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Keith Eyster's top NBA prop bets for 10/27/25: expert player-prop picks, value plays, quick model edges and line-shopping tips for today’s slate. Check odds & get the edge.
Welcome back to another edition of the RotoBaller NBA Props article! We went 4-1 on Friday, with our article plays continuing to dominate. The only thing that kept us from a perfect slate was an incredibly quick foul-out by Matas Buzelis. Today, we might just get that clean sweep, as the NBA slate is absolutely loaded on the sports equinox.
In this article, I will provide my favorite NBA player props picks for Monday, October 27th. Prop picks can range from individual stats such as points, assists, rebounds, three-pointers made, or defensive stats, as well as combination props (Points + Rebounds + Assists = PRA).
All odds and sportsbooks used are listed as well, but always shop around, as those odds change throughout the day as bets come in. Let's get to the picks!
Today’s Best NBA Prop Bets & Player Props
Early-season NBA player props present a prime opportunity for bettors to get ahead of oddsmakers, capitalizing on new trends, unexpected rotations, and shifts in play style from last season. With teams still settling into their identities, sharp bettors can often find mispriced lines before the markets adjust.
Let’s take a look at the top player props for today’s NBA slate:
- Tyrese Maxey over 28.5 Points (-110 FD)
- Jrue Holiday over 22.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-115 Bet365)
- Brice Sensabaugh over 12.5 Points (-115 Bet365)
- Jalen Suggs over 9.5 Points (-114 FD)
- Anfernee Simons over 12.5 Points (-115 MGM)
Tyrese Maxey over 28.5 Points (-110 FD)
The Sixers will be without both Joel Embiid and Paul George for their matchup with the Magic, setting the stage for another massive workload for Tyrese Maxey. The young guard has logged over 40 minutes in each of the first two games this season while maintaining an elite 29.5% usage rate. He poured in 40 points in the opener and followed that up with 28 points against Charlotte, despite shooting just 35% from the field. Given his career 46% field-goal percentage, positive shooting regression should arrive soon.
Tyrese Maxey has to be on a short list of the best guards in the NBA. The pull-up three is firmly back in his arsenal, his handle continues to see improvements year after year, and his speed just overwhelms opponents espeically alongside VJ Edgecombe.
— Nathan Grubel (@DraftDeeper) October 25, 2025
Last season, Maxey averaged 28.1 points per game on 33.1% usage across 16 contests with both Embiid and George sidelined, and he now looks even more capable of sustaining elite production given his increased minutes load. The matchup also sets up better than it might initially appear — Orlando has shifted to a much faster style of play this season, ranking 5th in pace through three games after finishing dead last a year ago.
That tempo boost should only enhance Maxey’s scoring opportunities in transition and early offense. With his heavy minutes, top-tier usage, and a favorable pace-up environment, Maxey should surpass the 28.5-point line comfortably.
Jrue Holiday over 22.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-115 Bet365)
Jrue Holiday is enjoying an offensive resurgence with the Trail Blazers’ young core after spending the past couple of seasons in a more secondary role with Boston. The veteran point guard has thrived through three games, averaging 15.7 points on 22.7% usage, 5.7 rebounds, and 8.3 assists per contest — good for a combined 29.7 PRA. His leadership and playmaking have brought stability to Portland’s offense, and he’s been a reliable initiator in both half-court sets and transition opportunities.
Now, Holiday draws a favorable matchup against a Lakers squad missing both Luka Doncic and LeBron James, which severely weakens their defensive structure and overall playmaking depth. With the Blazers entering as slight road favorites, Holiday should continue to shoulder a heavy workload on both ends. His ability to attack mismatches, create open looks for teammates, and contribute across all statistical categories positions him well to clear the 22.5 PRA line.
Top Value Props & Sleeper Picks
Betting on superstars is always exciting, but the best value often lies on the margins of a roster. Role players and emerging contributors can offer hidden edges, especially as the season wears on and injuries start to shake up rotations.
Let’s dive into some of the top value plays for today’s NBA slate.
Brice Sensabaugh over 12.5 Points (-115 Bet365)
Utah wing Brice Sensabaugh impressed in the preseason, averaging 19.5 points across four games, and has carried that momentum into the regular season. The third-year forward scored 20 points in the opener against the Clippers and added 15 against the Kings, showing confidence and efficiency in his scoring role. Now, he draws his best matchup yet against a Suns team that ranks 29th in defensive efficiency through three games.
Brice Sensabaugh scoring the easiest 20 points you've ever seen 👇
Is Brice going to average 15+ PPG this year?pic.twitter.com/sbEzGKz766
— Jazz Lead (@JazzLead) October 24, 2025
Sensabaugh has carved out a consistent spot in Utah’s rotation, playing low-20s minutes off the bench and providing valuable offense for the second unit. With Phoenix struggling to contain opposing wings, he’s well-positioned to stay hot. Given his steady role, scoring form, and favorable matchup, Sensabaugh has a strong chance to clear 12.5 points for the third straight game as he continues to take a step forward in his development.
Jalen Suggs over 9.5 Points (-114 FD)
Point guard Jalen Suggs was rested on the second night of a back-to-back during the Magic’s last set of games, after playing just 16.5 minutes in the opener and 19 minutes in the following contest. The team has clearly been cautious with their starter as he continues to recover from a knee issue, but Suggs is now fully off the injury report entering Monday and appears likely to see increased playing time as he works back to full strength.
Suggs averaged 16.2 points per game last season, and while oddsmakers have factored in his limited minutes to start this year, he has already cleared this points line in both of his first two games. The matchup is favorable as well, with Philadelphia ranking 22nd in defensive efficiency and Joel Embiid ruled out for this contest. With Suggs expected to resume his starting role and potentially log 20+ minutes for the first time this season, he is well-positioned to surpass 9.5 points, especially given his scoring ability and the opportunity to take on a larger role.
Anfernee Simons over 12.5 Points (-115 MGM)
Simons has cleared this line just once in three games this season, but he has shown over his career that he is a capable and versatile scorer. As Boston’s designated sixth man, he has a defined role and has consistently logged at least 23 minutes in each contest, peaking at 32 minutes. This game presents his best opportunity yet, as he faces a Pelicans team that ranked 29th in defensive efficiency last season.
Simons is still adjusting to his new role with Boston, but he has the skill set to become a reliable and efficient scorer for the second unit. His ability to attack off the dribble, spot up from deep, and create opportunities in transition makes him a consistent threat, especially against a struggling defense. Given his minutes, usage, and a highly favorable matchup, Simons is well-positioned to surpass 12.5 points and continue asserting himself as a key offensive contributor off the bench.
NBA Betting Tools & Resources
Don't forget to utilize all of the NBA DFS and betting tools we have here at RotoBaller! The NBA betting landscape changes by the minute throughout the day, so stay up to date with the latest odds and market values with our NBA DFS and betting tools and projections.
Thanks for reading, RotoBallers, and good luck if you are tailing our bets tonight!
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