hitting safely in all but two games, good for a .368 average. He has been as steady as they come, especially for cash game builds. He has not showcased a ton of power, but gets on base for the big boys and scores runs, racking up DK points. If stacking the Red Sox or just looking for a strong cash game floor, look at the nice price on Verdugo.
Austin Hays- OF, BAL at Martin Perez ($2,500)
Hays returned from the IL on the 14th and has been feeling it at the plate. He has hit safely in seven of the 10 games, good for a .371 average. He has 13 total hits and a .424 wOBA over that stretch. He rolls into tonight's game with a five-game hitting streak where he has scored five or more points in each game, including 20 points last night. He has been hitting near the top of the order and brings some major value upside vs Perez tonight.
Marcell Ozuna - OF, ATL vs Pablo Lopez ($5,000)
Freddie Freeman may be the NL MVP, but Ozuna is having an equally strong season. In the month of September alone he has hit safely in all but three games for a .378 average. He has obviously been flexing his muscle with a .367 ISO, .496 wOBA, and nine home runs. He has driven in 30 runs as well, just stuffing the stat sheet all over the place. His quality of contact is just insane over a stretch like this with a 19.1% barrel rate and a 57.4% hard-hit rate. The Braves are in another smash spot tonight and they are pricey but do not forget Ozuna in your stacks tonight.
DraftKings DFS Stacks
- Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles (Alex Cobb, RHP)
- Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins (Pablo Lopez, RHP)
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs Oakland Athletics (Bryce Mike Fiers, RHP)
- Sneaky Stack- Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers (Michael Fulmer, RHP)
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