X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Reviewing Tom Bellucco's 10 Bold Predictions for 2017

RotoBaller's Tom Bellucco reviews his bold predictions for the 2017 fantasy baseball season.

Well, my quest for a second straight championship in the RotoBaller Expert's League fell short. Congrats to Max Petrie for pulling away mercilessly in the final few weeks. Luckily I was able to hold off the aggressive pushes from Brad Johnson and Kyle Bishop to finish in second place.

For those of you keeping track at home, that's a second place finish in 2015, a first place finish in 2016, and a second place finish in 2017. You know you're running hot when the butt of the jokes in the group chat at season's end are "Well, at least Tom didn't win!" Let's hope we can keep this pattern going next season.

As for my bold calls, I'm not all that impressed. For one, I thought I missed some hanging curveballs looking back. Mentioning my optimism for Robbie Ray, Luis Severino, and Charlie Blackmon in some shap or form surely would've made me seem smarter. Oh well. Let's figure out where my pre-season boldness led me at season's end.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Reviewing Tom Bellucco's 10 Bold Predictions for 2017

1. Byron Buxton will be a top 20 OF in 5x5 roto leagues

This one started out really rough. Byron Buxton batted just .216 in the first half, mimmicking his struggles from previous seasons and even getting demoted to ninth in the Twins' order. The only bright spots were his stolen bases and his stellar defensive play. After waiting for what seemed like far too long, I dropped Lord Byron for what was probably another bum outfielder. He made me look dumb.

Buxton went nuts in the second half despite missing some games due to an injury. During the 56 games he played, he stole 13 more bases (29 total) and hit 11 home runs (16 total) while averaging .300 (.253 total). The improvement helped get him back up to the sixth or seventh spots in the order, but that move wasn't enough to bolster his RBI and run numbers. Depending on how you calculate roto value, he was probably somewhere just outside the top 30 outfielders (37 on ESPN's Player Rater). Maybe I'll just let someone else draft him next year and plan to trade for him or pick him up in July.

 

2. Yasmani Grandal will hit 30+ HR this season

This was certainly a bold call, and I'm starting to think that Yasmani Grandal just doesn't have the average needed to hit 30 bombs. He finished with 22 homers in 129, which is respectable, and his average did come back up a bit to .247, but his 17% HR/FB rate left me hanging (down from 25% last year). His peripheral numbers all look pretty identical, so I think this is a stat line we can come to expect from Grandal going forward. He was probably a top 10 catcher in your format, so we can't be all that upset.

 

3. Joey Votto and Freddie Freeman will join Paul Goldschmidt in the top 3 of points league first baseman

Oh what could have been if Freddie Freeman had just stayed healthy.

I basically want to give myself a win on this one based on Freeman's crazy production when healthy this season. As for Joey Votto and Paul Goldschmidt, they both lapped the field in terms of production. Jose Abreu quietly made an impressive push at the top 3, but I think he, along with Anthony Rizzo, Edwin Encarnacion, and Daniel Murphy, will be a tier behind these three stud first basemen in next year's draft (with Rizzo being on the cusp of Tier 1, for what it's worth).

 

4. James Paxton will become an ace

Looking back, this one may not have been bold enough, simply because almost everyone else saw the potential. James Paxton finished an injury-scarred season with a 2.98 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, and 10.3 K/9 in his 136 innings pitched. The combination of his vamped up fastball and devastating breaking ball fooled hitters whenever he was on the mound. If he can stay healthy, Paxton could crack the first tier of starting pitchers next year.

 

5. Sean Manaea will strike out 200 batters in 2017

Sean Manaea didn't quite reach the high expectations I set for him, but a mid-season physical change might've been responsible for his second half struggles. The San Francisco Chronicle reported that Manaea lost 25 pounds and a significant amount of velocity after changing up his ADD medication. We could sit here and pointlessly pretend we know what happened to the big lefty until the cows come home, but if he can at least get back to his first half self next year, he'll have a real shot to eclipse the 200 strikeouts I boldly predicted for him in 2017.

