RADIO
James Conner fantasy football start 'em, sit 'em picks for Week 1 (2024). Should you start or sit James Conner for fantasy football lineups?
BALLER MOVE: Start in 12+ Team Leagues
POSITIONAL VALUE: Low-end RB2
ANALYSIS: At first glance, this is a tough matchup. Arizona’s offensive line is a weakness and Buffalo’s defense has been stout. However, per FTN Fantasy, Buffalo only ranked 17th in defensive rush DVOA in 2023. Arizona’s offense struggled last year, but the one thing they did well down the stretch was run the football.
The Cardinals ranked 2nd in Rush EPA/play after Kyler Murray returned from injury last season (Week 10 on).
Drew Petzing used heavy personnel, took advantage of Murray's rushing ability, and James Connor led the league in broken tackles and yards after contact during that time pic.twitter.com/b9dOXHgsIV
— Shawn Syed (@SyedSchemes) June 14, 2024
Buffalo’s run defense was also vulnerable to big plays in 2023. Per Fantasy Points Data Suite, Buffalo gave up the fifth most Explosive Rushing Yards (runs that go for 15+ yards).
Conner could take advantage. Among rushers with 100+ attempts, he finished seventh in Explosive Run % and Explosive Rush Yards.
James Conner ties it up!
📺: #SEAvsAZ on FOX
📱: Stream on #NFLPlus https://t.co/X0vcyHUoyR pic.twitter.com/8lawpsuYwD— NFL (@NFL) January 7, 2024
Things get complicated for Arizona from a schematic standpoint though. Per Fantasy Points Data Suite, Arizona ran the seventh most man/gap concept run plays last year and finished with a 47.8% success rate. Buffalo defended man/gap run plays very well a year ago and only allowed a 38.2% success rate. The loss of star linebacker Matt Milano is significant, but Buffalo still defended man/gap runs very well without him (38.9% success rate).
This is a game where Conner could have a surprise spike game, but it’s a tough schematic matchup. If Arizona keeps the score close, then Conner could find success with splash plays.
Start him as an RB2 if needed, but he’s a better Flex play as this feels like a boom/bust type of matchup.
More Fantasy Football Start 'Em, Sit 'Em Picks
Courtland Sutton - Fantasy Football Start 'Em, Sit 'Em Picks for Week 2 (2025)
BALLER MOVE: Start in all leagues POSITIONAL VALUE: Upside WR2 ANALYSIS: Denver Broncos wide receiver Courtland Sutton was one of the few bright spots in the Denver offense this weekend. Despite picking up the victory over the Tennessee Titans, the Broncos struggled to find much rhythm in the passing game. However, Sutton was still able […]
Michael Pittman Jr. - Fantasy Football Start 'Em, Sit 'Em Picks for Week 2 (2025)
BALLER MOVE: Start in 12+ team leagues POSITIONAL VALUE: WR3/FLEX ANALYSIS: The Indianapolis Colts enjoyed an impressive start to the 2025 season. In their Week 1 victory, their offense, led by former Giants QB Daniel Jones, looked unstoppable as they scored 33 points against the Dolphins. During this contest, top wide receiver Michael Pittman Jr. […]
DJ Moore - Fantasy Football Start 'Em, Sit 'Em Picks for Week 2 (2025)
BALLER MOVE: Start in 10+ team leagues POSITIONAL VALUE: Upside WR3/FLEX ANALYSIS: The Chicago Bears struggled to find much consistency on offense in their Week 1 loss to the Vikings, but wide receiver DJ Moore still carries high-end WR3 value heading into a Week 2 tilt against the Detroit Lions. In the season opener, Moore […]
Tyrone Tracy Jr. - Fantasy Football Start 'Em, Sit 'Em Picks for Week 2 (2025)
BALLER MOVE: Start in 10+ team leagues POSITIONAL VALUE: RB3/FLEX ANALYSIS: New York Giants running back Tyrone Tracy Jr. was able to take over the backfield quite early during his rookie season and opened 2025 as the clear starter. In Week 1, Tracy and the entire Giants offense struggled against the Commanders as they scored […]
Calvin Austin III, Rashid Shaheed, Josh Downs: Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em Picks for Fantasy Football Week 2
Just like that, we're heading into the second week of the 2025 NFL season. Now, fantasy managers need to nail those tough start/sit decisions if they want to have a chance at winning their leagues this year. Luckily for you, RotoBaller is here to help. Today, we will cover Calvin Austin III, Rashid Shaheed, and […]
Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App
Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!
