Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!


Receive free daily analysis


Already have an account? Log In


Forgot Password


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Player Comparisons
News and Alerts

Fantasy Football Breakouts, Busts, and Locks - Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2022 Outlook

leonard fournette fantasy football rankings news NFL DFS lineup picks

Welcome to our fantasy football Breakouts, Busts, and Locks, a series on RotoBaller where our writers look at three key players on each NFL team. Today, we're talking about the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Tampa was set to rebuild this year after Tom Brady retired, but then Brady went out and unretired, because of course Tom Brady would do something like that.

Below, you'll find a fantasy football breakout candidate, a fantasy football bust candidate, and a safe fantasy football pick for the Buccaneers based on early ADP for fantasy football drafts in 2022.

Featured Promo: Get any full-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off and win big in 2023. Exclusive access to our Premium articles, 15 lineup tools, new Team Sync platform, Lineup Optimizer, Premium DFS tools and cheat sheets, and much more! Sign Up Now!


Fantasy Football Breakout: Russell Gage

Note: The Bucs signed Julio Jones, so you can read the next few paragraphs if you want to see why I liked Gage before, and why I'll like Gage if Jones gets hurt. But the Jones news obviously changes everything here, and it also makes me change my breakout pick from Russell Gage to...well, to no one. The Bucs are going all-in on veterans to try getting Tom Brady one final Super Bowl. It's a good strategy, but it isn't one that really allows for breakout fantasy performances. I guess Jones could be someone who surprises if he stays healthy since we've stopped expecting much out of him?

Russell Gage is a really contentious player right now and I'm not really sure I understand why. He's going to get volume and volume is good.

With Chris Godwin set to miss a big chunk of this season, Gage has the inside track to be the No. 2 receiver behind Mike Evans. And in an offense that passes the ball as much as the Bucs have, it seems almost impossible for the Bucs' No. 2 receiver to struggle.

Tampa threw a league-high 731 passes last season. Only five other teams were even within 100 passing attempts of them. I think you can safely assume that they throw the ball a little less this year, but unless Tom Brady just falls off a cliff, this team will be in the top-five in pass attempts. That's what a Bruce Arians offense does, and while Arians has retired, the team should retain the same basic system since Byron Leftwich returns as offensive coordinator and has been the play caller for the last two seasons.

Look, I know Russell Gage isn't some elite receiver. His breaking out would be much more about the system than about him as an individual talent. And a Gage "breakout" likely tapers off when Godwin is back.

But this offense averaged 43 pass attempts per game last year. I think it's safe to pencil Gage in for seven or eight targets per game in this offense. Gage is being drafted as a WR4 right now, but volume can easily make him worth starting on a weekly basis until Godwin returns.


Fantasy Football Bust: Tight Ends

The narrative about Bruce Arians as a head coach was that he didn't like to target tight ends. That changed in Tampa over the last few years, which just happens to coincide with Byron Leftwich calling the plays.

But it also happens to coincide with the Bucs having Rob Gronkowski at tight end.

If we look at the games that Gronk didn't play last year, we see that the targets for the tight ends weren't really there:

Week Targets to TE % of Targets
4 7 16.2%
5 4 9.1%
6 11 26.1%
7 8 20.5%
10 3 8.8%

For the season as a whole, the team targeted the position 23.5% of the time, so just one of those five games featured the team exceeding that average—and the average is being brought down by having these weeks included.

This leads me to assume that without Gronk, the Bucs will probably not be relying on the tight end position, especially when the team doesn't have a clear No. 1 guy at the position. Cameron Brate and Kyle Rudolph are solid veterans, but having both on the team will limit what either one can do. There was also some offseason hype for rookie Cade Otton, but the Rudolph signing really puts a damper on that.


