ANALYSIS: While inconsistent at times, Matz has been on a good run over his last nine starts where he's gone 3-3 with a 2.31 ERA, 1.286 WHIP and 17.2 percent strikeout rate across 46 2/3 innings.
Matz kicks off the week against the Yankees, as they will enter this matchup on a roll after slashing .240/.311/.442 and averaging 5.0 runs per game over their last 10 games. On one hand, this could be a difficult matchup for Matz, between the Yankees recent hot streak and the fact that they are hitting better against lefties this season (.255/.343/.421, 23.4 K%) than against right-handers (.230/.319/.393, 25 K%). But then again, in Matz's lone outing against the Yankees earlier this year, he held them to just one run on six hits while striking out 10 over 6 2/3 innings of work to earn the win.
Matz will head to Baltimore to close out this week, and despite going 3-7 over their last 10 games, the Orioles are slashing .270/.349/.458 and averaging 5.7 runs per game over that span. He had a solid outing against them in his latest start, in which he allowed two runs over five innings while striking out five on Wednesday. Managers will hope that Matz can build off that performance in this Week 24 rematch, as he will find no help in Baltimore's batting splits. The Orioles are hitting better against lefties (.259/.313/.433) than righties (.230/.298/.388), plus they're hitting better at home this season (.256/.321/.449) than on the road (.225/.286/.362).
This could be a rough week for Matz, as he's facing off against a pair of teams that have done well at the plate recently and it looks like these will be unfavorable matchups based on their lefty-righty and home-road splits. But at the same time, Matz has had some solid performances against both New York and Baltimore this year, and the Yankees (24.5%) and Orioles (23.8%) have the sixth and 11th-highest strikeout rates in the majors respectively. Matz could be a solid play in most formats this week, and at the very least managers who are looking for strikeout help should target him on the waiver wire.
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