Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!


Receive free daily analysis


Already have an account? Log In


Forgot Password


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Top 10 Projected Runs Producers: 2015 Fantasy Baseball Rankings

It can be rather tricky in attempting to properly analyze and predict which players will score the most runs in the future.  Short of Tony Kornheiser playing the fortune teller on PTI, baseball predictions for individuals can be decimated by several factors.  Injury, well-placed defensive shifts and the failure of teammates to come through can all ruin a player’s individual numbers especially in run production.


How To Project Runs In Fantasy Baseball

After assessing the top ten finishers in runs in each of the last three seasons, it appears the best indicator of predicting who will finish in this year’s list is none other than plate appearances.  Certainly a player with a high wOBA will help, but that .410 wOBA means nothing if the player is hitting out of the seven hole.

Conventional thinking also dictates that a player needs to be surrounded and hit in front of high-RBI guys.  That also helps but still is not as high a factor as some would think.  Brian Dozier finished second in runs in 2014 for a Twins team that finished seventh in the league, while Hunter Pence completed his 2014 campaign fourth in runs for a middle-of-the-pack Giants offense that finished 12th in runs scored.

Both Pence and Dozier were two of nine players that finished 2014 with over 700 plate appearances.  Of the remaining seven, two (Mike Trout and Ian Kinsler) finished with 100+ runs scored and another two (Matt Carpenter and Freddie Freeman) crossed home plate over 90 times.  If you’re looking for a formula to mathematically predict runs, it may look something like (PA)(x)=R where “x” is the unseen variable that we will discuss further.  Without further ado, we unleash our prediction for the top ten finishers in runs for 2015, in no particular order.


Who Will Lead The Majors in Runs

1) Mike Trout - LAA, OF

Unless you have been living under a rock the last three seasons, this guy is a no-brainer.  He scored 115 runs in 2014, 109 in 2013 and a ridiculous 129 in 2012.  Preseason Steamer and Fans(46) predictions have him scoring 108 and 112 runs, respectively.  As the reigning AL MVP, Trout will probably be picked first in most leagues as he should be.

2) Miguel Cabrera - DET, 1B

Another no brainer.  Cabrera is a triple crown threat every year and guys that hit HR and for BA will always be threats to score runs.  He has scored at least 101 R in each of the last five seasons and there is no reason to think that trend cannot continue in 2015.

3) Andrew McCutchen - PIT, OF

Although Clayton Kershaw deservedly won the NL MVP last season, McCutchen is arguably the most important player in all of baseball and probably would have won the award if he did not miss 16 games due to injury.  McCutchen’s durability should not be in question as most of his missed time from last season stemmed from a freak accident after a plunking at the hands of Arizona reliever Randall Delgado.  The star centerfielder knows how to get on base and manufacture runs from nothing even if the bottom half of the Pirates lineup doesn’t drive him in conventionally.

4) Anthony Rendon - WAS, 3B

In just a season and a half, Rendon has made his mark as the most consistent hitter for a formidable Nationals lineup.  Most of the Washington starters have missed some time over the last two seasons but Rendon has played the most and seen the most plate appearances.  He finished first in the NL last season with 111 R while seeing only the fifth most PA.  Rendon will play third base this year but there is still an outside shot he is second base position eligible for fantasy teams in 2015.

5) Jose Bautista - TOR, OF/1B

The Blue Jays once again were big players in the offseason and have solidified a lot of question marks on the offensive end.  Even with the addition of guys like Josh Donaldson and Russell Martin, Joey Bats is still the guy up north.  Clearly the biggest question mark is health.  After watching his 2014 campaign, we are banking on Joey Bats returning completely healthy and fully rejuvenated from his injury prone 2012 and 2013 seasons.

6) Christian Yelich - MIA, OF

The chances that two guys from the same team both finish in the top ten in runs are slim.  Yelich is batting leadoff and will have plenty of more plate appearances than Giancarlo Stanton, which is the only reason the young outfielder gets the nod over the bruising Stanton.  Yelich’s 20.8% K rate is high for a contact guy but his .362 OBP is right where a young leadoff hitter needs to be.  His 94 R scored in 2014 tied him for tenth in the league and fifth in the NL.  Expect Yelich to continue to cross the plate at a high rate in 2015.

7) Troy Tulowitzki - COL, SS

Injury is the only reason to worry about Tulo not scoring.  In only 91 games and 375 plate appearances last season, Tulowitzki scored 71 runs which leads into an 18.9% runs per plate appearance rate.  (Note: I am not quite sure if this is a real stat or a statistic that I just made up, but I will use it for fun comparison.)  Had he not gotten hurt and instead saw 705 PA (the number of PA by Trout) last season while continue to score at that rate, Tulo would have scored 133 times.  Obviously this plays into a big “what if” game, but it should give you a clear representative scale of Tulowitzki’s ability to score.

