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The hardest Cup Series driver to evaluate, Chase Briscoe, has had an odd season-long trend of qualifying and finishing well but running worse than it appears on the surface. That can't be sustainable forever, and indeed Briscoe had an atypical race at Chicago where he might have had his best run of the season before cutting a tire last week. Briscoe has always been pretty solid on road courses with seven top-10 finishes in 24 starts, and with his second-place starting position on Sunday, he has earned his best start on a road course since 2022. However, he did so on a Sonoma track where he has never posted a top-10 finish, even though his No. 14 car predecessor Tony Stewart won there. Because of his volatility and how long he held Shane van Gisbergen off last week, he could have some potential to dominate this week, but he's probably not likely enough to dominate and overcome the positions he'll lose in place differential when he probably fails to finish in the top two.--Sean Wrona - RotoBaller
Source: Racing Reference
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