DraftKings PGA DFS Lineup Picks - The Sony Open (2026)

January 14, 2026

Spencer's DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks for the Sony Open (2026). His PGA DFS targets and value plays for daily fantasy golf lineups, and golfers to avoid.

Welcome, everyone, to my DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks and advice for the 2026 Sony Open. I'll be providing DFS picks and analysis to help you set those winning DraftKings lineups.

New starting this year -- if you want to see a deeper dive into my DraftKings analysis and thoughts for the week, you can click that link and find my beefed-up version, including more picks, data, analysis, and PGA DFS models.

Be sure to follow me on Twitter /X @TeeOffSports to get more answers this week. Also, if you aren't doing so already, I'd love for you to consider signing up for my RotoBaller premium subscription. There are numerous tools available, including my heralded 'PGA Rankings Wizard Model.'

Fantasy PGA DraftKings Lineup Picks - The Sony Open

Below are some of my favorite picks for DraftKings. We also have tons of other great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools, and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.

PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - Spencer's Model (And More)

We have some exciting changes that we are implementing this year over at RotoBaller. There will be multiple subscription-based tiers for our readers to enjoy, including my very own TeeOffSports VIP Package that will include the following items:

PGA Rankings Wizard Model (Pre-Tournament)

• A powerful and interactive data spreadsheet that allows users to input data to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you are considering signing up, take a look at this how-to guide on everything you can find weekly inside my pre-tournament model. The sheet is loaded with sortable and weighable information to help you in all sectors of the market. 
• The Sony Open

Vegas Report (All Pre-Tournament Bets)

• Top Pre-Tournament H2H Pick: (104-60-9) 63.41%
• All Pre-Tournament H2Hs: (353-277-34) 56.00%
• In-Tournament H2Hs (361-250-69) 59.08%
• Total H2Hs Since 2017: (714-527-103) 57.53%
• Outright Winners Since 2017: 55
• Units: +341.218 Units
• All Totals Are Entering 2026
• Click here to see an example

In-Tournament Model (Updated Stats + User Configuration Ability)

• Here, you will find updated stats for the particular tournament -- all sortable and weighable when you make a copy of your own under the file tab. The purpose of this is to provide an area where you can research the daily proceedings for DFS strategy or find outright or daily head-to-head wagers. There are over 25 weighable categories by the time Round 4 comes around, including the ability to add back in your pre-tournament research for every day.

In-Tournament Head-To-Head Bets For Rounds 1,2,3 and 4

• Lifetime Record:
• (361-250-69) 59.08%
• Click here to see an example

First-Round Leader/ 3-Ball Articles

• Twelve first-round leader wins over the last few years.
• Click here to see an example

One & Done (Deep-Dive Into Potential Options To Consider)

• 10+ million in earnings during two of the past three seasons while providing information for contests. We will take a comprehensive look at a handful of options to consider.
• Click here to see an example

Late DraftKings Article (Condensed Player Pool) + Ownership Trends

• We will build off the Monday article throughout the week and consolidate selections toward a more concrete player pool for everyone to consider by Wednesday.

Premium Discord Access

• Join the community! You will be able to talk to fellow subscribers and have real-time weekly chats with the team.

TeeOffSports membership

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• You can also try things out for $14.99 per week or get the complete PGA Platinum package from everyone on the team for $299.99. I believe that deal is one of the best offers in the space and includes work from Joe Nicely, Patrick Gates, Ian McNeill, Todd McGill, Matt Miller and myself.

Let's Look at the Stats

The Sony Open Field

• Field Size: 120
• Cut: Top-65 & Ties
• Top 20 Entrants: 7

Last Five Winners of The Sony Open

Expected Cut-Line

Waialae Country Club

7,044 Yards - Par 70 - Greens Bermuda

• Narrow fairways - flat grounds - predictive course history.
• Par-four scoring emphasized because over 67% of shots occur from 125-200 yards — 12.5% higher than a typical test.
• Easy scoring but will likely have wind present — rain leading into the week will make it a little softer.
• Driving accuracy helps, but it is not as if it is the only metric to pinpoint. I liked using fairways gained + GIR rates to deliver a more compact ball-striking return.
• Comp courses: Harbour Town, Royal Birkdale, Colonial, Port Royal, TPC San Antonio, Sea Island

Course breakdown will land in my Vegas Report this week

First Look Into Outright Bets

Check my Vegas Report and the Discord chat room.

Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA and Betting subscription?

Like what you read today? You can show your support for Spencer by using the promo code TEEOFF when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, Spencer's data models, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get exclusive access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry!

Final 2023 Golf Betting Results:
(Individual breakdowns of all sections in thread) @RotoBaller

2023 (+16.634 Units)
2022 (+67.485 Units)
2021 (+68.846 Units)
2020 (+37.015 Units)
2019 (+27.743 Units)
2018 (+55.88 Units)
2017 (+54.26 Units)

Overall: (+327.863 Units) pic.twitter.com/tuaDfwFXlo

— Spencer Aguiar (@TeeOffSports) November 21, 2023

Favorite DFS Plays for The Sony Open

Russell Henley ($10,300)

The gap in projected price between golfer's number 1-2 in my model is the same as the one we experience from 2-7. That doesn't necessarily mean that a 12/1 Russell Henley is my favorite way to start the year in the outright market when rust and weather are at the forefront of the equation. However, Henley's past course history here should be enough to solidify him as the true favorite in this field and the top value on the board for DFS contests.

I realize we don't see the American on the slate and equate him to the same skill level as Scheffler (which he isn't), but skill gaps are still noticeable when golfers produce at a higher rate than their peers.

Sure, the early-season historical data doesn't quite tell the same story that we may get from the number one player in the world, but the fact that Henley produced as a top-two player in every other sector should be enough to show that he is the cream of this crop. I will be plugging-and-playing Henley this week.

Harry Hall ($9,100)

From a purely contrarian standpoint, I do believe we will see Harry Hall lineups create potential leverage at the Sony Open.

I view this as a spot where most people will likely want to start with one of Henley, Griffin or Spaun (maybe two), and we will see names like Collin Morikawa, Harry Hall and a few of these other $9,000 options go marginally under-owned compared to their counterparts.

In fairness, my model doesn't see a massive disparity in upside once we get past those names above in the image, which means that ownership will be a critical factor for me when deciding what routes I want to take in this $9,000 range. Of the golfers to land in the top-30 of all the categories I weighed this week (seven in total), only one player checked those boxes while being lower priced than Hall on the DraftKings slate.

If you are wondering who that is... it is Daniel Berger. It remains to be seen if I can stomach going down that route to begin 2026. We all know he ruined enough weeks for us here at RotoBaller in 2025.

$7,000 Value Options

Mac Meissner ($7,500), Denny McCarthy ($7,900), Matt McCarty ($7,500), Nico Echavarria ($7,900), Taylor Pendrith ($7,600) -- Maybe some guy named Dan Berger but probably not. 

Many $7,000 options will check boxes for you at the Sony Open if you want to deep-dive this field.

The fact that my model has more options than just those listed above inside the top-25 of its returns should tell you that the $7,000 range is likely as strong as we see from the $8,000s from top-to-bottom, at least according to my math.

If you want more information on those players, check out my model this week or sign up for our community Discord channel.

Also, things can be simple again, Daniel. We were once on much better terms after your 2021 victory at Pebble Beach. Nowadays, not so much.

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More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks

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