Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!


Receive free daily analysis


Already have an account? Log In


Forgot Password


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Jean Segura to Phillies - Fantasy Impact

The Mariners' teardown continued apace on Monday as the rumors were finally announced as fact: Jean Segura is on his way to Philadelphia. Joining him in the better half of the state of Pennsylvania will be relievers Juan Nicasio and James Pazos. Meanwhile, Carlos "Smooth" Santana and former top prospect J.P. Crawford have been sent to Seattle.

While Nicasio and Pazos will provide bullpen depth for the Phillies in 2019, their chances of fantasy relevance are slim. Segura is obviously the headliner - cf. the, uh, headline of this article - but Santana and Crawford may have value as well in the wake of the deal.

There are other places to dissect what this means for the franchises on the actual field of play. However, in the interest of full disclosure: given my rooting interests, I am positively inclined toward this transaction. It feels like a solid win for the Phillies. Could it also be one for your fantasy team? Let's find out!

Featured Promo: Get your 2023 MLB Premium Pass for 50% off. Exclusive access to our preseason Draft Kit, #1 accuracy rankings, #1 ATC projections, Team Sync platform, Live Draft Assistant, 15 in-season lineup tools, customized rankings and much more! Sign Up Now!


Segura: A Fitting Name

Segura means "safe" in Spanish. It would have been difficult to imagine after his performance in 2015, but the 28-year-old shortstop has lived up to that moniker over the past three seasons. He's hit .300 in all three of those years. Only three other players can say that: Mike Trout, Jose Altuve, and Freddie Freeman. Segura's .308 average is tops among shortstops over that span, while his 273 runs scored and his 75 stolen bases rank third. He's also popped 41 home runs in that time, so he's not a liability in that category either, even if he can't get back to the career high of 20 he set with Arizona in 2016.

Citizens Bank Park plays a lot more like Chase Field than Safeco Field, so Segura will be well-positioned to take a run at that number. We know the average is reliable, and that will keep him at the top of the lineup, which makes runs bankable as well. He's stolen at least 20 bases in each of his six MLB seasons, and there's little reason to expect his seventh won't bring more of the same. What you're left with is a good, high-floor three-category shortstop who will probably crack 10-15 bombs, with a few bonus dingers plausible.

What also matters, and what we don't know yet, is the composition of hitters below him. Rhys Hoskins is a lock. Odubel Herrera probably is as well. Jorge Alfaro, sure. Beyond that, it's anyone's guess. The Phillies are open to trading basically anyone on the roster and have been seriously linked to Bryce Harper and Manny Machado this winter. (They are also in on Patrick Corbin and probably every other player that isn't nailed down, but that's what happens when you have a decent number of holes, including the most important one - the flaming hole in the owner's pocket.) They probably will not get both of them, unless the universe has just decided it's time to shower me with happiness. But even one of those generational talents makes a huge difference to Segura's fantasy value. Harper instead of Nick Williams. Machado rather than Maikel Franco. These are major differences, folks. The truth is we can't say to a certainty what this trade means for Segura's outlook until we see what else Matt Klentak and company accomplish over the coming weeks or, god help us all, months.


Seattle's Haul

Santana, signed to a three-year contract last winter, winds up spending only one of those years in red pinstripes. His first and only season in Philly was a mixed bag. He did his thing - lots of walks, not a lot of strikeouts, solid counting stats (24 HR, 86 R, 82 RBI) - but after two seasons of hitting .259, he fell to a .229 mark in 2018. That left him barely a top-2o fantasy option at first base, and this deal doesn't help his fantasy value. Safeco is a pitcher-friendly park, and the Mariners don't figure to boast an imposing lineup as they rip their roster down to the studs. If Santana performs well anyway, he's an obvious July trade candidate.

The crux of this deal for the Mariners, instead, is Crawford. Highly regarded as he progressed through the minors after the Phillies chose him in the first round of the 2013 amateur draft, the soon to be 24-year-old has yet to make an impact at the major league level. The hope for Crawford was always that his glove and plate approach would allow him to focus his efforts on improving his hit tool and tapping fully into his power. That could still happen. Crawford's .214/.319/.393 MLB line certainly is not impressive, but it's also just 225 plate appearances, and he's dealt with a few injuries along the way.

The issue from a fantasy perspective is that Crawford has, from the jump, been a prospect who had greater value and utility in real baseball than in our game. He lacks a loud tool, and his ceiling is probably something on the order of .270 with mid-double digit totals in both home runs and stolen bases. For what it's worth, I expect him to reach that ceiling. That said, it's merely useful in some formats. While the team and park context we're dinging Santana for certainly apply to Crawford as well, it sounds like he's the Opening Day shortstop for Seattle, and the M's are likely to give him a long leash. The Phillies are trying to return to the playoffs for the first time since 2011; it follows that they would have less of an inclination to simply let Crawford sink or swim.

