BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~73 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~83
ANALYSIS: Joe Burrow was averaging just under 18 fantasy points per game in 2020 before going down with a torn ACL in Week 10. While the Bengals' defense should be better in 2021 because they get some players back from injury, it's still going to be a below-average unit, meaning Burrow will need to throw the ball a ton to keep pace with the opposition. The Bengals added Ja'Marr Chase in the draft who was Burrow's No. 1 receiver at LSU which makes the Bengals very difficult to defend on offense given they already have Joe Mixon, Tyler Boyd and Tee Higgins.
At Burrow's current ADP, he's being taken right around guys like Antonio Brown, David Johnson, James Conner, and Jarvis Landry. I would rather take a difference-maker like Burrow than a running back with injury concerns or a wide receiver with a lot of competition for targets. Burrow is being taken as the QB13, which is a nice spot because it means you can feel out the draft room and potentially hold off on drafting him until even later than his ADP if most of the other managers in your league have already drafted a QB.
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