MLB Home Run Player Prop Bets Today: Best Hitter HR Props (6/1/2025)

June 1, 2025

Thunder Dan's best MLB player prop bets for today (6/1/2025). Bet his home run props (HR props) and win money betting on MLB player props.

It's a super Sunday for home run props, and I'm about to do something that we haven't done all season in this feature. I recommend seven (yes, SEVEN) home run props for today's games. The weather looks great across the nation, and I have a feeling there will be long balls launched at a high rate. I have a pick at just about every position and a whole range of odds, so pick and choose wisely, or just run all seven, but let's have some fun with these today!

On this page, you'll read about my favorite home run props from MLB games on Sunday, June 1, 2025. Odds for each pick are from DraftKings or FanDuel Sportsbook and are subject to change throughout the day. I like to target guys with higher odds in these articles, so keep that in mind when reading!

Remember to shop around at other sportsbooks to find the best odds, which gives you more value on your bets. It's also essential to only risk a small portion of your bankroll on home run props since they're tough to win. Let's get to the picks already!

MLB Prop Bets - Today's Home Run Prop Picks (6/1/2025)

Here are the hitters I'll cover for Sunday, June 1:

• Mike Tauchman, Chicago White Sox
• Jackson Holliday, Baltimore Orioles
• Carlos Santana, Cleveland Guardians
• George Springer, Toronto Blue Jays
• Francisco Lindor, New York Mets
• Elly De La Cruz, Cincinnati Reds
• Oneil Cruz, Pittsburgh Pirates

Mike Tauchman OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+700 DraftKings Sportsbook)

I love attacking home run props in Camden Yards, specifically with left-handed hitters when the wind blows out to right field.

We have that exact situation today, and a couple of very worthy candidates for home runs with great odds. Let's start with the White Sox side and lefty Mike Tauchman.

Playing in relative obscurity for the White Sox, not many folks probably realize that Tauchman is on fire since rejoining the team last week after missing most of the season with an injury. Tauchman was 3-4 at the plate yesterday for his third straight multi-hit game, raising his average to .371 on the season. He has just one home run, but he has only had 35 at-bats this season.

Since he's returned to the lineup, he is slugging .625 against RHP with a .250 ISO. He faces Charlie Morton today, who is back in the rotation after spending time in the bullpen. Morton has given up seven home runs at home this season, five of those to left-handers.

Jackson Holliday OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+560 FanDuel Sportsbook)

It's been a disappointing start to the season for the Orioles, but one silver lining is that their young second baseman is breaking out. After homering in yesterday's game, Holliday is now up to seven long balls on the season, five of which were hit in May.

Jackson Holliday slugs his first career leadoff homer - with his father Matt and brother Ethan in attendance! pic.twitter.com/6ImX5trMOg

— MLB (@MLB) May 31, 2025

We've seen big improvements from him in his approach as he's cut his K% down to just 19% in May, and since he's making contact more often, he's been promoted into the leadoff spot for the Orioles. In May, he slugged .553 and had an ISO of .245.

Today, his opponent on the mound is Adrian Houser. The veteran is a groundball pitcher who has made a career out of keeping the ball down and pitching to contact. He's made two solid starts for the White Sox, but I don't trust him to be this good for long. He's always struggled with left-handed hitters, and Holliday has the type of launch angle to his swing that can elevate Houser's sinker and drive it a long way over that right field fence.

Carlos Santana OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+600 FanDuel Sportsbook)

Another lefty with great odds today is the veteran first baseman Carlos Santana of the Cleveland Guardians. He's arguably been the best hitter in this lineup over the last month, especially against RHP, as he's slugging .597 with a .274 ISO. He's a very patient hitter with a walk rate that's higher than his strikeout rate.

Carlos Santana wallops one to right to tie things up in Cleveland 💥 pic.twitter.com/lx7dA50HPn

— MLB (@MLB) May 31, 2025

Santana's home run yesterday was one of two hits, and he's now collected two or more hits in three of his last four. I love the matchup here as he's facing Angels RHP Jack Kochanowicz. He's done a decent job of keeping the ball on the ground with a 51% GB%, but he also has wide splits as lefties are hitting .308 and slugging .515 against him this season. He's given up eight of his nine home runs to LHH this season, and with how dialed in at the plate Santana has been, I love our chances at a dinger here at some very long odds.

Small sample size alert, but Santana is 2-4 against Kochanowicz with a home run, too.

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George Springer OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+440 FanDuel Sportsbook)

I promise I am not only choosing players who homered yesterday, but I do like rolling with hitters who appear to be hot, and Springer qualifies as he left the yard twice yesterday and is now 5-12 at the plate in this series against the Athletics.

George Springer has his first multi-homer game since August 20, 2024.pic.twitter.com/qn8MQlJ3u0

— BlueJays Muse (@TORBlueJaysMuse) May 31, 2025

When we use smaller samples of hitting splits, things can get a bit out of whack, but Springer has been fantastic against lefties over the last month. He's eighth in MLB among hitters with at least 20 at-bats with a .429 ISO.

The Jays are facing lefty JP Sears, who is coming off his worst outing of the season, allowing nine earned runs on ten hits to Houston. He's now given up 19 earned runs over his last three starts and continues to have a home run problem, which he's struggled with for the last few seasons.

Francisco Lindor OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+340 FanDuel Sportsbook)

This is pretty simple. I wanted a Mets right-handed hitter in the worst way today, as the Rockies are rolling out Carson Palmquist and his 8.78 ERA and 93% Z-Contact rate. Palmquist has just a 33% GB%, too, so we should see the Mets get the ball in the air, which usually leads to some home runs.

The Mets have won 25 straight games when Francisco Lindor homers! pic.twitter.com/kxrP6W4fNs

— Metsmerized Online (@Metsmerized) May 31, 2025

Lindor homered off lefty Kyle Freeland yesterday and has the best overall numbers against LHP over the past month of any Met. He's having a great year in terms of power with 12 bombs on the season, and I think there's a solid chance he racks up another home run today.

Elly De La Cruz OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+550 DraftKings Sportsbook)

Anytime we have a few questionable pitchers taking the mound in Cincy, I am always intrigued by the chances of some home runs, as that park continues to be a gold mine for offense and home runs.

Jameson Taillon is on the hill for the Cubs, and he's having a decent season for them. But he's struggled against LHH throughout his career, and De La Cruz has impressive power against RHP. Over the last month, he has a .314 ISO, which is the 20th-best mark in baseball during that stretch.

Nine of his 11 home runs have come against RHP this season, and six of those have been at home in the friendly confines of Great American Ball Park. These odds are pretty awesome for a player of his caliber.

Oneil Cruz OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+360 FanDuel Sportsbook)

We finish with another athletic freak of nature with the last name Cruz. Oneil Cruz is having a breakout season of his own, slugging 12 home runs for the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Cruz is facing right-hander Randy Vasquez of the Padres. Vasquez gives up a ton of contact with only a 6.6% SwStr% and a 91.8% Z-Contact%. Lefties are slugging .485 against him this year with five home runs.

Meanwhile, 11 of Cruz's 12 home runs have come against RHP. He's sporting an ISO of .242 over the last month. I love taking high-strikeout power hitters like Cruz against low-K, high-contact pitchers like Vasquez. Hopefully, we get another Cruz missile launched today and can cash this bet at relatively solid odds.

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