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Kipp Heisterman's best MLB player prop bets for today (6/27/2025). Bet his home run props (HR props) and win money betting on MLB player props, including Alec Burleson, Riley Greene, Heliot Ramos, and Nolan Schanuel.
We have a full slate of games for Friday's MLB action. We have plenty of games with great hitter matchups, great ballparks for home runs, and great weather. The weather is especially warming up, which usually means good things for home run opportunities.
I will provide my four favorite home run bets on today’s slate. I do not recommend betting any more than four home runs, as it will be tough to sustain a bankroll. My favorite way to bet home runs is to round robin them, which I will do tonight. I've put a small unit size on these, but I want the opportunity to cash in bigger if more than one home run hits.
Below, you'll read about my favorite home run props from MLB games on Friday, June 27, 2025. Odds for each pick are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change throughout the day. Remember to shop around at other sportsbooks for the best price, which gives you more value on your bets. It's also important to risk only a small portion of your bankroll on home run props since this market is volatile, so keep that in mind.
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MLB Prop Bets - Today's Home Run Prop Picks (6/27/2025)
Here are all the hitters I'll cover for HR props on Friday, June 27:
- Alec Burleson, St. Louis Cardinals
- Riley Greene, Detroit Tigers
- Heliot Ramos, San Francisco Giants
- Nolan Schanuel, Los Angeles Angels
Alec Burleson OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+290 DraftKings Sportsbook)
We are starting the day with Alec Burleson of the St. Louis Cardinals, who might be my favorite player in the article overall. Burleson has been on absolute fire lately, having posted a .927 OPS with four home runs over the previous two weeks. He has been a fixture in the middle of the Cardinals lineup over this period, and the metrics back up the power we are seeing.
Overall, Burleson has a 36.7% hard-hit rate, which ranks him in the top 18% of the league. He has also posted an average exit velocity of 91.6 mph, which ranks him in the top 15% of the league. He will be playing at Progressive Field tonight, which has always been a solid home run park for left-handed hitters, and will be up against the Cleveland Guardians right-hander Luis L. Ortiz.
Facing Ortiz is good for several reasons. First and foremost, Burleson has posted an .808 OPS with six of his eight home runs coming off right-handers. Additionally, Ortiz has had his struggles vs. left-handed hitters this season.
Overall, Ortiz has allowed eight home runs vs. left-handed hitters. He has also been hit hard at times, having allowed an average exit velocity of 84.2 mph, ranking him in the bottom 2% of the league. Ortiz has also allowed 29.4% of baseballs to be hit 95+ mph, which ranks him in the bottom 5% of the league.
This should be a solid spot for Burleson to go yard tonight, and the weather will be warm at first pitch as well.
Alec Burleson hits HR on top of the Chop House 🤯
(via @Cardinals)pic.twitter.com/Eml0sZ7yPn
— FOX Sports: MLB (@MLBONFOX) July 21, 2024
Riley Greene OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+400 DraftKings Sportsbook)
Riley Greene has been a monster this season, having smacked 17 home runs while posting an OPS of .878. What is also impressive are his recent stats. Over the previous seven days, Greene is posting an OPS of 1.469 with two home runs. If we go even further back, Greene is posting an OPS of 1.205 with four home runs over the previous two weeks. Quite frankly, he has been on a heater.
The metrics back up what we are seeing as well. On the season, Greene has posted an average exit velocity of 90.8 mph, which ranks him in the top quartile of the league. He has also posted a 36.4% hard-hit rate, which also ranks him in the top quartile of the league. Much of his success has come against right-handed pitching, as noted by his .983 OPS, with 16 of his 17 home runs coming against them.
He will be facing Minnesota Twins right-hander David Festa, who has had his share of struggles this season. Overall, Festa has allowed six home runs in just seven games pitched. He has also struggled recently, as he has allowed a total of six home runs in his previous four starts. Festa will also be on the road, where he has been abysmal, having allowed an ERA north of 12.00 and a ridiculous 3.7 HR/9.
The weather at Comerica Park is expected to be in the 80s, which should also benefit Greene here.
Heliot Ramos OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+275 DraftKings Sportsbook)
Heliot Ramos is our third hitter of the article today, and he has been hot recently as well, as noted by his OPS of .800+ over the previous week with one home run. Ramos has hit a total of 13 home runs this season, seven of which have come against right-handed pitching.
The metrics once again back up the power, as Ramos has posted a hard-hit rate of 33%. He has also posted an average exit velocity of 91.1 mph, which ranks him in the top 21% of the league. He will be on the road in Chicago, where he has hit 10 of his 13 home runs this season.
Aaron Civale will be his opponent, who has struggled quite a bit against right-handed hitters this season. He has allowed four of seven home runs vs. righties and has given up a .307 BAA. Civale has given up plenty of hard contact, as noted by his average exit velocity allowed of 82 mph. He has also allowed 25.3% of baseballs to be hit 95+ mph, which ranks him in the bottom third of the league.
The weather in Chicago is expected to be close to 90 degrees, so we have an extra bump for Ramos in this game as well.
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Nolan Schanuel OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+600 DraftKings Sportsbook)
Nolan Schanuel may not be a household name just yet, but he is working his way into the mix. On the season, he has smacked just six home runs, but he is picking up the pace in a hurry. Over the previous two weeks, Schanuel has posted an OPS of .728, but he has also hit three of his six home runs across this span.
The power metrics leave a bit to be desired, which is likely why the odds are pretty decent tonight, but he has posted an OPS north of .800 against right-handed pitchers. He has also hit five of his six home runs against righties, which is who he will be facing in the Washington Nationals' Jake Irvin.
Irvin has allowed a total of 16 home runs thus far in 2025, with 10 of those coming against left-handed sticks. He has given up some hard contact as well, as noted by the fact that he has allowed an average exit velocity of 84.1 mph. This ranks him in the bottom 2% of the league. He has also allowed 30.7% of baseballs to be hit 95+ mph, ranking him in the bottom 2% of the league.
Irvin has also struggled on the road, posting an ERA of 4.79 and a HR/9 mark of 1.7.
Nolan Schanuel clubs a go-ahead three run homer 💪 pic.twitter.com/OVsui3tMNh
— MLB (@MLB) June 22, 2025
Thanks for reading and for checking out all of our MLB betting content at RotoBaller! Make sure to manage your bankroll responsibly, especially on home run props, since they're a tough market in which to win on a nightly basis.
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