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Hello everybody and welcome! The 2021 NFL season is alive and well and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NFL, Single Stat consists of quarterback passing yards, running back rushing yards, and wide receiver receiving yards in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some PrizePicks for the Thursday Night Football game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Minnesota Vikings.
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Single-Stat NFL Totals
Kirk Cousins less than 240.5 passing yards - I was wrong on Cousins last week as he threw for a whopping 340 passing yards against the Lions, but this week he is facing a Steelers defense that has allowed an average of just over 210 passing yards per game to quarterbacks over their previous four games. Cousins will also be without Adam Theilen in this one, so his options will be limited once again, only this time the Steelers have capable defenders to help limit Justin Jefferson. The Steelers have also struggled against running backs by allowing over 133 rushing yards per game over their previous four games, which is ranked third-worst in the league over that span.
Alexander Mattison over rushing yards - I like to get these prop articles our as early as possible, and at this juncture, there is no total set for Mattison as I assume they are awaiting official word of Dalvin Cook's status. With Cook set to miss this game, Mattison will likely have a total set around 70 rushing yards and that is a number we should look to attack. As aforementioned, the Steelers have struggled mightily against the run and have allowed two one hundred-yard rushers in their previous four games. Mattison has filled in nicely for Dalvin Cook as he has averaged over 24 carries and 105 rushing yards per game in his absence. The Vikings will certainly try to establish the run in this game and the fact that they are three-point favorites should also lend to more running as well.
Diontae Johnson over 74.5 receiving yards - Johnson has been the man in Pittsburgh this season as he has averaged nearly 12 targets per game over his last seven games and has also gone over this total in each of his previous four games. He gets about as good of a matchup as possible in this one as the Vikings have allowed wide receivers to average nearly 195 receiving yards per game over their previous four games. They have also allowed at least one wide receiver to go over this total in every game they have played since Week 6.
Ben Roethlisberger over 240.5 passing yards - Pairing Johnson and Big Ben should be the way to go in this one. Aside from allowing nearly 200 yards per game to wide receivers, the Vikings are also allowing an average of over 257 passing yards per game to quarterbacks over their previous four games. Four of the last six quarterbacks the Vikings have faced have gone over this total and Ben has gone over this total in three of his previous five games.
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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