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2027 NFL Mock Draft: Full First-Round Projections

Arch Manning - College Football Rankings, NCAA CFB DFS Lineup Picks, NFL Draft - icon rotoballer

Chris Gregory's 2027 NFL Mock Draft predictions. His early projections for all 32 picks of the first round in 2027, including Arch Manning, Jeremiah Smith, and more.

With the stink of a very mediocre 2026 NFL Draft now flushed into the past, draft sickos can finally focus on the absolutely loaded 2027 class. While it may seem early to think that far out, it is worth noting that several NFL teams have clearly focused their entire 2026 offseason around the 2027 NFL Draft, with the Jets chief amongst them.

While plenty of things can change and we’ve seen elite prospects fall apart before their draft class, next year’s group is shaping up to be truly special. It is not hyperbole to say that the 2027 class could be as good or better than the loaded 2024 class, which included Drake Maye, Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Malik Nabers, Joe Alt, and countless other stars.

It is important to remember that a lot can and will change between now and next year. This is an early look at how we see things happening based on the 2026 film study alone, with the caveat that our analysis is still early and the film study is incomplete. Also note that the draft order is based upon current betting odds for team records, with roster quality acting as a tiebreaker for us.

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2027 NFL Mock Draft Round 1

1. TRADE: New York Jets- Arch Manning, QB, Texas

The Jets roster is too good to secure the first pick in the NFL Draft, so they will likely have to trade up with a team like the Dolphins. While many are torn on Manning, he improved significantly in the second half of last year and still has all the tools to go first overall.

Trade Compensation:

New York Jets Receive Pick No. 1

Miami Dolphins Receive Picks No. 3 and No. 14

2. Arizona Cardinals- Dante Moore, QB, Oregon

The Cardinals drafted Carson Beck in the third round of this year’s draft, but Arizona will replace Beck quickly (just like it did with Josh Rosen) if it is positioned to draft this early. Moore is a polished passer with natural mechanics and tremendous accuracy. He can contend for the first overall pick if his decision-making improves.

3. TRADE BACK: Miami Dolphins- Jeremiah Smith, WR, Ohio State

ESPN's Dan Graziano has reported that Miami considers Malik Willis its long-term quarterback and wants to give him multiple years to succeed. If that is true, Miami is the favorite to land the top prospect in next year's class (Smith) plus a haul of picks for trading out of No. 1 overall.

4. TRADE: Atlanta Falcons- Julian Sayin, QB, Ohio State

This Falcons front office and coaching staff didn’t draft Michael Penix Jr., whose health is a major question. They also cannot pass on upgrading over Tua Tagovailoa by trading ahead of the Browns and securing a polished passer in Sayin.

Trade Compensation:

Atlanta Receives Pick No. 4 overall

Las Vegas Receives Picks No. 8, No. 40, and No. 146 overall

5. Cleveland Browns- Brendan Sorsby, QB, Texas Tech

The Browns are not thrilled that they missed out on the top three passers in this class, but Sorsby is another strong prospect with ideal size, a big arm, and enough movement skills to clear a crowded pocket. Off-field issues could cause him to fall, though.

6. Tennessee Titans- Dylan Stewart, DE, South Carolina

The Titans may consider a quarterback if they end up drafting this high, but they should give Cam Ward more time. In this scenario, the Titans give Robert Saleh the dominant edge he needs, with Stewart projecting as the best combination of length, speed, and bend in the class.

7. Carolina Panthers- LaNorris Sellers, QB, South Carolina

Carolina fans will not like this, but if they end up winning just five or six games like the oddsmakers predict, then Bryce Young likely isn’t the answer. Sellers is a major project, but he has the frame and physical tools to entice a team that may be tired of accommodating Young’s physical limitations.

8. TRADE BACK: Las Vegas Raiders- Colin Simmons, EDGE, Texas

Simmons had dominant pass-rush numbers as a sophomore, totaling 12 sacks for the Longhorns. He would offer a fine complement or replacement for Maxx Crosby, whom the Raiders tried to unload this offseason and could continue to shop.

9. New York Giants- Leonard Moore, CB, Notre Dame

The Giants signed Greg Newsome II to a one-year deal, but they could look for a long-term improvement in Moore. The Fighting Irish corner led college football in interceptions last year, and he is an extremely fluid mover on tape.

10. New Orleans Saints- John Henry Daley, EDGE, Michigan

Daley has some injury concerns, but he has an athletic and powerful frame that helped him produce an elite 18.3% pressure rate at Utah. His profile could rise into the top 10 if he can stay healthy, and the Saints still need a young edge who can lead their defense long-term.

11. Washington Commanders- Ryan Coleman-Williams, WR, Alabama

Coleman-Williams struggled with drops and lapses in productivity last year, causing some to wonder about dedication. However, he was special as a freshman and will turn 20 just two months before next year’s draft. His upside will be tantalizing for a Commanders team in need of a true WR1.

12. Pittsburgh Steelers- Matayo Uiagalelei, DE, Oregon

The Steelers will likely consider a quarterback next year, but in this mock, the top passers are all gone before they pick. It could be that Pittsburgh is fine with that if Drew Allar is developing, too. Uiagalelei has the ideal frame, length, power, and pass-rush profile to replace Cameron Heyward in this defense.

13. Minnesota Vikings- KJ Bolden, S, Georgia

The Vikings ignored their significant need at safety this year, so drafting the top safety in next year’s class makes sense. Bolden makes up a lot of ground with good burst and speed in a solid build. He can play in the box, deep, or slot.

