6 years agoFantasy owners who scooped up Milwaukee Brewers starter Chase Anderson in 2017 enjoyed a ride to 12 wins and a crisp 2.74 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. Heading into 2018 drafts, Anderson peddlers conveniently omitted the alarming flukiness of his “breakout” campaign (4.33 xFIP, .265 BABIP). Any owners duped into Anderson were left with a sour taste. While his 3.93 ERA in 2018 wasn’t horrible, Anderson’s K/9 dipped from 8.5 to 7.3, and a spike in walks resulted in a corresponding WHIP increase to 1.19. While still serviceable, any hints of ace-like qualities were dashed. With 2019 on the horizon, the market has learned its lesson and Anderson is well off the board at a 388 ADP. Despite the meaningful erosion in the headline stats last year, his numbers looked even worse under the hood. Anderson escaped last season with an unsustainable .239 BABIP. His xFIP (4.79) suggests his ERA should’ve been almost a full run worse. Without an overpowering fastball, Anderson doesn’t profile as a swing-and-miss starter and the batted balls will eventually catch up. Considering his ADP, Anderson will probably be a matchup-based streamer heading into April. In that context, a K/9 around 7.0, serviceable ratios and a plus team situation is acceptable. His home (5.03 ERA) and away (2.74) splits last season were also dramatic. Anderson is approved as a calculated stream, but don’t be conned into believing he’s a full-year fantasy starter.--Andrew Le - RotoBaller