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RotoBallers, we have a cool twist to the NFL schedule with today's special Black Friday matchup! Below you can read our Black Friday matchups analysis article for the Dolphins vs. Jets game to help make any fantasy lineup decisions for both season-long and DFS.
This game features a pair of AFC East squads that appear to be heading in different directions, as the Miami Dolphins lead the divisional standings at 7-3, while the New York Jets have lost three straight. Hopefully, the tips in this article will put you on the path to winning your fantasy matchups in Week 12.
Read our fantasy football breakdowns for these games -- the recommended starts, sits, and matchups we love heading into the Week 12 matchups. Good luck RotoBallers!
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Miami Dolphins at New York Jets
This game is not expected to be impacted by weather, as the forecasts predict seasonably cool, dry weather in the mid-40s with moderate winds of 10-15 mph:
Spread: Dolphins -10.0
Implied Total: Dolphins (25.5) vs. Jets (15.5)
Pace: Dolphins (20th) vs. Jets (11th)
Dolphins Off. DVOA: 43.0% Pass (3rd), 19.1% Rush (2nd)
Jets Off. DVOA: -18.6% Pass (30th), -26.7% Rush (31st)
Dolphins Def. DVOA: 9.8% Pass (17th), -3.8% Rush (22nd)
Jets Def. DVOA: -11.5% Pass (5th), -10.0% Rush (18th)
Matchups We Love
Raheem Mostert and Jeff Wilson Jr. (RB, MIA)
After waiting four weeks for De'Von Achane to return, he lasted less than a quarter before exiting because he re-aggravated his knee. It's a terrible fate for the young rookie, who has shown an elite level of explosiveness when on the field.
His absence resulted in a massive workload for Mostert, who handled 22 of the 25 RB carries (88%). It was also compounded by the team making Jeff Wilson Jr. a healthy scratch. Salvon Ahmed took advantage of the situation as well by hauling in a touchdown pass, but he's been placed on IR now with a foot injury.
It's a good matchup, so with Achane not expected to play against the Jets, Mostert becomes an awesome start with Wilson around the top-24 borderline.
From a Black Friday edition of @gmfb: #Dolphins RB De’Von Achane (knee) isn’t expected to play today vs. the #Jets, and other injuries to watch as Week 12 rolls on. @nflnetwork pic.twitter.com/ysfQEmNVO2
— Tom Pelissero (@TomPelissero) November 24, 2023
Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle (WR, MIA)
Despite spending some time on the sideline and Miami scoring just 20 points, Tyreek Hill kept his absurd season going with 10 grabs for 146 yards and a score. He's averaging about 120 receiving yards per game and needs to average 112 in his remaining seven to break 2,000. I wouldn't bet against him.
Jaylen Waddle had eight targets, but only half were deemed catchable, which is exactly how many he caught. It was a poor day all around for the offense, and while the Jets have a strong secondary led by Sauce Gardner, we know they can't sustain drives, so Waddle stays in the top 20.
Matchups We Hate
Garrett Wilson (WR, NYJ)
New York is moving away from Zach Wilson in favor of Tim Boyle. Could it be an upgrade? It's possible. Does it mean better days are ahead for the receiver Wilson? Doubtful.
While things have been difficult for Wilson, last week was an all-time low with two catches for nine yards and a fumble. In half-PPR scoring, he actually lost you points. With Jalen Ramsey on deck, it's wise to move off of Wilson, who is at best a top-36 receiver in this week's tough spot.
Garrett Wilson: pic.twitter.com/gbUxBMfTrx
— Sleeper (@SleeperHQ) November 20, 2023
Other Matchups
Breece Hall (RB, NYJ)
One of the few things the Jets did right on Sunday was target Hall more. He had the second-most targets (six) and receptions (five) he's had this year, scoring on one of them to cap off a nice day as a receiver.
It wasn't a good day on the ground with 23 yards on 10 carries, but the offensive line is banged up and teams are expecting them to run. It's also worth noting his performance ended early because they pulled the starters late. Hall remains a top-20 back because of his ability to make plays.
Tua Tagovailoa (QB, MIA)
Tagovailoa was moving the ball down the field quite well. However, turnovers kept ending their drives before they could score. They also got inside the Las Vegas 35-yard line three times, kicking field goals twice and turning the ball over on downs once. All that to say, his day could have been a lot better. They should be able to rack up a decent amount of points against New York, keeping him in the top 10.
Notable Injuries
De'Von Achane (knee) - NOT EXPECTED TO PLAY
Salvon Ahmed (foot) - OUT
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