The winter meetings loom and they should kick a highly anticipated offseason that's already seen a few big moves into high gear. RotoBaller will be here to sort out the fantasy implications every step of the way. Until next transaction, friends.

More 2019 Fantasy Baseball Analysis


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts


Juan Soto3 mins ago

Not Focused On Contract Situation
Paolo Banchero7 mins ago

Shines Against Washington
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander16 mins ago

Piles Up 39 Points Friday
Jake Cronenworth22 mins ago

Padres Agree To Extension
Anthony Davis23 mins ago

Battles Through Injury For A Big Double-Double
Nolan Jones30 mins ago

Homers Twice For Albuquerque
Jonathan Toews31 mins ago

Returns To Action Saturday
Tyler Toffoli41 mins ago

Nets Two Goals Against Vancouver
Clayton Keller50 mins ago

Keeps Point Streak Going Friday
Jason Robertson1 hour ago

Sets New Stars Scoring Record
Adam Fox1 hour ago

Continues Hot Spell With A Goal
Casey Mittelstadt1 hour ago

Hands Out Two Assists
Steven Kwan3 hours ago

Plates Five In Win Over Seattle
Tee Higgins10 hours ago

Not Concerned About Contract Situation
Jeff Skinner10 hours ago

Scores Game-Winning Goal In Overtime
Devon Levi11 hours ago

Earns Victory In NHL Debut
A.J. Puk12 hours ago

Picks Up Save For Marlins Friday
Rhys Hoskins12 hours ago

Undergoes Successful Knee Surgery
Nick Solak13 hours ago

Mariners Acquire Nick Solak From Reds
Justin Verlander13 hours ago

Does Some Light Throwing
Luis Urías13 hours ago

Luis Urias Reportedly Heading To Injured List
Joey Wiemer13 hours ago

Reportedly Will Be Called Up
Anthony Rendon14 hours ago

Being Investigated By MLB
Willson Contreras14 hours ago

Receives Good News On Friday
Seattle Seahawks15 hours ago

Ryan Neal Becomes Free Agent
Pharaoh Brown15 hours ago

Joins Colts
Darrynton Evans15 hours ago

To Meet With Colts
Laquon Treadwell15 hours ago

Working Out For Cowboys
Zach Collins15 hours ago

Out Against Golden State
De'Andre Hunter16 hours ago

Out With A Knee Injury On Friday
Oscar Gonzalez16 hours ago

Starting On Friday
Obi Toppin16 hours ago

Will Start Against The Cavs
Jarrett Allen16 hours ago

Downgraded To Out On Friday
Nelson Cruz16 hours ago

Batting Cleanup On Friday
Mike Moustakas16 hours ago

Remains Out Again
Michael Brantley16 hours ago

Takes Batting Practice
Andrew Vaughn16 hours ago

Sitting On Friday
Gavin Sheets18 hours ago

Oscar Colas Starting On Friday
Paul Sewald18 hours ago

Picks Up Win On Opening Day
Garrett Whitlock18 hours ago

Making Rehab Start Friday
Josh Rojas19 hours ago

Hitting Leadoff Against Dodgers
Portland Trail Blazers19 hours ago

LaMarcus Aldridge Officially Retires From The NBA
Jamal Murray19 hours ago

Considered Questionable Against Phoenix
Nikola Jokic19 hours ago

Could Miss His Second Consecutive Game
Kenyon Martin19 hours ago

Jr. Uncertain To Play Against Detroit
Tobias Harris19 hours ago

Could Miss Friday's Game Against Toronto
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander19 hours ago

Upgraded To Questionable On Friday
Al Horford19 hours ago

Uncertain To Suit Up On Friday
Jaylen Brown19 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable With Lower-Back Pain
Jayson Tatum20 hours ago

Listed As Questionable Against Utah
Kelly Olynyk20 hours ago

Is Available Against Boston On Friday
De'Andre Hunter20 hours ago

Downgraded To Out On Friday
Trayveon Williams22 hours ago

Bengals Have High Hopes For Trayveon Williams
Joe Burrow22 hours ago

Bengals Begin Extension Discussions With Joe Burrow
Mac Jones22 hours ago

Bill Belichick Still Non-Committal On Mac Jones
Sammy Blais24 hours ago

Extends Point Streak To Six Games
Cam Talbot24 hours ago

Makes A Winning Return
Matthew Beniers24 hours ago

Logs Two Points Against Anaheim
Stuart Skinner24 hours ago

Grabs A 43-Save Shutout
Tristan Jarry1 day ago

Records His Second Shutout
Matthew Tkachuk1 day ago

Rolls To Four Points Versus Montreal
T.J. Oshie1 day ago

Exits With An Upper-Body Injury
Mikey Anderson1 day ago

Injured On First Shift Thursday
CJ McCollum1 day ago

Drops 23 Points In Easy Win Over Denver
Jamal Murray1 day ago

Salvages Solid Performance In Loss
Brandon Ingram1 day ago

Secures A Triple-Double Against Denver
Linus Ullmark1 day ago

Allows One Goal In Overtime Victory
David Pastrnak1 day ago

Scores Game-Winning Goal
Baltimore Ravens2 days ago

Ravens Have Been Active In Receiver Market
Baker Mayfield2 days ago

Kyle Trask To Compete In Training Camp
Courtland Sutton2 days ago

Broncos Could Still Trade Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton
DeAndre Hopkins2 days ago

To Stay With Cardinals?
Odell Beckham Jr.2 days ago

Jets The Most Likely Landing Spot For Odell Beckham Jr.
Carolina Panthers2 days ago

Panthers Not Settled On One QB For No. 1 Pick
Lamar Jackson2 days ago

Not Seeking Fully Guaranteed Deal
Nathan Peterman2 days ago

Re-Signs With Bears
Ryan Lindgren2 days ago

A Game-Time Decision Against New Jersey
Seth Jones2 days ago

Expects To Play Thursday
David Savard2 days ago

A Game-Time Call Thursday
Dre Miller2 days ago

Kendre Miller Ahead Of Schedule
Buffalo Bills2 days ago

Bills Re-Sign Jordan Phillips
Las Vegas Raiders2 days ago

Alex Bars Returns To Raiders On One-Year Deal
Dallas Cowboys2 days ago

Johnathan Hankins Re-Signs With Cowboys
NFL2 days ago

Wanya Morris Getting Close To 100%
Brendon Todd3 days ago

Has Success At TPC San Antonio
Ben Martin3 days ago

Has Value At TPC San Antonio
Nick Taylor3 days ago

A Boom-Or-Bust Option At Valero
Taylor Pendrith3 days ago

A Sleeper Option At TPC San Antonio
Chris Kirk3 days ago

A Good Option At The Valero Texas Open
Matt Kuchar3 days ago

Loves Playing TPC San Antonio
Will Gordon3 days ago

Offers A Wild-Card Option At Valero
Cam Davis3 days ago

Can Keep His Current Form At TPC San Antonio
Mark Hubbard4 days ago

A Low-Risk Value Option At Valero
Tyler Duncan4 days ago

Start Tyler Duncan At TPC San Antonio
Emiliano Grillo4 days ago

Not Recommended At Valero
Patrick Rodgers4 days ago

Don't Give Patrick Rodgers A Shot At Valero
Adam Schenk4 days ago

Wants To Keep Momentum Rolling At Valero
Ryan Moore4 days ago

Cannot Get Past The Cut Lately
Stephan Jaeger4 days ago

Could Warm Things Up At Valero
Si Woo Kim4 days ago

A Possible Contender At Valero
Taylor Montgomery4 days ago

Attempting To Find Weekend Consistency
Corey Conners4 days ago

Trying To Recreate A Little Magic
Thomas Detry4 days ago

Continues To Impress In Rookie Season
Aaron Rai4 days ago

Brings Positive Momentum To Valero Texas Open
Akshay Bhatia4 days ago

Looks To Stay Hot In Texas
Todd Gilliland5 days ago

Impressive At COTA
Ty Gibbs5 days ago

Finds His Footing At COTA
Chris Buescher5 days ago

Continues To Shine On Road Courses
NASCAR5 days ago

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Finishes Seventh
Austin Cindric5 days ago

Has A Solid Day
Marlon Vera5 days ago

Has Four-Fight Winning Streak Snapped
Cory Sandhagen5 days ago

Dominates Striking Department
Yana Santos5 days ago

Dominated In Decision Loss
Holly Holm5 days ago

Dominates In Co-Main Event
Austin Lingo5 days ago

Suffers Submission Loss
Nate Landwehr5 days ago

Shines With Second-Round Submission Win
Andrea Lee5 days ago

Suffers Defeat In Close Matchup Saturday
Maycee Barber5 days ago

Takes Close Matchup On Saturday
Chidi Njokuani5 days ago

Takes Close Loss In Split-Decision Showing
Albert Duraev5 days ago

Holds Off Opponent In Tight Split Decision
William Byron5 days ago

Rounds Out Top Five At COTA
Ross Chastain5 days ago

Caught Up To Fourth At COTA On Sunday
Alex Bowman5 days ago

Brings Home Third Place Finish At COTA
Kyle Busch5 days ago

Scrambles Up To Second At Austin
Tyler Reddick5 days ago

Dominates And Wins At COTA