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Dawn's NFL DFS sleepers for DraftKings, FanDuel and Week 6 (2023). Her value picks and lineup sleepers for building winning daily fantasy football lineups.
We're on to week 7, RotoBallers, and we're here to guide you through the seventh week of the season and find the sneakiest sleeper values to help you take down your favorite contest. If you're playing cash games, you don't have to have the top QB or RB of the week. But in Guaranteed Prize Pool's (GPP's)? The best way to go is to focus on players with the highest potential upside for their DFS price.
This article will run every week throughout the regular season. It won't include the obvious choices but instead players who appear to be undervalued in current DFS formats. As the values currently sit, players will qualify as a value in DFS (based on DraftKings salaries) for this article if they are a quarterback in the 5k range, running backs who are 6k or less, wide receivers at 5.5k and under, and 4k or less for tight ends. When it comes to tournaments, stacking our quarterback with one of their pass catchers is a must.
It's crucial to prioritize players with higher guaranteed floors and consistency to increase our chances of winning cash games. No matter which game you choose, these picks will come in handy. So, without further ado, let's dive in!
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Quarterback NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 7
Sam Howell, WSH @ NYG | DK: $5,500, FD: $7,400
We have a couple of repeat values from this week, and Howell is one of them. He is currently ranked 9th among quarterbacks with 1500 passing yards, and he had 18.3 fantasy points against the Falcons in Week 6, throwing for 151 yards and three touchdowns. He is projected to put up approximately 15.6 fantasy points against the New York Football Giants this week.
Baker Mayfield, TB vs ATL | DK: $5,300, FD: $6,600
Mayfield had just under seven fantasy points against the Detroit Lions in Week 6, throwing for 206 yards, but is projected to put up 16 fantasy points at home against Atlanta this week. As mentioned above, Sam Howell threw for 151 yards and three touchdowns against the Falcons in Week 6. The Buc's are favored by 2.5 points this weekend, and Mayfield is looking to rebound from a mediocre performance in a two-touchdown loss to the Detroit Lions.
The Bucs were limited to two field goals and had less than 200 total yards before gaining 69 on their final possession. I don't expect the same versus Atlanta, and I see this as a great bounce-back spot for Mayfield and Tampa Bay on Sunday.
Running Back NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 7
Brian Robinson Jr, WSH @ NYG | DK: $5,800, FD: $7,300
Robinson Jr. is ranked ninth among running backs with three rushing touchdowns and faces a Giants defense that is currently the third worst in rushing touchdowns allowed to running backs. He had 13.6 fantasy points against the Falcons in Week 6, rushing for 31 yards and 25 receiving yards for a touchdown.
He is projected to put up 11.6 fantasy points against the Giants in New York on Sunday, and whether the Giants are playing Daniel Jones or Tyrod Taylor, this is an excellent spot for Robinson and the Commanders to get their second win in a row.
Rhamondre Stevenson, NE vs BUF | DK: $5,600, FD: $6,600
The Bills have allowed four rushing touchdowns out of 11 for the season, and Stevenson's dual-threat ability as a rusher and receiver could make him a real thorn in their side. Running backs are averaging a healthy 42 receiving yards per game against Buffalo, the 10th most in the league. With Stevenson's pass-catching skills, he could exploit this weakness and potentially have a big day against the Bills.
Jerome Ford, CLE @ IND | DK: $5,100, FD: $6,600
The Detroit Lions' rushing offense, currently ranked 8th in the NFL with an average of 124.2 yards per game, could find more opportunities against the Indianapolis Colts, who are facing the recent suspension of defensive tackle Grover Stewart. This absence could create some vulnerabilities in the Colts' run defense, which has been a strength for them this season.
Ford, the Lions' rookie running back, could benefit from Stewart's absence. His speed, power, and elusiveness combo could be particularly effective against the Colts, who will now be missing a key piece of their run-stopping unit. Ford's ability to break tackles and gain yards after contact could be crucial in exploiting gaps in the Colts' defense.
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— Scott (@scottd923) September 25, 2023
Wide Receiver NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 7
Terry McLaurin, WSH @ NYG | DK: $5,400, FD: $7,200
The Giants's pass defense has been having a tough time this season, ranking 27th in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game. As a result, McLaurin, the Washington Commanders' top wide receiver, could have a strong game. McLaurin is a dangerous threat to any defense due to his speed, route-running abilities, and reliable hands. He's shown he can get past even the most skilled cornerbacks and make contested catches, making him a reliable target for quarterback Sam Howell.
New York's pass defense has been susceptible to big plays and has struggled to contain opposing receivers, which could create opportunities for McLaurin to showcase his talents. His speed, route-running ability, and reliable hands make him a valuable asset for the Commanders' offense, and he could be poised for a productive outing against the Giants.
Marquise Brown, ARI vs CIN | DK: $5,300, FD: $6,700
The Cincinnati Bengals' passing defense has been inconsistent this season, ranking 14th in the NFL with an average of 213 passing yards allowed per game. The Bengals' secondary has struggled with consistency, often allowing big plays, and Brown could capitalize on their vulnerabilities.
Furthermore, the Bengals' pass rush has been inconsistent, generating only 15 sacks this season. This could give Cardinals quarterback Joshua Dobbs more time in the pocket, allowing him to connect with Brown on deep routes and utilize his playmaking abilities.
Romeo Doubs, GB @ DEN | DK: $4,900, FD: $6,200
Doubs' ability to create separation from defenders will be
crucial to his success against the Broncos. He has demonstrated his knack for getting open consistently, and the Broncos' cornerbacks have shown a tendency to give up big plays. Doubs' speed and agility will allow him to exploit the Broncos' secondary and significantly contribute to the Packers' passing attack.
Furthermore, Doubs' rapport with quarterback Jordan Love will play a crucial role in his performance. The two have developed a strong connection, and Love has shown confidence in targeting Doubs in critical situations. This established chemistry will allow Doubs to be a consistent and reliable target for Love, leading to a productive outing against the Broncos' struggling defense.
Tight End NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 7
Luke Musgrave, GB @ DEN | DK: $3,300, FD: $5,000
Rookie tight end Musgrave is expected to have a good game against the Broncos tomorrow. He has been a consistent target for quarterback Jordan Love this season, and he has the size and athleticism to create mismatches against Denver's cornerbacks. In addition, the Broncos have struggled to defend tight ends in the red zone, which could lead to a touchdown opportunity for Musgrave.
Tyler Higbee, LAR vs PIT | DK: $3,700, FD: $5,000
Higbee is a matchup nightmare for the Steelers' defense. He is too big for cornerbacks to cover and too athletic for linebackers to keep up with. He is also a good route runner and has reliable hands. In the Rams' last game against the Carolina Panthers, Higbee caught five passes for 50 yards and a touchdown. He is a key part of the Rams' offense and should be a factor in the game against the Steelers.
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