Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

NBA Punt Guide: The Degree of Difficulty of the Punt Strategies


With the 2018-2019 season approaching, we're ready to start rolling out NBA preview content for you guys, our readers. I believe that H2H Fantasy Basketball is right up there with Roto Baseball as the most skill-testing fantasy format and punting strategies are a huge reason why - they are simple to learn, hard to master, and are incredibly rewarding when you execute them properly.

Welcome to Part 3 of a large RotoBaller series on Punting in Head-to-Head fantasy basketball leagues. This is our most ambitious NBA project yet, a multi-part deep dive into every standard punt strategy in fantasy basketball with advanced punting strategies. Over the next little while (or long while!), we will look at how to approach first round picks, move on to separate guides for each of the eight standard punt strategies (FG%, FT%, 3PM, PTS, REB, AST, STL, BLK), and get you ready to move into each and every one of these builds should the opportunity present itself. Before taking a deep dive into strategies for each individual build, we'll be presenting a primer and looking at the concept of punting from a more general angle for those inexperienced with the concepts, and hoping to create a solid landing point for newer fantasy basketball players, showing anyone new to the game how to begin effectively utilizing the defining strategy of the game we all love.

Now that we've covered some of the basics of punting as well as common pitfalls managers face when punting, let's look at the different categories of punting. Not all category punts are build alike - some are more difficult than others.

Editor's Note: Get any full-season NBA and DFS Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive DFS tools, Lineup Optimizer and daily Premium DFS Research. Sign Up Now!

 

Ranking The Degree of Difficulty of the Punt Strategies

When I was first exposed to punting, I had no idea where to begin. Moving from only knowing balanced teams to trying to master punting let's you see the game in a completely different light. It's like going from driving a car to finding yourself at the controls of a jet. Sure you know you're faster, but it'll take a while to figure out how to use that speed. That being said, not all punt strategies are equally difficult to navigate, and it may be better to roll with a strategy that is easier to start than jumping straight into the harder ones. Here's my take on the difficulty of each of the 8 main single punt strategies, and how likely I think a new player will be able to fly that plane.

Clear Skies, Let's Go For A Joy Ride - Punt Points

In my opinion, the easiest punt build to play for a couple of reasons. Firstly, points is the most overdrafted category in most leagues. I'm sure the majority of you don't play in super leagues full of experts so in most cases, your league will probably overdraft points, making the draft board chock full of value if you are punting that category. You'll naturally avoid some of the most overrated 8/9-cat players by going punt points (hello Andrew Wiggins and Harrison Barnes), and end up with some of the best value pickups out there because there's almost always mid-round value guys for the build just floating around on the waiver wire. Think about your own league, and how easy it is even in a 14-teamer to find someone like a Danny Green or P.J. Tucker for free to bolster certain cats in a week.

Your contrary stats (see the last part for more on contrary stats) are the easiest to find on the wire. For punt points, that would be 3s and steals, which you can get with guys like Green and Tucker really easily. The only contrary stat you need to go out of your way to draft is FT%, which will probably end up being your most volatile stat in this build.

Finally, by virtue of being in punt points, you end up really well positioned to hold lottery tickets early before they cash. For example, before someone like Rudy Gobert broke out, they would have been off most people's radars in balanced or other punt builds, but because you are punt points, he would have been providing enough value to roster even in very low minutes, and there's a much higher chance you would have picked up and held him to reap the benefits of his mid season breakout. Great punt point teams definitely end up with the most "your team looks like a bunch of randoms, how the heck are you first?!" reactions, and you know you've succeeded when you get that message.

A Little Turbulence But You'll Live - Punt FG%, Punt FT%, Punt 3s

I find the % builds very easy to pick up due to the fact that it's a bit more intuitive to build a team around counting stats when you can disregard one of the rates. They're also the easiest to steal weeks with your punted stat due to them being rate stats -you can just hit a super high roll for your % and have guys like Andre Drummond and Dwight Howard shoot 80% over a small sample size week, which is a lot more common than being punt points and having multiple Larry Nance type players pop off for multiple 20 point games or something.

Punt 3s is here because 3s is probably the second most overdrafted stat after points, and it's really easy to find 0 3PM centers that can contribute in a number of categories running around on your wire. Think John Henson types. You also end up naturally passing up on a long list of overrated players similar to in punt points.

These three strategies are fairly easy to draft and manage, and are all solid options to try for a first time punter.

Sharp Turns and Barrel Rolls - Punt Assists, Punt Rebounds

Punt assists is fairly intuitive to build but it forces you to get creative to cover your contraries, with 3s as the especially hard one to fill. You usually end up having to pay sticker price for a decent guard anyways, especially if there are multiple punt assist drafters in your league.

Punt rebounds is kind of in the same boat where your main contraries, blocks and FG% are pretty hard to cover since there is so much overlap between those 3 stats. It makes early pivots a lot more important, and this is one of the builds where your first round pick will matter a lot more as having a pivot for the contrary stats like Kevin Durant or Giannis Antetokounmpo is a huge part of drafting a successful team.

