Rich Hill (SP, NYM) - Week 25 Waiver Wire Pickups

September 12, 2021

Rich Hill is a fantasy baseball waiver wire pickup for Week 25 of the 2021 MLB season. Consider adding the SP if he's a free agent in your leagues.

BALLER MOVE: Add in leagues of 10+ teams

ROSTERED IN: 39% of leagues

ANALYSIS: Hill has done a solid job of proving that age means nothing this year, as the 41-year-old southpaw has gone 6-6 with a 3.82 ERA, 1.165 WHIP and 22.2 percent strikeout rate over 139 innings with the Rays and Mets. He's gone 0-2 over his last four starts, but don't let that fool you — he's posted a 2.45 ERA and 0.955 WHIP over 22 innings with a 25 percent strikeout rate. Plus he's posted back-to-back quality starts in his last two outings.

He'll stay at home for both matchups this week, and he'll kick things off with a Cardinals squad that is averaging 4.1 runs per game while slashing .245/.304/.437 over his last 10 games. This outing could prove to be a tough one for Hill, because while the Cardinals are hitting slightly worse on the road (.235/.309/.417) than at home (.244/.314/.378), they are hitting far better against left-handed pitchers this year (.254/.327/.453) than against right-handers (.236/.307/.383).

The matchup with the Phillies will prove to be a bit of a conundrum for managers. On one hand, Philadelphia is slashing .268/.345/.462 and averaging 5.7 runs per game over their last 10 games. On the other hand, a lot of that performance was boosted by two 12-run outbursts over that span. The Phillies are putting up nearly identical numbers on the road and at home, and they are hitting slightly better against left-handed pitching (.249/.327/.415) than against right-handers (.235/.313/.406).

This week managers will have to place their faith mostly on Hill's recent success, as there aren't a whole lot of positive signs on paper. This is a case where you've got to trust the hot hand and hope for the best. Even if Hill doesn't do quite as well as he has over his last few outings, he should still provide enough value to not hurt a team in Week 25.

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