👉 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE SPRING
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


2017 Deeper Starting Pitcher Sleepers: AL

The key to winning a championship in fantasy baseball is to find some gems in the late rounds of your fantasy baseball drafts. Anyone can draft a top-10 player, but only the good ones can find the diamonds in the rough.

Below are some 2017 deeper starting pitcher sleepers for the American League. I analyze five hidden starting pitchers from the American League who I think will break out in 2017 and provide great return based on their current draft stock.

Let's get to it.

Featured Promo: Save 50% the regular price with discount code SPRING, for a limited time. Exclusive access to our Team Sync platform, DFS cheat sheets, Lineup Optimizers, betting/prop picks, and exclusive content from Nick Mariano and Eric Cross! GAIN ACCESS NOW

 

Deep AL Starting Pitcher Sleepers

Matt Strahm (SP, KC)

Strahm spent the majority of his time last season as a starter in Double-A Northwest Arkansas, before skipping Triple-A and making his debut with the Royals out of the bullpen. He impressed last season, posting a 1.23 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 22 innings pitched. He held opposing hitters to a .171 average. What has us most excited is his strikeout ability; he posted a 12.27 K/9 last season and has always been a big strikeout guy in the minors. His swinging strike percentage (SwStr%) was 12.2%, which would place him in the top-10 among qualified starters.

The Royals have stated Strahm will be in the bullpen to begin the season, but long term projects to be a starter. This season all that is stopping him are the likes of Nathan Karns and Travis Wood, who have been underwhelming as starters in the major leagues. Strahm may be able to push the Royals hand with a strong spring training, but if not should still give you some excellent ratios from the bullpen.

 

Chad Green (SP, NYY)

Green made his MLB debut last season, starting eight games and coming out of the bullpen in four more. He ended the season with 4.73 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. He is heading into 2017 healthy after suffering a UCL sprain and strained flexor tendon in the beginning of September, but avoided surgery with rest/rehab.

Though the ERA and WHIP look inflated, Green flashed plenty of talent in his brief time up. He struck out 10.25 hitters per nine innings, and had an above average K/BB rate of 3.47. His SwStr% was 12.3%, just a hair better than Strahm. He has been working to improve his cutter this offseason, which was a big key to his success last season; during outings in which Green used his cutter 18 percent of the time or more, he registered a 2.86 ERA and struck out 29 batters in 22 innings of work. In appearances he used it less than 18 percent of his total pitches, Green’s ERA spiked to an abysmal 5.98 (courtesy of elitesportsny.com). He is battling with four other starters for the final two rotation spots in New York, so this will be one pitching battle to keep an eye on. Luis Severino makes for an intriguing sleeper if he wins a spot also.

 

Tyler Skaggs (SP, LAA)

After dealing with injuries for the majority of his career, Tyler Skaggs is healthy and ready to help the Angels. He was forced to miss all of 2015 due to Tommy John surgery, and threw only 87.6 total innings last season while dealing with shoulder soreness. Heading into 2017 he is feeling as good as he ever has, and has a rotation spot with his name on it.

A pitchers control is what takes the longest to recover after Tommy John, and Skaggs felt that impact last season. He did have a nice 9.06 K/9, but an ugly 4.17 BB/9 rate. His career average is 3.16, so expect that number to improve with Skaggs further along in his recovery. Outside of a four game stretch in August, Skaggs flashed his upside as a starter.  In his first two starts he fired 12.1 shutout innings with 13 strikeouts and 3 walks. In his last three full starts (left his last start after 1.2 innings) he threw 18 innings, striking out 21 with only three earned runs. In those four starts in the middle he allowed 19 runs over 17.2 innings. There is certainly some risk here, but he has the rotation spot locked and all the upside you need from a late round pick.

 

Joe Musgrove (SP, HOU)

The first of two Houston pitchers on this list is Joe Musgrove. Musgrove made his MLB debut last year out of the bullpen, striking out eight over 4.1 innings. In his first start he threw seven innings, allowing one earned run with six strikeouts and no walks. His biggest asset has always been his control; from Double-A on through the minors he never had a BB/9 higher than 1.20, and in the majors last season it was only 2.32.

