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Last Thursday, I wrote this article and led off by talking about how tilting the DFS slate was. Today, I lead off by claiming my first shipper since returning to DFS a month ago. It feels good to get the monkey off the back. We have another split Thursday slate with nine games on the docket. I will share my favorite pitcher props and my single-game hit parlay. Let's pick some more winners.
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In this article, I'll provide my favorite prop bets for MLB games on Thursday, August 24, 2023. I will continue to hone in on K props first, as they are the most lucrative, and we will follow that with some total base props. Let's look at some of the best MLB player props worth wagering on for today's games without further ado! Follow me on Twitter @CaseyW22 for more free betting and DFS advice.
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MLB Pitcher Prop Bets - Today's Betting Picks
Andrew Heaney OVER 4.5 strikeouts (-155 DraftKings Sportsbook)
We start tonight with an apparent mispricing on Andrew Heaney against the Twins. Heaney always has a strikeout upside when he toes the rubber, and tonight is no different. He gets a matchup with the Minnesota Twins, one of the most strikeout-prone teams in the big leagues on the season. The Twins own a 90 wRC+, .299 wOBA, .391 SLG, and a 25.5% K%. The strikeout rate is the third worst in baseball against left-hand pitching.
Heaney on the season, as always, has been very streaky. He owns a 4.38 SIERA, 24.1% K%, and an 11.3% SwStr%. Over his last five starts, he holds a 4.10 SIERA, 24.2% K%, and an 11.5% SwStr%. The strikeouts seem on or not, making this a perfect ladder candidate on FanDuel, as he has a ton of upside in this spot.
Ken Waldichuk OVER 4.5 strikeouts (-140 DraftKings Sportsbook)
This is one of my favorite ladder bets of the season. I love Ken Waldichuk tonight for prop betting and DFS. I will be laddering him up on FanDuel to eight strikeouts. On the season Waldichuk has a 4.87 SIERA, 21.9% K% and a 11.1% SwStr%. He has turned it on over his last five starts. In that span, he has a 3.96 SIERA, 27.1% K%, and 14.3% SwStr%. He has six or more strikeouts in three of those five starts.
His opponent, the Chicago White Sox, is the perfect matchup for Waldichuk. On the season, the White Sox own a 93 wRC+, .306 wOBA, .399 SLG, and a 24.6% K% against left-hand pitching. Since the break, they have been abysmal against the split. They own a 76 wRC+, .282 wOBA, .364 SLG, and a 27.9% K% in that span. Over the last 30 days, Waldichuk holds a 28.8% K% against right-hand batters. The White Sox will send at least seven righties to the plate tonight. Everything is lined up for Waldichuk to have a big game tonight.
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MLB Hitting Prop Bets - Today's Betting Picks
SGP Charlie Blackmon + Ryan McMahon to record a hit (+135 DraftKings SportsBook)
Throughout the season, I provided you with some hit parlays. Honestly, it's been a blast betting and has been very profitable. I will make this a constant theme in my articles for the rest of the season. I like giving you guys different looks on how to bet instead of writing up the everyday props like always. You can always take either of the two guys below for their total bases prop to get a better line.
Erasmo Ramirez will get the ball for the Rays against the Rockies. Ramirez has been getting hit hard all season. He has a .324 BAA on the season. Ramirez has allowed a .370 BAA against lefties this season and a .309 BAA against righties. With those numbers, it doesn't matter if we attack him with lefties or rights. The best two bats for average in this lineup are left-handed hitters.
Charlie Blackmon is the best left-handed bat in this lineup against right-hand pitching. He has a .348 AVG against the split since the break. Blackmon has hit him in 11 of his last 15 games. Ryan McMahon is the next-best left-handed bat against righties in this lineup. He has been hitting .305 against right-hand pitching since the break. McMahon has a hit in six straight games.
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