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Our new NASCAR “By the DFS Numbers” Race Previews feature a combination of statistical package highlights from Loop Data reports and the RotoBaller Cup Series Research Station.
Loop Data, which are the advanced statistics that are electronically recorded by NASCAR to more accurately illustrate how drivers perform, are showcased here as very relevant indicators. Loop Data stats are useful in DFS NASCAR to tell us which drivers have performed the best at particular tracks. They determine how a driver actually fares without the negative factors of crashes, car issues, and pit problems. Do keep in mind that with the Cup Series now featuring the Next Gen car, Loop Data statistics are helpful, but not rigid factors in projected performances.
The NASCAR Research Station is one of our most important features in the RotoBaller NASCAR Season Pass package. It is a deluxe suite of advanced NASCAR statistics that can help you identify the top drivers and value plays for ideal lineup constructions every week. It includes historical, recent, and projected stats and more Loop Data. If you want to work on your fantasy NASCAR setup with all the best statistical tools, this is your numerical garage for DraftKings and FanDuel lineup building.
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Pennzoil 400: By The DFS Numbers
Drivers are listed in order of preference for usage. Research Station indicators are in italics. All Loop Data stats are for the last four races at Las Vegas Motor Speedway dating back to 2020 unless otherwise indicated. We use DraftKings prices as a basis, but most of what we recommend should also be applied to FanDuel lineup builds.
Kyle Larson – Leads in Driver Rating at Las Vegas in the past four races at the site dating back to 2020 (117.9). Was fastest in practice. He can lead a good amount of laps starting on the front row. Larson has 13 DraftKings Fantasy Points Gained vs. Similar Drivers in recent races at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. He has the highest Implied Odds to win at 15 percent.
Ryan Blaney – Third in Driver Rating at Las Vegas in the last four races at the site (110.3). Leads in Average Running Position (6.2).
Joey Logano – Tied with Elliott for the second-best Implied Odds to win at Las Vegas this week. Won the first race at the site in 2019 and 2020. Driver Rating of 7.7 Points Gained vs. Similar Drivers in recent races at Vegas, best among all drivers. He is tied for the second-best Implied Odds to win at LVMS this week (eight percent). Second-best in DraftKings Fantasy Points Gained vs. Similar Drivers in recent Vegas starts (14.3).
Chase Elliott – Fourth in DR at Las Vegas Motor Speedway dating back to 2020 (107.3). Leads in Fastest Laps Run (145).
William Byron – Leads in Green Flag Passes (520). Third in Fastest Laps Run (97). Third in Quality Passes (passes of cars in the Top 15 while under Green Flag conditions, 314). Could push to the front of the pack after starting 14th. Was fourth-fastest in practice.
Research Station highlights for the Pennzoil 400
Denny Hamlin – Second in Driver Rating (114.7). First in Laps Led at LVMS (305) in the last four races at the site dating back to 2020.
Alex Bowman – Second in Quality Passes (passes of cars in the Top 15 while under Green Flag conditions, 329). Could provide some good Place Differential output starting from 13th. A quality mid-range play on DraftKings at $8700.
Kyle Busch – Fourth among Closers (average of three spots gained in the final 10 percent of races at Las Vegas). Starts 37th and is an obvious PD target even though he may not contend for the win. Kyle Busch is third-best in DR all-time at LVMS (101.1).
Kurt Busch – He is another obvious PD play because he starts 31st. Kurt Busch finished eighth in his last LVMS start. He won the second race at the site in 2020. He has 11.5 Fantasy Points Gained vs. Similar Drivers at 1.5 mile tracks.
Erik Jones – Fourth in Green Flag Passes (479). Starts 23rd and could be good for respectable Place Differential production. Quality DraftKings salary saver at $7300.
Daniel Hemric – Was ninth-fastest in practice. Has been a top Xfinity driver at LVMS, with four consecutive Top 5 finishes at the site and he placed in Top 3 a total of three times during that span. Second in Laps Led in the Xfinity Series in the last four races at the site leading up to Saturday (74). He finished third at Las Vegas on Saturday. Usually we do not recommend dipping below $6000 on DraftKings, but Hemric is a prime value play at $5800.
Daniel Suarez – The Research Station gives him a 29 percent chance of finishing in the Top 10, tied for second-best among all drivers below $7500. Suarez starts 21st, so there is some PD upside to consider here. Suarez finished 15th in his LVMS start.
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The Keys to Weekly NASCAR DFS Success
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