8) Shin-Soo Choo - TEX, OF

In terms of monetary return on investment, Choo was awful last season.  He saw his lowest numbers across the board since 2009 and looked completely lost at times at the plate.  There is some hope.  History has shown us that players sometimes struggle or show less production when they sign with a new team.  Albert Pujols, Josh Hamilton, Hanley Ramirez and Robinson Cano are all guys that showed less production in their first year with new teams as compared to their career averages.  Perhaps Choo’s problem last season was trying too hard to impress the Ranger fans.  Before he got hurt in August, Choo recorded a .295 wOBA at home as compared to a .350 wOBA on the road.  His 125 wRC+ on the road is a lot closer to his career 131 wRC+ and could be evidence of his real value.  In the daring prediction of the list, Choo is the bounce back run scorer of 2015.

9) Anthony Rizzo - CHC, 1B

Rizzo was one of the few bright spots of an otherwise terrible Cubs team last season.  Then came the splash of signings in the offseason and everyone in the Northside is excited.  Chicago may not be a contender (yet) in 2015, but they are certainly moving in the right direction.  Rizzo scored 89 runs for an awful Cubs offense that finished 26th in runs scored.  He accounted for 14.5% of all runs scored for the team which is an incredibly high number for a cleanup hitter.  Durability should not be an issue either, so Rizzo could hit the high 600s in PA.

10) Alex Gordon - KC, OF

It seems like every preseason Gordon is the guy that will break out.  Well, him and Eric Hosmer.  This season truly could be the year, at least in the runs category.  Despite an atrocious September, Gordon had an excellent second half of the season for the surging Royals while continuing the hot production into the postseason.  September, July and most of April were tough months for Gordon and he still finished with 87 R for 2014.  Of course even if he scores 100 runs, the one he did not score in game seven will still by talked about way more.



Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts


Jalen Brunson22 mins ago

Has a Knee Contusion
Khris Middleton1 hour ago

Officially Out Against The Clippers
Cam Thomas1 hour ago

Out Again Versus Memphis
Jordan Clarkson1 hour ago

Off The Injury Report
LeBron James2 hours ago

Considered Questionable Against Thunder
Walker Kessler2 hours ago

Still Out On Monday
Bilal Coulibaly3 hours ago

Removed From Monday's Injury Report
Lauri Markkanen3 hours ago

Won't Suit Up On Monday
Jalen Brunson3 hours ago

Helped To Locker Room With Leg Injury
Jakob Poeltl3 hours ago

Leaves Sunday With Dislocated Finger
Ben Simmons4 hours ago

Questionable Against Grizzlies On Monday
Bradley Beal4 hours ago

Expected To Play On Sunday
Jaren Jackson5 hours ago

Jr. Likely Out Against Brooklyn
Jerami Grant5 hours ago

Expected To Miss Monday's Game
Matisse Thybulle5 hours ago

Uncertain Against Minnesota
Deandre Ayton5 hours ago

Questionable Versus Minnesota
Caris LeVert5 hours ago

Downgraded To Out Sunday
Donovan Mitchell5 hours ago

Out Against Knicks
Kent Johnson5 hours ago

Ruled Out For Rest Of Season
De'Aaron Fox5 hours ago

Gets In Full Practice Session
Evgeny Kuznetsov5 hours ago

Assigned To AHL After Clearing Waivers
Giannis Antetokounmpo5 hours ago

Could Miss Monday's Game
Alex Caruso5 hours ago

Uncertain For Monday
Derek Ryan6 hours ago

Won't Play On Sunday
Cole Perfetti6 hours ago

Back In Winnipeg Lineup Versus Buffalo
Brenden Dillon6 hours ago

Returns To Jets Lineup Sunday
Marcus Johansson6 hours ago

Questionable For Sunday
Tampa Bay Buccaneers8 hours ago

Antoine Winfield Jr. Expected To Receive Franchise Tag
Dak Prescott9 hours ago

Not A Lock To Receive Extension From Cowboys?
Baker Mayfield9 hours ago

Patriots Could Be In Play For Baker Mayfield
Kirk Cousins9 hours ago

Not Willing To Give Vikings A Discount?
Nick Lodolo10 hours ago

To See Specialist On Monday
Alex Verdugo10 hours ago

Scratched With Leg Contusion
Justin Verlander10 hours ago

Throws Bullpen Session
Gunnar Henderson10 hours ago

Expected To Play In Spring Game Monday
Josh Jung10 hours ago

Doing "Baseball Activities"
Ronald Acuña Jr.10 hours ago

Braves GM “Highly Confident” Ronald Acuna Jr. Will Be Ready
Kyle Larson18 hours ago

the Heavy Favorite to Win at Las Vegas
William Byron18 hours ago

Super Fast Once Again at Las Vegas
Kyle Busch18 hours ago

Has High DFS Upside and Great Track Record at Las Vegas
Martin Truex Jr19 hours ago

. A Good DFS Pivot Pick at Las Vegas
Joey Logano19 hours ago

Wins Pole at Las Vegas But Has Speed Concerns
Ross Chastain19 hours ago

Starts Mid-Pack at Las Vegas But Can Contend
Ryan Blaney19 hours ago

Starts 15th, Has Top-10 Potential at Las Vegas
Brad Keselowski19 hours ago

Lacks Speed But Has Great Las Vegas Record
Tyler Reddick19 hours ago

A Core DFS Pick at Las Vegas
Michael McDowell19 hours ago

Feels Good About Vegas But Is Very Risky DFS Pick
Zane Smith21 hours ago

Should Lag Teammates But Will Still Benefit from Speed Increase
Corey Lajoie21 hours ago

Corey LaJoie Benefiting from Increased Factory Backing
Carson Hocevar21 hours ago

Immediately Competitive with Cup Veterans on Intermediates
Noah Gragson21 hours ago

Subpar Intermediate Speed Should Cost Him at Las Vegas
Austin Dillon21 hours ago

Too Slow on Intermediates to Seriously Contend
Chase Briscoe24 hours ago

Roster Chase Briscoe With Caution At Las Vegas On Sunday
Daniel Hemric24 hours ago

Is A Favorable Driver To Round Out Las Vegas Lineups
Ryan Preece24 hours ago

Will Race Las Vegas In A Backup Car
Ricky Stenhouse Jr24 hours ago

. Is A Risk Best-Suited For DFS Tournament Lineups
Daniel Suarez24 hours ago

Can Daniel Suarez Score Another Strong Finish at Las Vegas?
Kaz Grala24 hours ago

Will Make His First Las Vegas Start In A Cup Car
Matt McLain24 hours ago

Set To Have Live At-Bats
Max Scherzer1 day ago

Could Return In June
Umar Nurmagomedov1 day ago

Overcomes Adversity At UFC Vegas 87
Muhammad Mokaev1 day ago

Gets Decision Win At UFC Vegas 87
Alex Perez1 day ago

Falls Short In Return
Tyson Pedro1 day ago

Retires After UFC Vegas 87 Loss
Vitor Petrino1 day ago

Remains Undefeated
Eury Pérez1 day ago

Eury Perez Suffers Broken Nail Saturday
Justin Fields1 day ago

Raiders In Play For Justin Fields
Kirk Cousins1 day ago

Falcons Interested In Kirk Cousins
San Francisco 49ers1 day ago

Nick Sorensen To Become New 49ers Defensive Coordinator
Dallas Cowboys1 day ago

Tyron Smith Unlikely To Return To Cowboys
Jayden Daniels1 day ago

Malik Nabers Won't Measure At Combine
Darren Waller1 day ago

Still Considering Retirement
Mike Evans1 day ago

"Wants To Play With Elite Quarterback"
Wade Miley1 day ago

Has Shoulder Soreness
Ian Happ1 day ago

Dealing With Hamstring Strain
Alek Manoah1 day ago

Scratched From Sunday's Start Due To Injury
Joe Ryan1 day ago

Displays New Sinker On Friday
Jeff McNeil1 day ago

Delayed By Biceps Injury
Max Muncy1 day ago

Returns To Lineup Saturday
Max Scherzer1 day ago

Rangers Hope Max Scherzer Can Return In June
Julio Rodríguez1 day ago

Julio Rodriguez Back In Cactus League Lineup
Travis Konecny2 days ago

To Remain Out On Saturday
Lukas Dostal2 days ago

Sets New Ducks Record With 52 Saves
Vaughn Grissom2 days ago

Has A Groin Strain, Unlikely For Opening Day
Dylan Strome2 days ago

Collects Three Points In Friday's Win
Matias Maccelli2 days ago

Extends Scoring Streak With Three-Point Outing
Brady Tkachuk2 days ago

Makes Early Exit Friday
Mason McTavish2 days ago

Sustains Lower-Body Injury Friday
Ronald Acuña Jr.2 days ago

Ronald Acuna Jr. Expected To Be Ready By Opening Day
Matt Chapman2 days ago

Signs Three-Year Deal With The Giants
Aaron Jones2 days ago

Discussing Pay Cut With Packers
Mike Evans2 days ago

Plans To Test Out Free Agency
AJ Dillon2 days ago

Unlikely To Return To Green Bay
Mason Rudolph2 days ago

Could Return To Pittsburgh
Max Muncy2 days ago

Taking Batting Practice Friday
Mats Zuccarello2 days ago

Fined $2K For Unsportsmanlike Conduct
Timothy Liljegren2 days ago

Questionable For Saturday
New England Patriots2 days ago

J.C. Jackson Released By Patriots
Logan Thomas2 days ago

Commanders Parting Ways With Logan Thomas
Calle Jarnkrok2 days ago

A Possibility Saturday
Clayton Keller2 days ago

Sidelined Into Next Week
Artem Zub2 days ago

To Return To Action Friday
Sonny Milano2 days ago

Nick Jensen, Sonny Milano To Return For Capitals Friday
Mark Giordano2 days ago

Out With Concussion
NFL2 days ago

Michael Penix Says He's Healthy
Justin Fields2 days ago

Could Fetch Second- Or Third-Rounder
Philadelphia Eagles2 days ago

Eagles Release Kevin Byard
NFL2 days ago

Jonathan Brooks Ahead Of Schedule In His Recovery
Shamil Gaziev2 days ago

Looks To Remain Undefeated
Jairzinho Rozenstruik2 days ago

In Dire Need Of Victory
Bekzat Almakhan2 days ago

Set For UFC Debut
Matt Schnell2 days ago

Looks To Get Back In Win Column
Steve Erceg2 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 87
Philipp Grubauer3 days ago

Shuts The Door On Penguins
Logan Stankoven3 days ago

Scores In Third Consecutive Game
Umar Nurmagomedov3 days ago

Takes On Newcomer At UFC Vegas 87
Muhammad Mokaev3 days ago

Puts Undefeated Record On The Line At UFC Vegas 87
Alex Perez3 days ago

Finally Ends Layoff At UFC Vegas 87
Tyson Pedro3 days ago

Set For 11th UFC Appearance
Vitor Petrino3 days ago

A Big Favorite At UFC Vegas 87
Doug Ghim4 days ago

Is On An Impressive Run To Start The Florida Swing
Maverick McNealy4 days ago

Is An Intriguing Play At PGA National
Lucas Glover4 days ago

Far From A Must-Play At PGA National
Erik Van Rooyen4 days ago

Can Erik Van Rooyen Keep His Consistency Going In Florida?
Adam Svensson4 days ago

Needs To Find Some Putting Form In Florida
Beau Hossler4 days ago

Looking To Keep The Good Times Rolling In Florida
Denny McCarthy4 days ago

Looking To Heat Up At PGA National
Taylor Montgomery4 days ago

Putting Together Solid Results
Christiaan Bezuidenhout4 days ago

Arrives To Florida In Stellar Form
Luke List4 days ago

On A Mission To Reverse Past Heartbreak
Matthieu Pavon4 days ago

Looking To Widen His Season-Long Lead
Shane Lowry4 days ago

Leaning On Some Positive Florida Vibes
Ryo Hisatsune4 days ago

Heads To Palm Beach Gardens For Debut
Brendon Todd4 days ago

Takes Hot Putter To PGA National
Ben Griffin4 days ago

Loves The Bermuda Grass
Chris Kirk4 days ago

Looks To Defend Title At Cognizant Classic
PGA4 days ago

Alex Noren A Player To Watch At PGA National
Stephan Jaeger4 days ago

Closing In On First Tour Victory
Thorbjorn Olesen4 days ago

A Contender At PGA National
Ryan Fox4 days ago

In For A Tough Week At PGA National
Thomas Detry4 days ago

Trying To Shake Off Rough Event In Mexico




DeVon Achane - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL DFS Picks, Injury News

Next Gen Stats Review: 2023 Running Backs

Many know Next Gen Stats for the fastest ball carriers in the NFL, which tracks a player's top speed in miles per hour (mph) on a given play. DK Metcalf had a 73-yard touchdown score that registered 22.23 mph, with Chase Brown (22.05) and Tyreek Hill (22.01) making a reception as the only three players... Read More

Breakdown Of Dynasty Fantasy Football Leagues

Dynasty fantasy football leagues have been around for years, but with each new NFL season comes more people joining these types of leagues. If you are a redraft fan who doesn’t want the fantasy season to end, dynasty might be right up your alley.  The Senior Bowl has happened, NFL Draft excitement is ramping up,... Read More

