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The top daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for FanDuel and DraftKings on May 10th, 2022. Thunder Dan's MLB DFS analysis and sleepers for building optimal DFS rosters.
Hey there, this is John Brubaker pinch-hitting and dropping some of my favorite plays for tonight's slate. After a smaller slate last evening, we're digging into a nice 12-game slate tonight. As with most large slates, we'll have a decent split of cash and GPP options on the table, so I'll do my best to highlight them both below.
This article will provide my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on 5/10/2022 at 7:05 pm EST. The lineup picks will range from some elite players to mid-priced options, and value plays. The main slate is 12 games on both DraftKings and FanDuel.
You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for other sports here. It's also essential to monitor injury news and today's MLB starting lineups. Now that we got all of that out of the way, it's onto the picks!
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DraftKings, FanDuel Pitchers - MLB DFS Lineup Picks
Aaron Nola, SD vs. CHC ($8,900 DK, $9,700 FD)
Aaron Nola will likely be the chalkiest pitcher on the slate tonight. He's coming off an excellent start against the Mets where he allowed just one run on three hits, a walk, and seven strikeouts. He brings in a 3.38 ERA and 2.55 xFIP into this one, with a very good 31.1% strikeout rating.
Nola and the Phillies will be taking on the Mariners, and reigning AL Cy Young winner Robbie Ray. The Phillies are -121 as I'm writing this, and Seattle comes in with a team total of just 3.5. While Seattle does rank ninth in the league against right-handed pitchers in wOBA, I see Nola limiting the home run ball and racking up the strikeouts in this one, continuing to pitch well as he's done over the last two weeks. He grades out to an 87.05 rating on my model, second on the slate behind just Garrett Whitlock.
Mike Clevinger, SD vs. CHC ($6,900 DK, $7,600 FD)
Clevinger wasn't necessarily "fantastic" in his return to Cleveland last Wednesday, allowing three runs on four hits and just four strikeouts. There is optimism, though, considering he threw 95 pitches. The Guardians have been a scrappy offensive team, and it's safe to say the Cubs aren't necessarily that, despite last night's win.
The Cubs rank 19th in wOBA and wRC+ against righties, and come into this one with a K-rate of 25%. I think with the first outing nerves gone, Clevinger should settle into this one as we'll see his strikeouts go up and his walks go down. He grades out to a 71.43 rating on my model, and while that's tenth on the slate, he's so cheap that he's surely going to be the chalk SP2 on DraftKings. I won't be as excited to play him on FanDuel but will sneak him in if I end up paying up for some stacks.
Also consider: Lucas Giolito, and Garrett Whitlock (DK GPP Only)
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DraftKings, FanDuel Infielders - MLB DFS Lineup Picks
Pete Alonso - 1B, NYM vs. Patrick Corbin ($4,800 DK, $3,800 FD)
I'm all in on stacking the Mets today against Patrick Corbin, who has been a bit up and down this season. Despite allowing five runs (three earned) at Coors last Wednesday, Corbin managed to toss a complete game. He brings an 0-5 record and a 7.16 ERA into this one.
We know Alonso has big power, and he showed that on Sunday against Philadelphia, crushing two home runs in Game 2 of their doubleheader. He's been seeing left-handed pitching well this season, and he grades out to a 62.76 rating on my model. My model for player ratings varies between 30-70, so we're getting high-end value here with Polar Pete. He sees Corbin well too, coming into this one hitting .344 with four homers in 32 at-bats against the southpaw.
Francisco Lindor - SS, NYM vs. Patrick Corbin ($5,100 DK, $3,500 FD)
My second hitter of the day will also be a Met, shortstop Francisco Lindor. Lindor has begun to turn it around following a down 2021 season, and despite hitting just .241 he's logged five homers, three stolen bases, and 19 RBIs. He grades out to a 58.82 rating on the model, providing some solid value here for us. Lindor is five for 17 against Corbin with just one extra-base hit, a double, against Corbin. However, he sits right in the middle of a Mets stack I'll want a ton of tonight.
Yoan Moncada - 3B, CWS vs. Cal Quantrill ($4,300 DK, $2,800 FD)
Moncada made his debut last night against Cleveland, so I can't guarantee he'll play in this one coming back from an oblique injury. If he sits out I'll make a change, He logged a hit, walk, and run in his debut, though left a disappointing five runners on base.
Nevertheless, based on his 2021 numbers, I grade Moncada with a 51.48 rating. While this isn't the best value on the slate, Moncada provides solid value at third base on both sites, particularly FanDuel, should you want to fade other guys I like at the position like Eduardo Escobar and Yandy Diaz. Moncada is three for ten against Quantrill, all singles, but we'll see how the White Sox bounce back after losing last night despite a nine-run offensive breakout.
DraftKings, FanDuel Outfielders - MLB DFS Lineup Picks
Randy Arozarena - OF, TB vs. Reid Detmers ($3,900 DK, $2,800 FD)
I'll likely be paying up for pitching today, so I'll be saving some salary in the outfield. Reid Detmers takes the mound for LA today, bringing in a 1-1 record and 5.32 ERA. He has a home run rating of 47.14 on my model, among the worst on the slate.
I'll be looking at a guy who hit his first homer of the season last night, Randy Arozarena, as a key piece in Rays stacks across my lineups. While he's hitting just .235 with one homer on the year, he has logged four stolen bags and the Rays should turn it around today against Detmers. Arozarena's been heating up of late, and we'll catch that wave in a favorable matchup that gives him a 52.64 rating in my model.
Jorge Soler - OF, MIA vs. Madison Bumgarner ($3,600 DK, $3,000 FD)
We're looking at some boom or bust value today with Jorge Soler, who's coming into this one hitting just .174 with four home runs. He's struggled against MadBum in his career, going without a hit in his first seven at-bats against the lefty. Bumgarner has been solid so far this season but is due for regression given his 5.01 xFIP. Soler grades out to a 55.23 grade on my model, so we'll see how the Marlins can handle Bumgarner after seeing him for just one inning after he got ejected last Wednesday.
Mark Canha - OF, NYM vs. Patrick Corbin ($2,700 DK, $2,600 FD)
While the power numbers are down this season for Canha, who has just one home run on the season, he is hitting .297 on the year. Canha should get a bump up in the lineup against southpaw Patrick Corbin, as he's projected to hit second today.
Canha brings solid value to this slate from the outfield position on both sites, grading out with a 52.82 rating on my model. With the potential bump in the order as well as his price on both sites, I can't imagine his ownership won't be on the higher end of the slate. However, should he hit lower in the order, I don't mind playing him in GPPs, but will opt for whoever's in the top three of the Mets' lineup (eg. Starling Marte).
DraftKings, FanDuel MLB DFS Stacks
New York Mets vs. Patrick Corbin
Obviously, this one was coming. Despite Corbin being up and down all season, he struggles heavily against the Mets who despite not hitting the ball "hard" necessarily, have not had any trouble putting runs up on the board. New York is among the more reliable teams to stack thus far in the MLB season, and I'll have no problem doing so again today. The Mets have a 51.64 grade on my model, and while they're considered the fifth-ranked stack on the slate, I bump them up a little higher and will be about on par with the field in regards to ownership.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Reid Detmers
Despite them scoring just three runs last night, I will be looking at the Rays to bounce back today against Detmers. Their team total is coming in at just 4.2, but I have them graded out to a 55.74 rating, the highest on the slate. The Rays rank fifth in the league in both wOBA and wRC+ against lefties and should knock a struggling Detmers around early in the game, leading to the Angels going to their bullpen, which ranks 20th in the bigs in xFIP, early on in this one.
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