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Hello everybody, and welcome to our PrizePicks NFL DFS prop picks for Week 6 - Sunday Late 4 PM Slate! The 2023 NFL season is underway, and that means our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great DFS plays we can look to take advantage of.
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PrizePicks Over/Under DFS Props Contests
PrizePicks is a great DFS picks site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play.
On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
Before diving into some solid fantasy score totals this week, we must first cover the PrizePicks scoring format. The format is PPR, which stands for "point per reception," meaning every reception is worth one point.
Rushing and receiving touchdowns are worth six points, and passing touchdowns are worth four points. Each rushing or receiving yard is worth .1, meaning every 10 yards of either is worth one point. Quarterback passing yards are worth .04, which means every 25 passing yards are worth one point.
If you ever have questions, you can always click the "scoring chart" option above the player selections for each contest. Now, let's get to some solid fantasy score props for this week.
NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Week 6
Be sure to also check out our brand new PrizePicks Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.
Zach Wilson MORE than 194.5 passing yards
Hold your nose when you play this prop as a Wilson over is never really something you want to play, but the matchup could be right in this situation. Wilson will be up against an Eagles defense that has allowed the sixth-most passing yards to the quarterback position in 2023 while allowing over 1,300 yards passing through five games.
The Eagles will also be touchdown favorites, which should lead to Wilson throwing the ball a bit more in this one. The Eagles have also allowed the third-fewest rushing yards to the running back position this season, which should force Wilson to throw more in this game. Lastly, Wilson has managed to eclipse this total in each of his previous two games.
Dallas Goedert MORE than 37.5 receiving yards
Dallas Goedert will be on the other side of this game, and while he has eclipsed this total in just two games this season, one came last week when he hauled in eight receptions for 117 yards. This could be the performance he needed in order to wake up for the 2023 season. The matchup against the Jets is a solid one as well.
In 2023, the Jets have allowed the ninth-most receiving yards to the tight end position. Meanwhile, they have also allowed the second-fewest receiving yards to the wide receiver position. If the Eagles want to move the ball through the air, Goedert seems to be their best option in this matchup.
Rachaad White LESS than 46.5 rushing yards.
This one could get a tad risky as White has eclipsed this total in two of his first four games. That being said, he eclipsed this total in games against defenses that were a bit worse against the run than Detroit has shown thus far in 2023.
On the season, Detroit has allowed the fourth-fewest rushing yards to the running back position by allowing an average of just 49.6 rushing yards per game. The fact that the Buccaneers are three-point underdogs in this game could also lead to fewer rushing attempts by White, who has carried the ball 29 times over the previous two contests.
Rhamondre Stevenson MORE than 44.5 rushing yards
This is one of the top five props listed on the PrizePicks Optimizer and definitely looks like a solid play for a couple of reasons. First, Stevenson will be up against a Raiders defense that has allowed an average of over 100 rushing yards per game to the running back position. Stevenson has also averaged 14 carries per game while eclipsing this total in two of his previous four contests. This prop is also listed at approximately 48.5 on most books, so we are getting a four-yard discount, which is why it is currently being given a 56.9% chance of success.
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