14. TRADE BACK: Miami Dolphins (via Jets/Colts)- Ellis Robinson IV, CB, Georgia

The Dolphins addressed their secondary this year, but it wasn’t enough. They should have trouble passing on Robinson, who has tremendous ball skills and has elite instincts breaking on the ball.

15. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Damon Wilson II, EDGE, Miami (FL)

The Buccaneers were lucky enough to land a strong edge setter in Rueben Bain Jr. this year, but their need for pass-rush help is not complete. Look for them to consider another Hurricane if the board plays out like this next year. Wilson was a dominant pass-rusher in space at Missouri and should be a top-20 pick.

16. *New York Jets (via Dallas)- Zabien Brown, CB, Alabama

The Jets built their offense in prior drafts, so Arch Manning is already landing in a strong situation in this mock. However, cornerback remains a big need, and Brown was a stifling cover man at Alabama, allowing just 18 completions in his sophomore season.

17. Denver Broncos- Cam Coleman, WR, Texas

Denver added Jaylen Waddle this offseason, but Courtland Sutton is aging, and the receivers Denver has drafted behind him have all been disappointments. Coleman has the size and athleticism to replace Sutton as the big body across from Waddle, but with more upside.

18. Jacksonville Jaguars- David Stone, DT, Oklahoma

The Jaguars addressed defensive tackle in this year’s class, but Stone has more upside than anyone on Jacksonville’s current interior. He is a violent defender with active hands and the ability to become a penetrating 3-tech in the pros.

19. Houston Texans- Trevor Goosby, OT, Texas

Even if the Texans feel like they addressed offensive tackle this offseason, they cannot pass on the top offensive tackle if he falls. Goosby is a good mover with strong advanced metrics, projecting as the ideal left tackle for Houston.

20. Philadelphia Eagles- Carter Smith, OT, Indiana

The Eagles did not address offensive tackle early in this year's draft, surprising some given the retirement talk surrounding Lane Johnson. Smith could be the heir to Johnson, though, after surrendering just seven quarterback hurries in 16 games last year.

21. Kansas City Chiefs- Jordan Seaton, OT, LSU

The Chiefs neglected to improve at right tackle this offseason, so they could look at Seaton as the answer next year. The towering tackle struggled with injuries this past year, but a healthy run at LSU this year and continued improvement in the run game should solidify him as a first-round pick.

22. New England Patriots- Jackson Bennee, S, Utah

The Patriots signed Kevin Byard to play free safety, but he will be 33 this entire season, and he is no longer the turnover threat he once was. Bennee is arguably the best coverage safety and playmaker on the back end in this upcoming class, making him a fine fit for a potential need.

23. Seattle Seahawks- A.J. Holmes Jr., DT, Texas Tech

Holmes was effective against the run and the pass last year, generating 37 quarterback pressures while ranking in the top five amongst run-defending defensive tackles. If he can perform again without the help he had last year, he would be a fine value pick for the Seahawks.

24. San Francisco 49ers- Brandon Baker, OT, Texas

Baker is a fluid pass-blocker who has earned comps to Josh Simmons, one of my favorite tackle prospects of the past three years. He surrendered zero sacks in 455 pass-block sets last year, making him an intriguing long-term replacement plan for Trent Williams … if the 49ers ever become interested in such a plan.

25. *Dallas Cowboys (via Packers)- Ryan Wingo, WR, Texas

Wingo is an underrated prospect who has shown the ability to play the X, Z, and slot positions on the field. He is good with the ball in his hands and shows strong contested-catch ability. He could fill a need for the Cowboys if they get tired of George Pickens’ antics.

26. Cincinnati Bengals- Cayden Green, OL, Missouri

If the Bengals are picking this late, it means they made a playoff push that kept Zac Taylor and Joe Burrow in town for at least one more year. After loading up on defense this offseason, Green would be a nice project capable of becoming an elite guard or a starting tackle for a Bengals team always looking to protect Burrow.

27. Detroit Lions- Kelley Jones, CB, Mississippi State

If Terrion Arnold continues to struggle with coverage and completion rate allowed for a third season, the Lions could look hard at drafting his replacement. Jones has good length, a staggeringly low 28% completion rate allowed, and good speed. If he can add muscle, he may be a top-15 pick.

28. Baltimore Ravens- Jamari Johnson, TE, Oregon

Johnson has a traditional tight end build with enough blocking skills to remain in-line, unlike some of the receiver hybrids we have seen at tight end in recent years. He could appeal to Baltimore as someone to pair with Mark Andrews and eventually replace him with.

29. Chicago Bears- Ahmad Hardy, RB, Missouri

The Bears have squeezed a lot out of their current backfield, but neither D'Andre Swift nor Kyle Monangai has the every-down back profile of Hardy. The Tiger is a compact runner who bounces off defenders like Ashton Jeanty and profiles as the lead back Ben Johnson needs.

30. Los Angeles Chargers- Marcus Neal Jr., S, Penn State

The Chargers largely ignored their need for a difference-making safety and an heir to the aging Derwin James Jr., who has converted more to a box/nickel role recently. Neal is the best run-defending safety in this class at this point.

31. Los Angeles Rams- Nick Marsh, WR, Indiana

The Rams historically draft their receivers later, but their interest in A.J. Brown this offseason suggests they would like a long-term heir behind Davante Adams. Marsh is a fast boundary receiver whose contested-catch film as a freshman was strong and could push him into the first round if he improves at Indiana.

32. Buffalo Bills- A'Mauri Washington, DT, Oregon

The Bills got a good pass rush from Deone Walker last year, but he is a liability as a run defender on the interior. Washington would add a big frame that can push the pocket, but also shore up a run defense that can be a liability at times. This would also be a tremendous value pick.

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