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Welcome back, RotoBallers! We have what could be a fun matchup tonight as the Baltimore Ravens look to strengthen their claim to the AFC's number-one seed (7-3) as they head to the City of Angels to take on the Los Angeles Chargers (4-6).
We've been pretty successful over the past few seasons with these showdown slates and hopefully, that trend continues from last year into this year. Most of us started our fantasy journeys with football, so it's always nice when it comes around. Thanks to the advanced analytics of today, I'll do my best to provide you with as much in-depth analysis as possible regarding positional matchups and the like to help put some lunch money in your pocket. Let's make some coin this season gang, and let's get right to it.
I will be providing you with daily fantasy football picks on FanDuel and DraftKings for the Ravens vs. Chargers Sunday Night NFL DFS showdown slate on November 26. These NFL DFS lineup picks can vary from higher-priced players and elite options to lower-priced players and value picks on both DraftKings and FanDuel. If you have any questions, you can follow me on Twitter/X @LucidMediaDFS and fire away, or sign up for a premium RotoBaller NFL package and chat with me and other NFL DFS analysts at any time you'd like!
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MVP/Captain Plays
Lamar Jackson - QB, $18,000 (DK), $17,500 (FD)
Key Stats
- 2023 Stats: 2,441 passing yards, 12 touchdowns, five interceptions, 101 rushing attempts, 535 rushing yards, five rushing touchdowns, and six fumbles lost.
- Projected Pass DVOA: 32.62%
I'll start things off tonight with Lamar Jackson. The Ravens have been one of the best teams in football, but have been rather up and down when it comes to scoring. However, tonight they project some positive regression in both passing and rushing DVOA. Lamar projects to 286.36 passing yards and 49.86 rushing yards, as well as 1.51 passing touchdowns and 0.36 rushing touchdowns. He's the bona fide favorite to be the top scorer on this slate, and I believe he's worth his price tag.
Keenan Allen - WR, $16,800 (DK), $15,000 (FD)
Key Stats
- 2023 Stats: 113 targets, 83 catches, 1,011 receiving yards, eight touchdowns.
- Opposing DVOA vs WR1: -1.48%
I'll take a look at Keenan Allen next. The Chargers offense really runs through two players: Austin Ekeler and Keenan Allen. It's been more Allen than Ekeler this season. Tonight, Allen projects to 7.77 receptions on 10.77 targets for 90.78 yards and 0.47 touchdowns. It's always a tough matchup against this Ravens defense, and I'm sure they won't give Justin Herbert much time to breathe. However, Allen being used as both a safety net and playmaker creates a must-play opportunity, especially if this one turns into a shootout.
Other Captains/MVPs: Justin Herbert, Zay Flowers, Austin Ekeler, Isaiah Likely
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DFS Flex Plays
Zay Flowers - WR, $8,000 (DK), $11,000 (FD)
Key Stats
- 2023 Stats: 72 targets, 53 receptions, 588 receiving yards, one touchdown.
- Opponent DVOA vs. WR1: 30.46%
I'll take a look at probably my favorite player to correlate Lamar Jackson with tonight: his wide receiver Zay Flowers. Flowers has had somewhat of an up-and-down type of year, production-wise. Nevertheless, I'm sure the Ravens aren't too upset with what they're getting from their rookie receiver. Tonight, Flowers projects to 5.53 receptions on 7.67 targets for 75.23 receiving yards and 0.47 touchdowns. His positive matchup against this Chargers secondary gives me a good feeling about Flowers in this one.
Austin Ekeler - RB, $10,000 (DK), $14,500 (FD)
Key Stats
- 2023 Stats: 102 rushing attempts, 396 rushing yards, 38 targets, 24 receptions, 254 receiving yards, five touchdowns, and two fumbles lost.
- Projected Rush DVOA: -24.32%
I'll take a look at Austin Ekeler next. I mentioned earlier that the Chargers' offense primarily runs through their two skill position players. While I mentioned that Allen has been the ring leader, Ekeler isn't that far behind. Ekeler projects to 55.07 rushing yards on 13.2 rushing attempts and 4.68 receptions on 5.6 targets for 33.08 receiving yards. He also projects to 0.67 touchdowns. I can't imagine he'll be able to get much going on the ground tonight, but he should be effective in the passing game as the Ravens rank 25th in DVOA against running backs in the passing game (18.15%).
Other Flex Options: Justin Herbert, Odell Beckham Jr., Keaton Mitchell
DFS Value Plays
Isaiah Likely - TE, $5,200 (DK), $7,500 (FD)
Key Stats
- 2023 Stats: 12 targets, nine receptions, 89 receiving yards.
- Opponent DVOA vs. TE: 4.66%
I'll take a look at Isaiah Likely next. Likely will fill the massive void left behind by the absence of Mark Andrews. It's not going to be a 1:1 transition of course, but at his cheap price tonight, he is a must-play and I'm sure his ownership will appear as such. He projects to 3.26 receptions on 4.37 targets for 38.35 receiving yards and 0.27 touchdowns. Unless you're making 25+ lineups, I wouldn't fade Likely tonight whatsoever.
Baltimore Ravens - D/ST, $4,200 (DK), $9,500 (FD)
Key Stats
- 2023 Stats: 16.9 points per game allowed, 44 sacks, 10 interceptions, five fumble recoveries, and one defensive touchdown.
I'll wrap things up with the Ravens' defense. Baltimore has established itself at the top of the league with both sides of the ball, but their defense has been remarkable, ranking second in DVOA (-22.94%). While the Ravens' offense is showing positive regression in both the passing and rushing games, the Chargers will be doing the exact opposite. Baltimore also projects a 38.03% pressure rate and a 9.31% sack rate. They're a great play here.
Other Value Options: Gerald Everett, Rashod Bateman, Cameron Dicker
Enjoy the rest of your weekend and good luck everyone!
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