BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~166 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~188
ANALYSIS: I really don't think anyone knows what to expect out of Jordan Love as he takes over the Packers, but I think his arm strength alone gives him more upside than other quarterbacks in this range. Sure, Love could crash and burn, but he's simply got more upside than players like Jimmy Garoppolo, Mac Jones, and Ryan Tannehill. Based on ADP, he's the last potential league winner in single-QB leagues.
There are definitely question marks about the supporting cast for Love. Christian Watson had a great rookie year, catching seven touchdowns, and Romeo Doubs has upside. This is still a young group -- Love, a first-year starter, will largely be throwing to players who joined the NFL last year or this year.
There's a reason the Packers drafted Love in the first round in 2020 despite having Aaron Rodgers on the roster: he's got a huge arm. He moves well in the pocket, and he's been fairly on-point with the limited number of NFL throws he's had so far.
I also think that Love having been in this system for so long should allow him to adjust to the starting job quickly. He's not a rookie -- he's entering his fourth season in the NFL. And he wasn't sitting because he was bad -- he was sitting because Aaron Rodgers was out there winning MVPs as the Packers' starting quarterback.
Love has a chance to really surprise some people this season and is well worth a pick late in drafts.
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