Denny Hamlin Probably Undervalued at Sonoma Due to Recent Unlucky Finishes
Source: Racing Reference

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July 13, 2025
Although Denny Hamlin doesn't have as strong a record at Sonoma as he does at many other tracks, he is probably going to be a little undervalued for DFS play because he has finished 31st, 36th, and 38th in his three races with the Next Gen car. However, that record is somewhat misleading with regard to how he has actually run as he wo the pole in 2023 and crashed after leading 33 laps then blew an engine on lap 3 last year, which suggests he will likely finish better than a statistical model based on recent performance would predict, particularly considering he had five consecutive top ten finishes at Sonoma before that, highlighted by a second-place finish where he arguably should've won before Tony Stewart ran him into the wall. Considering Joe Gibbs Racing's traditional road course speed and his 16th-place starting position, he should gain positions in the race, but maybe not enough to justify starting him.--Sean Wrona - RotoBaller
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