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Expert Monday Night Football betting predictions, best MNF prop bets, and odds analysis for Week 8. Free Monday Night Football picks and player props for tonight's game including our top pick for an anytime touchdown.
Hello everybody, and welcome to Week 8's edition of Monday Night Football bets and props! The NFL season is now in full swing, and we here at RotoBaller could not be more thrilled to bring you some of the best content in the market. We are excited to bring betting content to all those interested in every slate in any given week.
This weekly article will focus on the Monday night slate, and I will provide several different betting angles for the games scheduled. I will typically offer at least one play on the game's total or spread, as well as at least three player or game props, including at least one anytime touchdown prop. Although this article will be published each week on Sunday evenings, you can always feel free to check out our Discord channel to see plays posted throughout the week.
This week's matchup features the Washington Commanders at the Kansas City Chiefs in Kansas City's Arrowhead Stadium. Each of these teams has soft spots in their defense that we can look to exploit as well. Without further delay, let's get into tonight's picks for Week 8 of Monday Night Football!
Week 8 Monday Night Football Betting Odds
Washington Commanders @ Kansas City Chiefs
Spread: Chiefs -11.5
Total: 47.5
Based on the spread, this game figures to be a one-sided affair, and I can understand that given where each of these teams are headed. The Kansas City Chiefs are starting to build momentum in the 2025 season, as they now sit at 4-3 and have ripped off four wins in their previous five games and are on a two-game winning streak. Meanwhile, the Commanders have lost three of their previous four games and now sit at 3-4 after losing two straight games.
Week 8 Monday Night Football Betting Picks
As aforementioned, the spread in this game is set pretty high at -11.5 in favor of the Chiefs. This could be for good reason, as the Commanders are going to be without starting quarterback Jayden Daniels. This will be the third game that Daniels has missed this season, with the most recent absence coming in Week 4 at the Falcons, in which the Commanders and backup quarterback Marcus Mariota were taken down 34-27.
This week's matchup without Daniels should prove to be a bit tougher at Arrowhead Stadium, where the Chiefs have posted a 3-1 record and have won each of their previous three games at home by an average margin of over 20 points per game. While they did beat the Raiders 31-0 last week, they also handled the Lions 30-17 and the Lamar Jackson-led Ravens (for more than a half of football) 37-20.
The Chiefs' passing offense is also starting to click, as Patrick Mahomes has averaged over 282 passing yards per game over his previous four games. This is likely going to be a problem for the Commanders' defense, as they have allowed an average of nearly 260 passing yards per game over their previous four games.
On the other side of the ball, the Chiefs' defense has been rather stout, having allowed an average of just 174+ passing yards per game over their previous four games, which should make it extrememly difficult for Mariota and this Commanders' offense to move the ball through the air, especially when you consider the fact that Noah Brown is on IR and Terry McLaurin will be making his first start since Week 3, when he suffered a quad injury.
Additionally, the Chiefs have allowed an average of just 71 rushing yards per game to the running back position over the previous four weeks, and while they have allowed over five yards per carry to the position over this span, it seems unlikely that Washington will be able to commit to the run for extended periods of time, if they want to try and keep up with this Chiefs' offense.
The Pick: Chiefs -11.5 (-115, DraftKings)
Week 8 Monday Night Football Player Props
Rashee Rice OVER 67.5 receiving yards (-110, DraftKings)
Rice made his long-awaited debut in Week 7, after sitting out the first six weeks due to suspension. He returned in solid form, hauling in seven of 10 targets for 42 receiving yards and two touchdowns. It was evident that Mahomes wanted to waste no time getting Rice involved in the offense, and that should continue to hold moving forward.
The passing matchup, as mentioned earlier, should be fairly solid for the Chiefs in this one. Aside from allowing nearly 260 passing yards per game to quarterbacks over the previous four weeks, the Commanders have also allowed an average of 162 receiving yards per game to wide receivers, which ranks them in the bottom third of the league.
Additionally, the Commanders have given up some big games to top wide receivers this season, including Malik Nabers (5/71), Drake London (8/110), and CeeDee Lamb (5/110), the latter of which came just last week. This secondary for Washington has been exploited time and time again, and Rice should be in line for a huge day.
This is a number that is very achievable for Rice, as noted by the fact that he eclipsed it in all three games he played in 2024, when he was on pace for a Pro Bowl-type season before ultimately getting injured. I would not be surprised to see him push 100 receiving yards in this matchup, and he could be worth a ladder look.
Rashee Rice has a touchdown in his first game back
LVvsKC on CBS/Paramount+https://t.co/HkKw7uXVnt pic.twitter.com/oueOtDSk2I
— NFL (@NFL) October 19, 2025
Zach Ertz OVER 3.5 receptions (-113, DraftKings)
The Commanders are almost certainly going to have to find success through the air against this Chiefs' defense if they want to hang around in this game, and Ertz could be a likely target against them. While the Chiefs have allowed just 130 receiving yards to the tight end position over the previous four weeks, they may not be as strong as the number suggests.
The Chiefs have only seen 20 targets to the tight end across this span, yet have allowed 17 of them to go for receptions. Ertz has been a prominent piece of this offense due to injuries at the wide receiver position, as noted by his 13 targets over the previous two weeks. He should still be involved in this offense and can certainly help take some of the load off Mariota on short over-the-middle plays. It also feels a bit telling that his prop is set to 3.5 with the over at -113, considering this is a number he has hit just twice this season.
Week 8 Monday Night Football Anytime Touchdown Bet
Patrick Mahomes ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN scorer (+310, DraftKings)
I feel like we are getting pretty decent odds on Mahomes here, considering how he has been using his legs this season to help ramp up the offense. Overall, he has carried the ball 42 times for 250 rushing yards. Even more surprising is the fact that he has put the ball in the end zone four times. Mahomes has also carried the ball 13 times inside the red zone.
The Commanders have struggled slightly against quarterbacks who are able to move the ball with their legs. This is noted by allowing Russell Wilson and Justin Herbert to combine for over 100 rushing yards on just 12 carries. They have also allowed one touchdown on the ground to the position.
That being said about Washington, this play is more based on the fact that Mahomes has been using his legs more to generate offense, and this could be a prime spot for him to showcase some more.
Somehow Mahomes stayed on his feet pic.twitter.com/HgInsOEfDU
— NFL (@NFL) October 7, 2025