 

6. Hector Neris saves 35 games in 2017

Half of this battle was predicting that Hector Neris would steal the closer gig from Jeanmar Gomez (OK, maybe that part was inevitable) which he did in late April, giving him a chance at that optimistic 35 saves. Unfortunately, the Phillies offense and starting pitchers weren't nearly as kind. He also had a few hiccups with mechanics along the way. However, Neris got closer than I thought he would thanks to his nine(!!!) saves in September, finishing with 26 on the year. Of course, these saves were going directly to Max's RB Experts League team while he pulled away from my worthless bullpen. Anyways, if nothing else, the second half of the season showed us how dominate Neris can be in this role if the Phillies slew of young, promising hitters can put up some runs next season.

 

7. Daniel Murphy will hit below .290 this season

I would not like to spend all that much time on this one. Let's just say this prediction had no evidence backing it to begin with (perhaps other than some personal bias), and it turned out to be wronger than Cam Newton's remarks at the press conference podium. The good news is that my fellow RB experts had the same skeptial outlook as me (or maybe they were drunk at this point in the auction) because I got Daniel Murphy on the cheap ($23 out of a $260 budget [about the same as Carlos Gonzalez, Kyle Schwarber, and Christian Yelich]) and rode him to a very successful season. Thanks guys, and sorry for doubting you, Murph.

 

 8. The worst case scenario happens with Billy Hamilton

I'm not sure how to view this one. I'm still glad that I didn't own Billy Hamilton anywhere, but he didn't exactly fall off the face of the earth either. I just keep thinking that with a .247 batting average and 59 stolen bases, imagine what he could actually do if his OBP wasn't a dreadful .299! That's bad for a leadoff hitter who's supposed to be scoring runs, folks. Hamilton remained in the leadoff role for the 2017 season, so that alongside with his skillset provides plenty of value (especially in roto leagues), but I still think it's a lot to sacrifice three categories in order to excel in one (stolen bases) and just get by in another (runs). I guess I'll just always be on this side of that Hamilton fence.

 

9. Matt Harvey will be on the waiver wire by the end of the 2017 season

Nice! This one might've been all but certain to a lot of us, but it feels good to have read Matt Harvey's boom/bust outlook the correct way. Those of you who drafted him late or bought him in auctions probably didn't lose a whole lot by just dropping him after a month or so, but at least I didn't spend my valuable $9 and a roster spot on him (sorry Harris). Don't even think about biting next year. Harvey is toast.

 

10. Andrew McCutchen has the best right fielder season in Pittsburgh since Roberto Clemente

Time to get emotional.

I was so torn at the end of March when Andrew McCutchen was demoted to the sixth spot in the order and trade rumors swirled around him and the Pirates. As a realistic Buccos fan, I could totally see why the organization would just get something, anything for him while they still had a chance, despite the fact that he brought the franchise back from the depths of hell. Then, it happened.

Cutch hit .308 with 20 home runs between June 1st and the end of the season. He also stole six bases in that span, putting his totals at 28 home runs and 11 stolen bases in the 2017 season with a respectable .279 average. That was good enough for a finish of outfielder number 22 on ESPN's Player Rater.

Even better was the fact that he played 156 games, marking his eighth season in a row with 146 or more games played. The only time in his career when he was below that mark was his rookie season in 2009 when he was promoted in June. Outside of that 146, his second-lowest mark is 153. Say what you want about the ups and downs of his career, but the guy has been out there and playing through it all.

Was the season as good as I hoped for my favorite baseball player of all time? No, not quite. However, he certainly proved his worth offensively, even if it was for a team that slowly imploded in the late months. Regardless, I hope that Cutch can continue to produce enough to get another contract or two, retire in Pittsburgh after a handful more of these type of offensive seasons, and just maybe win a World Series ring :).

 




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Isiah Pacheco

Returning to Practice on Wednesday
Brian Thomas Jr.

