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Los Angeles Angels starting pitcher Griffin Canning is a 2021 fantasy baseball draft value. His ADP is undervalued, making him a potential draft bargain and late-round sleeper to target.
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 275
CURRENT ADP: ~290 overall
ANALYSIS: Canning had his struggles last year after getting a late start to the year after dealing with some elbow injuries. His 23.5%-9.7% K-BB ratio is far from encouraging, but I think that was attributable to the elbow discomfort and delayed season.
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What this Angels righty has going for him is a deep pitch arsenal. He has a pretty strong fastball that he reached the upper-nineties with in his rookie season. The velocity took a small step backward last year, but I expect that to return in 2021 if he's healthy. Playing off the heater is one of the more impressive curveballs in the game, which earned a 45% whiff rate (this is swings-and-misses divided by total swings) in 2019, and a 47% rate in 2020. This curveball has one of the highest spin rates in the league, and he throws it in the upper-eighties.
He adds to this a slider and changeup combination that still needs some development, but there is real promise there. In all, Canning is a young guy with a really strong arm that had lots of success in the minor leagues, and he's being wildly overlooked in drafts right now.
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