BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~218 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~251
ANALYSIS: It's hard to believe that Slayton is so cheap considering how well he played last season. Fantasy managers can draft Darius Slayton right now in the 18th round.
The Giants traded for Darren Waller, who is expected to become Daniel Jones’ top target, pushing both Slayton and Hodgins down the depth chart.
However, the rest of their offseason additions are just average players. Moreover, none of them are true outside receivers like Slayton and Hodgins, which ensures their roles and playing time will remain secure.
Player | TS % | TPG | RPG | RYPG | AYPG | aDot | YPRR | TPRR |
D, Slayton | 19.6% | 6.2 | 3.6 | 54.3 | 72.9 | 12.3 | 1.60 | 18% |
I, Hodgins | 18.2% | 5.8 | 4.4 | 46.4 | 50.7 | 9.0 | 1.45 | 18% |
17-Game Pace (Slayton) | 19.6% | 105.4 | 61.2 | 923.1 | 1,239.3 | 12.3 | 1.60 | 18% |
17-Game Pace (Hodgins) | 18.2% | 98.6 | 74.8 | 788.8 | 861.9 | 9.0 | 1.45 | 18% |
The table above displays statistics from Weeks 11 to 20. Week 11 was the first week Hodgins played more than 50% of the snaps with the Giants. As you can see from their 17-game pace stats, both players offer excellent value in the 15th and 17th rounds, even with the addition of Waller.
From Weeks 4 to 17 where Slayton played 50% or more of the snaps, he finished as a top-24 WR five times and WR33 once.
While it's easy to assume that the addition of Waller and others will diminish the value of Slayton, we should also anticipate more passing volume and a more effective passing attack in 2023. This will be the second year under Brian Daboll, and fantasy managers should expect further improvement.
Last season, the Giants attempted just 30.5 passes per game, ranking 25th in the NFL. With the talent upgrade among the team's pass-catchers, we can anticipate an increase in pass attempts in 2023, which will help offset the additional volume Waller will receive.
If the Giants' offense and Daniel Jones take another step forward this season as they did in 2022, and either Slayton or Hodgins separates themselves from the other receivers, either one of them could reach WR3 territory.
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