Jaguars "Optimistic" About Brian Thomas Jr.'s Week 12 Status
Josh Jacobs

Will Not Practice on Wednesday
Sahith Theegala

Looking to Continue Fall Run at RSM Classic
Jayden Daniels

Commanders Considering Shutting Down Jayden Daniels?
Stephan Jaeger

Looking to Bounce Back at RSM Classic
Tom Hoge

Looking to Regain Form at RSM Classic
Joe Highsmith

Searching for Turnaround at RSM Classic
Adam Hadwin

Looking to Build on T11 Finish in Bermuda
Austin Eckroat

Searching for Momentum at RSM Classic
Joel Dahmen

Trying to Find Form at the RSM Classic
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Ruled Out Again in Week 12
Drake London

Falcons Hoping That Drake London Will Return in Week 13
CFB

Garrett Nussmeier Doubtful to Play Against Western Kentucky
Michael Penix Jr.

Needs Reconstructive Surgery on Torn ACL
Jaxson Dart

Expected to Return to Practice on Wednesday
Shedeur Sanders

Will Start Against Raiders
Dalton Kincaid

Ruled Out Against Texans
Connor Bedard

Continues Tear With Hat Trick
Macklin Celebrini

Pots Hat Trick in Tuesday's Win
Jake Guentzel

Records Eighth Career Hat Trick
Sammy Blais

Injured Versus Blues
Alexander Romanov

Injured in Tuesday's Win
Ryan Hartman

Considered Week-to-Week
Michael Thorbjornsen

Hopes to End 2025 Campaign With Another Solid Finish
Saddiq Bey

Uncertain for Meeting With Nuggets
Sam Merrill

Iffy for Wednesday
Andrew Novak

Looks to End 2025 Season on High Note at RSM Classic
Dereck Lively II

Likely to Play Wednesday
Daniel Gafford

on Track to Return Wednesday
Jaden McDaniels

Uncertain for Wednesday
Jalen Smith

Expected to Play Wednesday
Tre Jones

Questionable for Wednesday
Coby White

Back in Bulls Lineup Wednesday
Harry Higgs

Teetering for PGA Tour Card in 2026
Kelly Oubre Jr.

Unavailable Wednesday
Darius Garland

Sits Out Wednesday's Game
PGA

Nico Echavarria has the Potential to Contend at the RSM Classic
Sam Stevens

Finishing Out Year in Georgia
Seamus Power

Playing Better at the Right Time
Beau Hossler

Roller Coaster Comes to Saint Simons Island
Quade Cummins

The Time is Now for Quade Cummins in Georgia
Austin Cook

Needs a Win at the RSM Classic
Cameron Champ

on the PGA Tour Card Bubble
Grayson Rodriguez

Shipped to Angels
Taylor Ward

Orioles Acquire Taylor Ward From Angels
Shota Imanaga

Accepts Cubs Qualifying Offer
Brandon Woodruff

Returning to Milwaukee in 2026
Denny McCarthy

Looking For Another Solid Finish at RSM Classic
Si Woo Kim

Looking To Use Current Momentum to Flip Script at RSM Classic
Zion Williamson

Considered Questionable for Wednesday
Bam Adebayo

Could Return to Action Wednesday
Mackenzie Hughes

a Good Bounce-Back Candidate at RSM Classic
Jalen Brunson

Questionable for Wednesday
Jerami Grant

Picks Up Late Questionable Tag
Kyle Anderson

Cleared for Action Against the Lakers
Harris English

Making 14th Start at This Week's RSM Classic
Jrue Holiday

Ruled Out Tuesday
Taylor Hendricks

Returning on Tuesday
Kyle Filipowski

Won't Suit Up Versus the Lakers
LeBron James

Will Play on Tuesday Night
Konnor Griffin

Could Compete for Starting Shortstop Job in 2026
Keegan Murray

Expected to Make Season Debut Thursday
Gleyber Torres

Accepts Tigers Qualifying Offer
Alexandre Sarr

Uncertain for Wednesday's Game in Minnesota
Odell Beckham Jr.