Despite his eight-strikeout debut, Musgrove hasn’t been known to be a big strikeout pitcher throughout his minor league career. His K/9 was just below the league average last season at 7.98, and his SwStr% was also just below average at 9.9%. However, he finds ways to use his control to induce soft contact. His outside swing rate (o-swing %) was above average at 31.3%, and his outside contact rate (o-contact %) was at 58.1%. To put it in perspective, that contact rate would have put him in the top-10 among qualified starters. He won’t blow you away with strikeouts, but can provide an excellent K/BB ratio if he wins the fifth starting spot in Houston.

 

Chris Devenski (SP, HOU)

After an injury early in the season, Devenski was called up from Triple-A and made his MLB debut out of the bullpen. He appeared in 48 games while making five starts, holding a 2.16 ERA and 0.91 WHIP over 108.1 innings. He had an excellent 5.20 K/BB rate, and held hitters to a .205 batting average against. Among pitchers who pitched at least 50 innings out of the bullpen, he held the fifth-lowest ERA and third-lowest WHIP. Those numbers won him Houston’s Pitcher of the Year award last season.

He is being stretched out as a starter in spring training, and will need to work on maintaining his velocity and command deeper into games. He threw his fastball and changeup most often last season, but also has a slider and curveball in his repertoire. His changeup is lights out’ according to Fangraphs the value of his changeup was the fourth highest of any pitcher in the majors behind only Kyle Hendricks, David Price, and Marco Estrada. If he earns a rotation spot out of camp, he can be a very dangerous starter for Houston.

 

More Potential Draft Values and Sleepers




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Carlos Rodón

Carlos Rodon Activated for Season Debut on Sunday
William Byron

Is William Byron Playable in DFS Lineups at Watkins Glen?
Bucky Irving

Potentially Undervalued After Disappointing Sophomore Season
Austin Reaves

Nears Double-Double In Game 3 Loss
Davante Adams

a Dynasty Hold Who Could See His Value Slip
LeBron James

Facing Sweep With Game 4 on Monday
Emeka Egbuka

The Pendulum Swinging Back on Emeka Egbuka's Dynasty Value
Ajay Mitchell

Posts Career Playoff Night in Game 3
Chet Holmgren

Helps Thunder Move to Brink of Conference Finals
Michael Pittman Jr.

Undervalued in an Environment Fit for His Skill Set
Tobias Harris

Extends 20-Point Streak in Saturday's Loss
Evan Mobley

Keeps Defensive Production Rolling Saturday
Rhamondre Stevenson

a Quality Dynasty Target in a Still-Improving Offense
Golden State Warriors

Warriors Extend Steve Kerr into his 13th Season
Kyle Larson

May have A Positive Day at Watkins Glen
Chase Briscoe

May Compete for A Top-10 Finish at Watkins Glen
NASCAR

A.J. Allmendinger May have Another Solid Outing at Watkins Glen
Ty Gibbs

Should Fantasy Managers Roster Ty Gibbs at Watkins Glen?
Ross Chastain

Is Ross Chastain Worth Rostering for Watkins Glen Lineups?
Austin Cindric

Could Austin Cindric be A Sneaky Tournament Play for Watkins Glen?
Odell Beckham Jr.

Giants Not Looking to Sign Odell Beckham Jr. Right Now
Bo Nix

Will be Full Speed Before Training Camp
Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen the Heavy Favorite at Watkins Glen
Chase Elliott