These two builds are both alright choices with just a small layer of difficulty added. I'd say punts assists is a decent bit easier than rebounds but definitely a tier above the first four options in terms of difficulty.

Houston, We Have A Problem (and it's not named Carmelo) - Punt Steals, Punt Blocks

These two builds are definitely the hardest because we have the opposite situation we had with points where these are probably the most under-drafted categories in the majority of leagues. I drafted punt blocks 3 times, and two of those times, I ended up just finding enough blocks on the waiver wire trying to steal the category some weeks and ending up with a team that finished as more of a balanced team than a true punt blocks team. The edge gained from drafting these strategies will not be as big in most leagues, and they should be reserved for high difficulty leagues where you know almost everyone will be punting and has a good sense of valuation.

Speaking of punt breakers, they are at their highest level of importance in these builds, especially dailies, because weekly totals for these two stats can be very low in any given week and there are going to be lots of opportunities to punt break against your opponents, many of who will be weaker in these stats than something like points or 3s.

I would recommend avoiding these builds for newer players, as well as those of you playing in relatively weaker leagues.

 

Next: First Round Picks in Punt Strategy

The RotoBaller Guide to Punting in Fantasy Basketball




More Recent Articles

 

Biggest Breakouts of 2019: Quarterback

2019 was a very interesting season of fantasy football, to say the least. It's safe to say no one was banking on the season that we saw from Lamar Jackson but he wasn't the only one to stand out. At the quarterback position, we saw some really exciting players start to shine and some older... Read More


Goodbye Runners, Hello Pass-Catching RBs: 2019 Season Trends

As the 2019 summer kept going we all had two things in our minds with regard to September's fantasy drafts and both of them were related to running backs: Where in the world are Ezekiel Elliott and Melvin Gordon and when will they be back? It made sense back then (and it still does now,... Read More


Where Does 2019 Rank Historically Among ADP Movers?

I have worked on a season-review series of articles in which I have analyzed the biggest winners and losers in terms of ADP entering draft season compared to the end of the year final results. It was plenty of fun looking back at the gambles most of us took which ultimately paid off, but also... Read More


Biggest Busts of 2019: Tight End

2019 was not the record-breaking season for tight ends 2018 was. San Francisco’s George Kittle (most receiving yards for a TE in a season) and Philadelphia’s Zach Ertz (most receptions for a TE in a season) did not break the records they set last season, although both were fine for fantasy players. Kansas City’s Travis... Read More


Rushing Quarterbacks Are Becoming Necessary

The 2019 fantasy season is over. We are all thinking about what to do come 2020 draft day. So let me ask you something. What if I offer you the chance of drafting a quarterback who is a lock to finish the season with 270 fantasy points? Would you take him and make him your... Read More


Biggest Breakouts Of 2019: Wide Receivers

As we enter the initial phase of offseason activities you have recently completed a painstaking process of creating and managing rosters, with the goal of winning fantasy championships in 2019. Now, many of you have already shifted your focus toward planning your drafts in Best Ball and redraft leagues, while others are contemplating how you... Read More


Tight End ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, as sure-fire players are expected to reward their owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they put up a season-long dud, though, you'll... Read More


Running Back ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, a sure-fire player is expected to reward his owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they end up as a season-long dud, though,... Read More


Biggest Surprises of 2019: Tight End

The 2019 NFL season was anything but predictable. I mean, the Tennessee Titans made the AFC title game! Andrew Luck retired right before the season! [Insert one of many, many other things here, because all lists need three items but I couldn't decide between all the possible third options.] One position where things at the... Read More


Wide Receiver Risers and Fallers: 2019 Season Review

We continue our series covering the biggest risers and fallers of 2019 with the wide receiver position. I'll look at both 2018 and 2019 statistical outcomes from every player, contrast their performances, calculate differences in each category and come up with the most prominent names going forward. This past season, receivers didn't dominate in fantasy,... Read More


Wide Receiver ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, as sure-fire players are expected to reward his owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they put up a season-long dud, though, you'll... Read More


XFL Fantasy Football Rankings (Preseason)

As of this writing, there is exactly one month until XFL regular-season action begins. On February 8, the latest upstart professional league will kickoff (again) with spring football. It goes without saying that we hope it goes better than the first time, back in 2001, and lasts longer than the AAF. Before you settle in... Read More


Biggest Busts of 2019: Quarterback

The 2019 NFL season is over, and it's time to look back on what happened. 2019 was a year where some quarterbacks -- Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen -- leaped up to the top of the fantasy charts, while other guys faded from where they were expected to perform. Today, I want to talk about three... Read More


Quarterback ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, as sure-fire players are expected to reward their owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they put up a season-long dud, though, you'll... Read More


Biggest Breakouts of 2019: Running Back

The 2019 fantasy football was filled with plenty of surprises across the board. Between guys like Devante Parker breaking out and David Johnson being a total dud, there was plenty of action that kept the fantasy season interesting. At the running back position, there were some very interesting young names that took off and broke... Read More