Fantasy Football Lock: Leonard Fournette

Tom Brady will be 45-years-old this season. Yes, he's the greatest quarterback in NFL history. But at age 45, it's so hard to predict that he'll definitely still be a top QB in the National Football League. I'm not betting against Brady, but I am conflicted enough to not call him a lock. And if age does hit Brady, that makes Mike Evans not quite a lock either.

That's why I'm going with Leonard Fournette.

After being cut following a 1,000-yard season with the Jags, Fournette landed in Tampa and was part of a committee approach in 2020 before taking over in 2021. He had 180 carries last year plus was targeted 84 times.

One thing about Fournette is that when he entered the league, he wasn't expected to do a ton in the passing game, but he's actually developed into a really reliable receiver. And with Tom Brady being the kind of QB that he is, he'll make the smart play and check it down to Fournette a lot this year, just to ensure the play winds up as a positive.

While the team drafted Rachaad White in the third round, Fournette will get the first crack at every down work. He should run away with that work.

Per PlayerProfiler, Fournette did a lot of really good things last year. He was 14th among NFL running backs in yards per touch at 5.1, and he was 15th in yards created. His 14% target share ranked sixth among running backs.

Tom Brady showed that he likes to get the ball to Fournette. Because of that, Fournette is going to be on the football field. A lot. And he's going to easily return his current value, as he's being drafted around the second/third round turn.

Look, there are probably a lot of safe plays on this team. Brady. Evans. Gage, who I mentioned above. But even those players rely on Brady's arm still being strong enough to push the ball down the field.

Fournette doesn't. He just needs rushing attempts and check downs. He'll get both things and will finish as a low-end RB1.

Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

Win Big With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:

More Fantasy Football Analysis


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Player Comparisons
News and Alerts


Hunter Renfroe8 mins ago

Getting A Rest Sunday
Kyle Tucker22 mins ago

Not Playing Sunday
Dinelson Lamet28 mins ago

Likely Starting Wednesday
Max Muncy47 mins ago

Left Early With A Hamstring Cramp
Jeff McNeil56 mins ago

Not In The Lineup On Sunday Against Colorado
Jesse Winker1 hour ago

Scratched With Neck Discomfort
Juan Soto1 hour ago

Scratched With Back Tightness On Sunday
Kyle Tucker1 hour ago

Scratched From Sunday's Lineup
Matt Moore1 hour ago

Lands On The 15-Day Injured List
Brenton Doyle1 hour ago

Still Absent From The Lineup On Sunday
Esteury Ruiz2 hours ago

Sitting Out On Sunday
New York Jets2 hours ago

Quinnen Williams, Jets May Be Nearing A Deal
Josh Donaldson2 hours ago

Could See Another Rehab Game On Tuesday
Anthony Santander2 hours ago

Back In The Lineup On Sunday
Jimmy Garoppolo2 hours ago

Contract Has Waiver Included
Max Muncy2 hours ago

Leaves Game Early Sunday
Jose Trevino2 hours ago

Could Return Tuesday
Giancarlo Stanton2 hours ago

Could Begin Rehab Assignment Tuesday
Xander Bogaerts2 hours ago

Back In Sunday's Lineup
Carlos Rodón3 hours ago

Carlos Rodon To Throw Bullpen On Monday
Casey Schmitt3 hours ago

Out Against Brewers
Eloy Jiménez3 hours ago

White Sox Reinstate Eloy Jimenez From Injured List
Josh Fleming3 hours ago

Starting Against Dodgers Sunday
Jonathan Marchessault3 hours ago

Posts Two Assists Saturday Night
Thomas Harley3 hours ago

Tallies Two Assists In Game 6 Win
Ty Dellandrea4 hours ago

Keeps Dallas Alive With Late Goals
Duncan Robinson4 hours ago

Has 13 Points In Game 6 Against Boston
Max Strus4 hours ago

Scores 10 Points In Game 6 Loss
Chase Elliott4 hours ago

Believes He’s Got A Good Shot To Win Coca-Cola 600
Alex Bowman4 hours ago

Facing Uphill Battle In Coca-Cola 600 Return
Ryan Preece4 hours ago

Hopeful To Start Putting Pieces Together For Good Runs
Gabe Vincent4 hours ago

Returns With 15 Points
Bam Adebayo4 hours ago

Posts Sixth Postseason Double-Double
Corey Lajoie4 hours ago

Looking To Continue Career-Best Season At Charlotte
NASCAR4 hours ago

Bubba Wallace Hoping For First-Ever Top 10 Finish At Charlotte
Caleb Martin5 hours ago

Produces Impressive Double-Double In Game 6
AJ Allmendinger5 hours ago

A DFS Sleeper Pick For The Coca-Cola 600
Jimmie Johnson5 hours ago

Doesn't Feel Prepared For Coca-Cola 600
Jimmy Butler5 hours ago

Flirts With Triple-Double Saturday
Zane Smith5 hours ago

Hoping To Learn & Get Better At Charlotte
Todd Gilliland5 hours ago

Facing Significant Equipment Downgrade At Charlotte
John Collins13 hours ago

Still Available
Marcus Smart13 hours ago

Has Solid Showing In Game 6
Jaylen Brown13 hours ago

Has 26 Points In Win Over Miami
Robert Williams13 hours ago

III Finishes With 10 Points Saturday
Derrick White13 hours ago

Forces A Game 7
Jayson Tatum13 hours ago

Scores 31 Points In Game 6
DeAndre Hopkins17 hours ago

Bills, Chiefs Had "Substantive" Talks About Trading For DeAndre Hopkins
Travis Etienne Jr.17 hours ago

Working On "Fine-Tuning" Skills
Arizona Cardinals17 hours ago

Budda Baker Will Be At Training Camp
Austin Dillon18 hours ago

Could Be Place Differential King At Charlotte
Erik Jones18 hours ago

Could Be Good Early At Charlotte
Daniel Suarez18 hours ago

Has Upside At Coca-Cola 600
Aric Almirola18 hours ago

Stuck In Middle Of The Pack For Charlotte
Chase Briscoe18 hours ago

Tries To Turn Back Clock At Charlotte
Ty Gibbs19 hours ago

Could Provide DFS Value At Charlotte
Joey Logano19 hours ago

Tries To Bounce Back From Charlotte Mishap
Martin Truex Jr19 hours ago

. Wants To Turn Back Clock At Charlotte
Justin Haley19 hours ago

Might Have Challenge At Charlotte
Tyler Reddick19 hours ago

Aims To Move Up At Charlotte
Ross Chastain21 hours ago

Looking For A Win At Charlotte
Harrison Burton21 hours ago

On The Hot Seat For Results
Jerome Kapp1 day ago

Jets Sign Jerome Kapp
San Francisco 49ers1 day ago

Dre Greenlaw Recovering From Finger Surgery
Chris Moore1 day ago

Willing To Play Any Role
Gary Brightwell1 day ago

Could Be Buried On Depth Chart
Dallas Cowboys1 day ago

Terence Steele Limited At OTAs
Marquise Brown1 day ago

Becomes Cardinals' No. 1 Receiver
Deshaun Watson1 day ago

Jordan Akins Eager To Work With Deshaun Watson Again
Deshaun Watson1 day ago

Elijah Moore Building Chemistry With Deshaun Watson
Gabe Vincent2 days ago

Questionable On Saturday
Tyler Herro2 days ago

Remains Out For Game 6
Bam Adebayo2 days ago

Good To Go For Game 6
Malcolm Brogdon2 days ago

Questionable For Game 6
DeAndre Hopkins2 days ago

Bills "Lurking" As A Favorite To Land DeAndre Hopkins
Davante Adams2 days ago

Josh McDaniels Has No Issues With Davante Adams Venting
Tampa Bay Buccaneers2 days ago