Is Chase Elliott a No-Brainer DFS Pick at Watkins Glen?
Chris Buescher

Qualifies 14th at Watkins Glen
Ryan Blaney

Has Upside at Watkins Glen After Signing Contract Extension
Michael McDowell

Still Searching for First Top-Five Finish at Watkins Glen
Carson Hocevar

Is Carson Hocevar Too Aggressive for Road-Course Racing?
Joey Logano

Needs a Good Run at Watkins Glen
Luis Castillo

Mariners Intend to Piggyback Luis Castillo, Bryce Miller
Duncan Robinson

Shines on Both Ends Saturday
Cade Cunningham

Records Second Career Postseason Triple-Double
Donovan Mitchell

Logs 35-Point Double-Double
James Harden

Plays Late Hero Saturday
OG Anunoby

Could Miss Another Game Sunday
Joel Embiid

Considered Probable for Sunday's Elimination Game
Jarred Vanderbilt

Active on Saturday Night
Logan Webb

Placed on 15-Day Injured List With Knee Bursitis
Bryce Miller

is Set to Return on Wednesday
Jeff Hoffman

Could Return to Closer Role
CHI

Blackhawks Bring in Roman Kantserov for Next Season
Mason McTavish

Set to Rejoin Ducks Lineup Sunday
Lukas Dostal

to Remain in Ducks Crease Sunday
Zach Bogosian

Back for Wild Saturday
Jesper Wallstedt

Starting Game 3 Against Avalanche
Joel Eriksson Ek

Not Ready to Return Saturday
Owen Tippett

Won't Play Saturday
Cooper Kupp

a Dynasty Hold into the Start of 2026 Season
Jaylen Warren

a Safe Dynasty Depth Piece with Insurance Upside
Christian McCaffrey

a Risky Dynasty Hold Who Still Exceeds His Trade Value
Brian Thomas Jr.

A Risky Buy-Low with Immense Upside
Tre' Harris

a Dynasty Hold That Could Require Patience
Taj Bradley

Hits the Injured List With Pectoral Inflammation
Braelon Allen

Dynasty Stock Takes a Hit After Teammate's Extension
Josh Allen

Still the Top Dynasty QB in his Prime
Kyler Murray

Suddenly a Rising Dynasty Target in Minnesota
Kyle Bradish

has Nice Bounce-Back Performance With 10 K's
Casey Mize

Throws Bullpen on Friday, Return Not Imminent
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Optimistic About Returning Next Wednesday
Mike Matheson

Leads by Example in Game 2 Win
Jakub Dobes

Rebounds After Loss Yet Again for Montreal
Rachaad White

Undervalued in Dynasty Leagues Despite a Path to Upside
Alex Newhook

Sets Tone in Big Montreal Victory
Stephon Castle

Overcomes Shooting Struggles Friday
Jake Tonges

Should by Now Be Rostered by Every Kittle Dynasty Manager
Anthony Edwards

Carries Heavy Usage in Defeat
Chig Okonkwo

a Clear Breakout Candidate in Washington
Lukas Dostal

Gets Pulled in Game 3 Loss on Friday
Victor Wembanyama

Joins Historic Playoff Company
Mikal Bridges

Continues Postseason Surge with 23-Point Game
Aaron Jones Sr.

Still a Low-Cost, Short-Term Dynasty Target
Kelly Oubre Jr.

Keeps Scoring Role Alive
Romeo Doubs

' Buy Window Could Soon Be Wide Open
Joel Embiid

Held to 18 Points in 76ers Game 3 Loss
Brett Howden

Notches Sixth Goal of the Postseason
Jalen Brunson

Tallies 33 Points to Take 3-0 Series Lead
VEG

Mitch Marner Hat Trick Helps Vegas Take Series Lead
Pat Bryant

Working With Training Staff This Offseason
Tyler Glasnow

Dodgers Put Tyler Glasnow on Injured List With Back Spasms
Mats Zuccarello

Expected to Play Saturday
Joel Eriksson Ek

to Be a Game-Time Decision Saturday
Jonas Brodin

Still Out Saturday
Josh Manson

Could Return Saturday
Kaedan Korczak

Scratched for Game 3 Against Ducks
Radko Gudas

Likely to Remain Out Friday
Sam Carrick

Won't Play Friday
Blake Snell

to Make Season Debut for Dodgers on Saturday
Cole Ragans

Royals Place Cole Ragans on Injured List With Elbow Impingement
Sean Strickland

An Underdog At UFC 328
Khamzat Chimaev

Set For UFC 328 Main Event
Tatsuro Taira

Can Become The New Flyweight Champion
Joshua Van

Set For His First Title Defense
Alexander Volkov

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
MMA

Waldo Cortes-Acosta Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Nick Lodolo