Marvin Harrison Jr. - Fantasy Football Rankings, College FB, WR, NFL Draft Sleepers

Early 2024 Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings: Pre-NFL Draft

Hey, RotoBallers! With Super Bowl LVIII in the books, the 2024 NFL offseason has officially begun. It's never too early to start preparing for fantasy football, and here at RotoBaller, it's always fantasy football season here at HQ. We are already looking ahead to the 2024 season, and that starts with the NFL Draft and... Read More

Ja'Marr Chase - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS and Betting Picks

Top Fantasy Football Rebound Candidates For 2024 Including Patrick Mahomes, Josh Jacobs, and Drake London

We may be in the heat of basketball season, but we're discussing a different kind of rebound today. Some of the most talented athletes in the world have suboptimal seasons but there's often a bounceback year in the near future. The talent isn't waning, the circumstances surrounding them have been altered. Below we dive into... Read More

Jayden Reed - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Early 2024 Wide Receiver Sleepers And Draft Targets For Fantasy Football

There should be a lot of changes atop the wide receiver group in fantasy football next year. Players like Stefon Diggs, Davante Adams, and Cooper Kupp will all fall in drafts, while Puka Nacua will fly up drafts boards in 2024. Nacua will go from undrafted in 2023 to a likely top-20 pick this upcoming... Read More

Dan Campbell - NFL Head Coach, NFC, Detroit Lions

FFPC Dynasty Fantasy Football Orphan Teams: An Authentic Challenge

At its very core, the game of fantasy football is intended to deliver a unique experience in which you are an NFL owner, general manager, and head coach, all in one role. Seasonal fantasy football replicates the responsibilities in fun, user-friendly packaging, but fantasy football dynasty leagues appeal even more to a savvy fantasy player... Read More

2024 Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft: Fantasy Football Studs, Sleepers, and Values

Football never sleeps at RotoBaller! With the Scouting Combine underway and the NFL Draft season heating up, the countdown is on for 2024 fantasy football. We're taking a first look at how things might shape up in Dynasty fantasy drafts with our first Rookie Mock Draft of 2024. RotoBaller analysts Brandon Murchison and LaQuan Jones... Read More

Dak Prescott - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Biggest Quarterback Surprises - Fantasy Football Year In Review

The 2023 fantasy football season is in the rearview mirror. While the upcoming fantasy season is still months away, it’s never too early to start preparing. One of the more critical things fantasy players can do to prepare is look back at the previous season and look at trends and surprises. Let’s look at the... Read More

Tyjae Spears - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Early 2024 Running Back Sleepers And Draft Targets For Fantasy Football

Running backs have always dominated the first round of fantasy drafts, but that has changed in recent years. Taking a wide receiver in the first round has become a more likely strategy by fantasy managers. In 2024 drafts, more wideouts should be going in the first round than running backs. However, that doesn't mean running... Read More

Latest Updates on Injured NFL Quarterbacks: Aaron Rodgers, Kirk Cousins, Anthony Richardson, Joe Burrow, Deshaun Watson, and Daniel Jones

The 2024 offseason is still in the early stages, but it's time to check on six franchise quarterbacks who suffered major injuries during the 2023 campaign. A franchise missing its quarterback to begin a season can mightily derail its chances to win, creating a massive hole to climb out of. We have the latest injury... Read More

Rome Odunze - College Football Rankings, NCAA CFB DFS Lineup Picks

Best Fantasy Football Landing Spots For 2024 Rookie Wide Receivers

With the NFL Draft quickly approaching, the ramifications of where some of these players get selected will have a significant impact on their fantasy football value. In dynasty leagues, fantasy managers may not worry about landing spots as much because once you draft them in that kind of league, you have them for their entire... Read More

Jayden Daniels - Fantasy Football Rankings, College FB, QB, NFL Draft Sleepers

Coach Knows Ball: Jayden Daniels 2024 NFL Draft Film Breakdown Of LSU QB

Welcome to Coach Knows Ball, an NFL Draft series analyzing the top prospects in the 2024 class. I'm a college football coach with nine years of NCAA experience and have been scouting NFL Draft prospects for over 15 years. This series will give a deep dive into the film of some of the top players... Read More

Rome Odunze - College Football Rankings, NCAA CFB DFS Lineup Picks

Top Five WR Prospects Of The 2024 NFL Draft: Scouting Reports And Analysis

Ah, the sweet season of the NFL Draft, the light at the end of the post-Super Bowl tunnel of despair. As the last bits of confetti find their resting places and the echoes of the game's final moments whisper into silence, we all start to dream a little bigger. It's this enchanted time when losses... Read More