Bucs Expect Devin White At Minicamp
Darren Waller2 days ago

Enjoying Time In New York
Dalvin Cook2 days ago

Now Considering A Pay Cut?
DeAndre Hopkins2 days ago

Chiefs A Potential Landing Spot For DeAndre Hopkins?
Detroit Pistons2 days ago

Detroit Brings Kevin Ollie And Charles Lee In For Second Interviews
Atlanta Hawks2 days ago

Hawks Hire Igor Kokoskov As Lead Assistant Coach
Joel Embiid2 days ago

Still Considered Untouchable
D'Angelo Russell2 days ago

Lakers Won't Pursue The Max For D'Angelo Russell
Fred VanVleet2 days ago

Raptors Unsure If They Want To Re-Sign Fred VanVleet
Tyler Allgeier2 days ago

Not Concerned About Usage
Hendon Hooker2 days ago

Preparing Himself Mentally
Jack Eichel2 days ago

Keeps The Assists Coming
William Karlsson2 days ago

Matches Vegas Record With Eighth Postseason Goal
Miro Heiskanen2 days ago

Delivers Two Power-Play Assists
Jason Robertson3 days ago

Scores Two Goals In Game 4 Victory
Joe Pavelski3 days ago

Scores Overtime Winner In Game 4
Jake Oettinger3 days ago

The Confirmed Starter For Game 4
Evgenii Dadonov3 days ago

Will Be Out Of The Lineup For Dallas
Adin Hill3 days ago

Will Mind The Vegas Crease In Game 4
Jamie Benn3 days ago

Suspended For Two Games
Sergei Bobrovsky3 days ago

Remains Sharp In Series-Clincher
Aleksander Barkov3 days ago

Hands Out Two Assists In Game 4 Victory
Matthew Tkachuk4 days ago

Late Goal Sends Panthers To Stanley Cup Final
Michael Block4 days ago

A Fade At Charles Schwab
Emiliano Grillo4 days ago

Looks To Regain Form
Viktor Hovland4 days ago

Teeing It Up After Close Call At PGA Championship
PGA4 days ago

J.T. Poston Tough To Include In Fantasy Lineups
Beau Hossler4 days ago

Worth Fantasy Consideration Heading To Colonial
Billy Horschel4 days ago

Inconsistency Makes Him A Tough Choice
Ryan Fox4 days ago

An Intriguing Pick For Fantasy Lineups
Alex Smalley4 days ago

A Risky Option For Fantasy Lineups
Christiaan Bezuidenhout4 days ago

To Bounce Back After Missed Cut
Brendon Todd4 days ago

A Risky Fantasy Play At Colonial
PGA4 days ago

Byeong Hun An's Impressive Play Makes Him Strong Fantasy Option
PGA4 days ago

K.H. Lee Looks To Continue Playing Well
Tom Hoge4 days ago

A Viable Fantasy Option At Colonial
PGA4 days ago

Cameron Davis Playing Well Heading To Colonial
Max Homa4 days ago

A Reliable Fantasy Option At Colonial
Will Gordon4 days ago

A Solid Option In Texas
Cameron Champ4 days ago

Worth A Look At Colonial
Stephan Jaeger4 days ago

A Solid Sleeper At Colonial
Sam Stevens4 days ago

Worth A Shot At Charles Schwab
Ryan Palmer4 days ago

Is It Safe To Start Ryan Palmer In Texas?
Maverick McNealy4 days ago

In A Major Slump
Aleksander Barkov5 days ago

Expected To Play In Game 4
Mark Stone5 days ago

Jamie Benn Ejected For Cross-Checking Mark Stone In Game 3
Ivan Barbashev5 days ago

Collects Three Points In Game 3 Victory
Adin Hill5 days ago

Posts First Career Playoff Shutout In Game 3
Sergei Bobrovsky6 days ago

Posts First Career Playoff Shutout In Game 3
Aleksander Barkov6 days ago

Suffers Lower-Body Injury In Game 3