Officially Activated, Making Season Debut on Friday
CFB

Walker Lyons Could be Go-To Target for Bear Bachmeier
CFB

Ty Benefield a Potential Game-Changer for LSU Defense
CFB

Hayden Lowe Set for Significant Role Following Miami's NFL Departures
CFB

Taylor Wein in Position for Big Season on Oklahoma's Defensive Line
CFB

Rasheem Biles an Instant Impact Player for Texas
Dan Vladar

Looks to Return to Winning Ways Thursday
Roman Anthony

Heading for the Injured List
CFB

Sam Leavitt Expected to Be Full-Go for Fall Camp
Tarik Skubal

Could Return in 4-6 Weeks After Successful Elbow Surgery
Cole Ragans

Royals Hopeful That Cole Ragans Makes his Next Start
Emilio Pagán

Emilio Pagan has Grade 2 Hamstring Strain, Expected to Miss 4-8 Weeks
Joe Ryan

Listed as Scheduled Starter for Saturday Against Cleveland
Tyler Glasnow

Not Expected to Land on the Injured List
Framber Valdez

Suspension Reduced to Five Games
Framber Valdez

Suspended Six Games
CFB

Brauntae Johnson the Next Star in Notre Dame's Secondary?
CFB

Ethan Barbour a Name to Know in Georgia's Tight End Room
CFB

Payton Pierce Next Up at Linebacker for Ohio State
CFB

Javin Gordon to Play Significant Role for Tennessee?
CFB

Tanook Hines Stepping into WR1 Role for USC
CFB

Rueben Owens II has "Star Potential" in Fourth Campaign
Collin Morikawa

Withdraws From Truist Championship
Xander Schauffele

Carries Elite Form Into Quail Hollow
Hideki Matsuyama

Looks to Bounce Back at Truist Championship
Matt Fitzpatrick

Secures Third Win of 2026 Season
Patrick Cantlay

Continues Playing Well Heading to Truist Championship
Ludvig Aberg

Returns to Action For Truist Championship
Justin Thomas

Searching for Consistency at Quail Hollow
Jordan Spieth

Looks to Break Through at Quail Hollow
Adam Scott

Brings Strong Form to Quail Hollow
Robert MacIntyre

a Steady Option at Truist Championship
Jason Day

Looks to Overcome Approach Struggles at Quail Hollow
Akshay Bhatia

Looks for Complete Game at Truist Championship
Justin Rose

to Continue Mid-Season Club Change at Truist Championship
Si Woo Kim

is Back to Peak Form Ahead of Truist Championship
Sam Burns

to Bounce Back at Truist Championship
Cameron Young

Looks to Carry Dominance to Quail Hollow
Rory McIlroy

Returns to Familiar Stomping Grounds This Week at Quail Hollow
Chris Gotterup

Looking to Bounce Back at Quail Hollow
Tommy Fleetwood

Looking For Better Iron Play at Quail Hollow
CFB

Mario Craver Enters No. 1 Wide Receiver Role for Marcel Reed
CFB

LaNorris Sellers a Strong Rebound Candidate in 2026
CFB

Cam Coleman Poised for Monster Year at Texas?
CFB

Will Hammond Pushing to Be Ready for Week 1
Alex Fitzpatrick

Looking to Keep Up Ball-Striking Output at Quail Hollow
CFB

Notre Dame Leads College Football in Returning Snaps
CFB

Two Ole Miss Football Players Arrested, Charged with DUI
Ben Griffin

Looks Solid on the Surface Heading to Charlotte
Chase Elliott

Earns his Second Texas Motor Speedway Victory
Denny Hamlin

Misses Out on Winning at Texas
Alex Bowman

Finishes Third for the Second Week in a Row at Texas
Tyler Reddick

Earns Seventh Top-Five Finish of the Season at Texas
Chris Buescher

Scores his First Career Texas Finish in the Top Five
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF