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Quentin Johnson (WR, LAC): Fantasy Football Draft Sleepers (2023)

Quentin Johnston - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Rookies, Draft Sleepers

BALLER MOVE: Target Around 110 Overall

CURRENT ADP: ~123

ANALYSIS:

At first glance, being drafted to a team that already employs Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, Austin Ekeler, Joshua Palmer, and Gerald Everett could be construed as a negative thing. While there are certainly some barriers he needs to overcome, the landing spot is not without promise.

The reason for that is simple: Justin Herbert and an incredibly pass-heavy offense. Last year, the Chargers attempted 711 passes. A 15% target share on that volume would equate to 107 targets. Give say, Jaxon Smith-Njigba a 15% target share on Seattle’s 2022 pass volume of 573 and you get just 86 targets.

Quentin Johnston will need to separate himself from No. 3 receiver Joshua Palmer, which given his veteran status is not assured, but it’s also not a daunting task either.

Johnston had a fantastic final season at TCU finishing with 96 targets, 60 receptions, 1,069 yards, and six touchdowns. He constantly delivered in some of TCU’s biggest games, up against some of the best competition they’d face all year.

  • Against #19 Kansas, he finished with 14/206/1.
  • Against #13 Oklahoma, he finished with 8/180/1.
  • Against #17 Kansas State, he finished with 5/75/1.
  • Against #18 Texas, he finished with 3/66/1.
  • Against #13 Kansas State, he finished with 4/139/0.
  • Against #2 Michigan, he finished with 6/163/1.

He finished second in the country with an 8.9-yard after-contact per reception average. He was a menace in the open field, consistently breaking tackles. His yard per route run average of 3.05 was the fifth-highest. He also finished sixth with a 17.8-yard per reception average. He can beat you on a short crosser because of his ability to make big plays after the catch and he can beat you downfield too.

As long as Johnston can beat out Palmer and command the lion’s share of the No. 3 receiver role, there’s enough volume in this offense where he could become an immediate fantasy producer, especially with his penchant for big plays. This probably doesn’t even need to be said, but in the event of a Keenan Allen or Mike Williams injury, Johnston’s value would skyrocket. Being a starting receiver and getting to catch passes from Justin Herbert will do that.

 

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Kadarius Toney Start 'Em, Sit 'Em – Super Bowl 58 Fantasy Football Picks

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BALLER MOVE: Start in 10+ Team Leagues POSITIONAL VALUE: WR2 ANALYSIS: Green Bay Packers wide receiver Jayden Reed had low expectations entering the season. Many thought the Packers’ passing attack would suffer without Aaron Rodgers. Instead, the rookie wide receiver was a fantasy star. Reed was the WR23 during the regular season, averaging 11.6 half-point... Read More

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BALLER MOVE: Start in 10+ Team Leagues POSITIONAL VALUE: WR2 ANALYSIS: Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Chris Godwin had a slightly disappointing year. The former Penn State star was the WR31, averaging 9.9. half-point PPR fantasy points per game during the regular season. Mike Evans had a massive year as Baker Mayfield’s go-to target, leaving... Read More

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BALLER MOVE: Start in 10+ Team Leagues POSITIONAL VALUE: Low-end WR2 ANALYSIS: Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Brandin Cooks had a solid regular season. The veteran was the WR36, averaging 9.1 half-point PPR fantasy points per game. While he struggled early in the year, Cooks picked up his play when it mattered most for the Cowboys.... Read More

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