Officially Reinstated by NFL Commissioner
Matt Murray

to Miss Six Weeks With Lower-Body Injury
Ilya Lyubushkin

Out on Tuesday
Jamie Benn

Makes Season Debut Tuesday
Evgenii Dadonov

on Track to Return Tuesday
Dougie Hamilton

a Game-Time Call Tuesday
Anthony Cirelli

Expected to Return Against Devils
Victor Hedman

Questionable for Tuesday
Auston Matthews

to Miss at Least Two More Games
C.J. Stroud

Expected to Return in Week 13 Against Colts
C.J. Stroud

to Miss Another Game
Joe Mixon

Uncertainty Remains Around Joe Mixon's Return Timeline
Jaylen Warren

Mike Tomlin Optimistic About Jaylen Warren's Availability for Week 12
C.J. Stroud

Not Expected to Play on Thursday Night
Aaron Rodgers

Won't Need Surgery on Fractured Wrist, Could Play in Week 12?
Davis Mills

Prepping for Third Straight Start in Week 12?
CFB

Sam Leavitt Set to Enter Transfer Portal?
Mason Rudolph

Could Make His First Start of 2025 in Week 12
Brock Wright

Sets Career-High in Targets; Lined Up for More Work?
Kimani Vidal

Struggles Again and Faces Role Uncertainty After Bye
Jose Altuve

Undergoes Foot Surgery
Mikael Granlund

Unavailable Monday
Alex Bregman

Red Sox Going for Either Alex Bregman or Pete Alonso?
Conor Garland

Misses Monday's Game
Eetu Luostarinen

Out on Monday
Drew Doughty

Listed as Week-to-Week
John Carlson

a Game-Time Call Monday
Viktor Arvidsson

Out Week-to-Week
Charlie McAvoy

Out Against Hurricanes
CFB

James Franklin to be Virginia Tech's Next Head Coach
CFB

Fernando Mendoza the Clear Heisman Trophy Favorite?
CFB

Beau Pribula Has Chance to Face Oklahoma on Saturday
Jack Della Maddalena

Gets Dominated
Islam Makhachev

Claims UFC Welterweight Belt
Zhang Weili

Gets Outclassed
Valentina Shevchenko

Wins Unanimous Decision At UFC 322
Sean Brady

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
Michael Morales

Remains Unbeaten
Leon Edwards

Suffers Second-Round Knockout Loss
Leon Edwards

Carlos Prates Becomes The First Man To Knock Out Leon Edwards
Beneil Dariush

Suffers Brutal First-Round Knockout Loss
Beneil Dariush

Benoit Saint Denis Knocks Out Beneil Dariush In 16 Seconds
Josh Naylor

Mariners Finalizing Five-Year Contract
CFB

Jeremiah Smith, Carnell Tate Not Dealing With Long-Term Injuries
CFB

Virginia Tech Close To Naming James Franklin As Head Coach
CFB

Garrett Nussmeier Doubtful vs. Arkansas On Saturday
Edwin Díaz

Blue Jays Interested in Signing Edwin Diaz?
Jacob deGrom

Named AL Comeback Player of the Year
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Wins NL Comeback Player of the Year Award
Aroldis Chapman

Named AL Reliever of the Year
Edwin Díaz

Edwin Diaz Named NL Reliever of the Year
Islam Makhachev

Set For UFC 322 Main Event
Jack Della Maddalena

Set For His First Title Defense
Zhang Weili

Can Become The New Women's Flyweight Champion
Valentina Shevchenko

Set For UFC 322 Co-Main Event
Michael Morales

Looks To Remain Undefeated
CFB

Mario Craver a Game-Time Decision for Week 12
Sean Brady

Set For Title Eliminator Bout
Carlos Prates

A Favorite At UFC 322
Leon Edwards

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Benoît Saint Denis

Benoit Saint Denis Set To Open Up UFC 322 Main Card
Beneil Dariush

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
CFB

Virginia's Chandler Morris Trending Toward Facing Duke on Saturday
Edwin Díaz

Edwin Diaz Says There's a "50-50" Chance he Returns to Mets
Shohei Ohtani

Wins his Fourth MVP Award
Aaron Judge

Wins AL MVP Award Again
Raisel Iglesias

Dodgers Interested in Signing Raisel Iglesias
Pete Alonso

Orioles Could be in the Mix to Sign Pete Alonso

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP