👉 TAP TO SAVE 30% WITH CODE NEW
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

Going Against the Late-QB and Zero-RB Tide: 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Strategy

There are plenty of strategies that get thrown around in fantasy football war rooms, with terms like “zero-RB” or “late-round QB” becoming household phrases over the past few seasons.

What do those mean though? And what should they mean to you entering the 2016 season? Let's find out.

Editor's Note: Purchase a full season NFL Premium Pass (including Draft Kit + DFS Premium), and also get MLB Premium + DFS for free through October. Premium DFS lineup picks, expert lineups, tools and more - seven days a week. You can see screenshots of our NFL Premium and MLB Premium and DFS tools. What are you waiting for?

Featured Promo: Looking for some more fantasy football action? Adopt a dynasty orphan team over at FFPC. Sign up today and get $25 off any FFPC league. Sign Up Now!

 

Late-Round Quarterback

Stop me if you’ve heard this before: “you’re a fool if you take a quarterback early!”

Okay, well I’m not actually going to stop, but the point remains. Waiting on quarterback has become the thing to do, and with good reason. Taking a QB early means you’re passing up on a top RB/WR, which can end up burning you down the road more-so than a late QB can do. While Cam Newton did have a stellar season, scoring nearly 50 points more than QB2 Tom Brady according to FantasyPros Leaders, there were only 60 points between Brady and the 12th-best QB in Philip Rivers. So waiting on a QB is sound then yes? Sure, but that doesn't invalidate other approaches, nor does it make it the best approach.

Let's dig into some ADPs and compare 2015 to 2016. Andrew Luck was the first QB taken in 2015, with his standard-league ADP had him at 11.4 overall according to FFToday’s data from last season. This season, the first quarterback is Newton with an average ADP of 20 according to RotoBaller as of Aug. 24. That’s pretty dramatic.

People will push that streaming quarterbacks is viable due to targeting bottom-half defenses, but the landscape has changed a bit here due to the overreaction to early-QB under-performance last season. Andrew Luck’s injury burned many. People hitting on late picks of Blake Bortles, Kirk Cousins and Ryan Fitzpatrick types have encouraged waiting as reactionary trends are made clear.

So what to do? Waiting on QBs is certainly still strong with the state of the NFL right now. Passing is up across the board, with guys like Derek Carr, Andy Dalton and Tyrod Taylor being available outside of the top-12 QBs. Ask many owners and they’d be just fine with starting them. But now let’s wrap our heads around something.

Remember Luck’s 11.4 average ADP from 2015? It’s way down to 42.9 this season. He’s healthy, so what changed? He isn’t old, he has a young Donte Moncrief trending up and losing Coby Fleener definitely doesn’t result in a 30-pick drop. This makes for a great profit margin.

In the end, the obvious caveat that hangs over everything is “know your league”. If you have an aggressive bunch with QB then there’s great value in waiting on a guy like Eli Manning and Philip Rivers. If everyone waits, then taking Andrew Luck in the fourth round could prove to be a league winner.

 

Zero Running Back

Talk about reactionary waves. The “Zero-RB” strategy is one that preaches waiting on taking a running back until the middle rounds, loading up on WRs alongside a potential top QB or TE before selecting an RB.

One just has to glance at how running backs and wide receivers taken early from last season fared to see why favoring WRs early is popular. Last season the first four picks were RBs. Le’Veon Bell, Eddie Lacy, Marshawn Lynch, Jamaal Charles, C.J. Anderson, Jeremy Hill and DeMarco Murray were all selected within the top-14 picks in standard formats last season. Whether it was through injury or ineffectiveness, they all failed to score as RB1s in 12-team formats (Hill fared best, checking in at RB14).

That’s going to leave a mark. So after RBs made up nine of last season’s first 14 picks (including the first four), they are now outside of the top three entirely and you won’t find the ninth RB until pick 20. That doesn’t sound like a lot, but it’s a large change this early in drafts. Say you are picking at the back-end of a 12-team standard league. You now have a great chance at selecting Lamar Miller in the first round, an Allen Robinson or Brandon Marshall type of WR in the second round, and then a LeSean McCoy or C.J Anderson in the third before anyone else even has a running back.

You now have a stud RB1 that can anchor your team, except you didn't need to pick within the top three just to lock him up. You also have a great WR1 and an RB2 that is leaps and bounds ahead of the pack, allowing you to snag some insurance or a legit RB later as a FLEX play when others are scrambling to slot in Matt Jones as a reliable week-in, week-out starter. That sounds pretty good.

 

Conclusion

Austin Powers said it best: “Whoopty doo. What does it all mean, Basil?”

Going zero-RB or late-round QB can certainly work, but it would appear that these buzzy strategies have become so deeply ingrained now that there’s ample margin for profit to be had for the savvy owner. This is not meant to sell you on being contrarian, just to keep an open mind with some context for your 2016 fantasy football draft.

Drafting with a rigid plan tends to be a bad idea. You may have tested your respective strategy in multiple mock drafts, your league-mates may have told you who they’re “dead set” on picking, but anything can happen. It’s one thing to put a certain player on your “do not draft” list, it’s another thing entirely to blacklist a position. Keep an open mind, and you may just find some gold in the shadows as everyone runs to the spotlight.

 

NFL & Fantasy Football Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-0" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jake Allen

has Excellent Performance in Defeat
Logan Thompson

Nearly Perfect In Victory
Pascal Siakam

Uncertain for Saturday Against Spurs
Stephon Castle

Questionable for Saturday Versus Pacers
Donovan Mitchell

Questionable as Cavaliers Visit New Orleans
Kevin Porter Jr.

Listed as Questionable Against Phoenix
Isaiah Collier

to Miss Second Straight Game
Joel Embiid

Out Saturday Against Utah
Tanner Bibee

to Take the Ball on Opening Day
Logan Webb

to Start on Opening Day for Giants
Christian Wilkins

"Fully Intends" to Play in 2026
Jake Bobo

Jaguars Sign Receiver Jake Bobo to an Offer Sheet
Trent Williams

49ers Decline to Pick Up Trent Williams' $10 Million Option Bonus
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Seahawks Exercise Jaxon Smith-Njigba's Fifth-Year Option
Cristopher Sánchez

Cristopher Sanchez to Start on Opening Day for Phillies
Chris Sale

Braves Name Chris Sale as Their Opening Day Starter
Kyle Stowers

Leaves Friday's Game With Hamstring Tightness
DJ Chark

Hangs Up his Cleats
Naz Reid

Ruled Out Friday Against Portland
Jasson Domínguez

Jasson Dominguez Optioned to Triple-A
GG Jackson II

Out Friday Against Boston
Austin Reaves

Added to Injury Report Saturday
Kawhi Leonard

Questionable Against Dallas
Trae Young

Still Sidelined Saturday
Terance Mann

is Unavailable on Friday
Tyler Toffoli

Won't Play Saturday
Andrew Wiggins

Remains Out Saturday
Marcus Sasser

to Sit Out on Friday
Cedric Coward

a Late Scratch Friday
Joel Armia

Ready to Return From Back Injury
Quinten Post

is Ruled Out for Friday's Game
Joel Eriksson Ek

Kirill Kaprizov, Joel Eriksson Ek to Remain Out Saturday
Karl-Anthony Towns

Set to Suit Up Against Brooklyn
Ziaire Williams

to Play on Friday
Ross Colton

Still Out Friday
Ben Saraf

is Available on Friday
Yan Kuznetsov

Remains Sidelined Friday
Ivica Zubac

to Miss Rest of the Season
Shayne Gostisbehere

Misses Seventh Straight Contest
Jacob Misiorowski

Named Opening Day Starter
Morgan Rielly

Cleared to Play Friday
Mike Trout

X-Rays Come Back Negative on Mike Trout's Hand
Ja'Tavion Sanders

Panthers Expect Ja'Tavion Sanders to be Ready for Offseason Program
Dylan Crews

Optioned to Triple-A Rochester
Quinshon Judkins

Does Quinshon Judkins Have RB1 Upside in Dynasty Formats?
Jayden Reed

Is Jayden Reed a Buy-Low Candidate After Injury-Marred 2025 Campaign?
Lerone Murphy

Set For UFC London Main Event
Chris Olave

Rehabs his Dynasty Value With Resurgent 2025 Performance
Movsar Evloev

Looks To Remain Unbeaten
Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Facing Uphill Battle for Playing Time in New York
Michael Aswell

Jr. An Underdog At UFC London
Luke Riley

Set For UFC London Co-Main Event
Chimere Dike

Could See a Diminished Role in 2026
Joe Ryan

Named Opening Day Starter for Twins
Chase Brown

Profiles as a High-End Dynasty Running Back Heading into 2026
Sam Patterson

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Michael Page

Set For Welterweight Bout
Austen Lane

In Dire Need Of Victory
Iwo Baraniewski

A Favorite At UFC London
C.J. Stroud

Will C.J. Stroud Ever Rediscover his Rookie-Season Magic?
Bijan Robinson

Finally Has the Falcons' Backfield All to Himself
Najee Harris

Remains on the Open Market
George Kittle

Injury Complicates Price Tag
Jameson Williams

Flashes WR1 Upside Ahead of 2026
Parker Washington

a Solidified Fantasy Option Despite Crowded Offense?
Nico Collins

Has Yet to Reach His Full Potential
Collin Murray-Boyles

Unlikely to Play Friday
Sergei Bobrovsky

Shuts Out Oilers with 21 Saves
Trent Frederic

Exits Early Against Panthers
Mason Appleton

Hurt Thursday Night
Tyler Toffoli

Suffers Lower-Body Injury in Thursday's Loss
Victor Hedman

Makes Early Exit Due to Illness
Juuse Saros

Dealing with Upper-Body Injury
Rome Odunze

Steps Into a Larger Role for 2026
Baker Mayfield

Loses Top Receiver After Subpar Season
Spencer Knight

Shuts Down the Wild on Thursday
Adam Fantilli

Scores Two Goals in Victory
Francisco Alvarez

Pulled Early Thursday With Back Tightness
Auston Matthews

Ruled Out for 12 Weeks
Yaroslav Askarov

Still Out Thursday
Luis Severino

to Start for A's on Opening Day
Kirill Kaprizov

Won't Play Against Blackhawks
Alex Tuch

Expected to Return Thursday
Logan Gilbert

Named Mariners Opening Day Starter
José Ramírez

Jose Ramirez Back in Cactus League Lineup on Thursday
Hayden Birdsong

to Have Tommy John Surgery, Miss Entire 2026 Season
Zack Wheeler

to Pitch in Minor-League Game on Monday
Paul Skenes

Pirates Officially Name Paul Skenes Their Opening Day Starter
Jurickson Profar

Officially Suspended for Entire 2026 Season
Carson Williams

"Likely" to Be Rays Opening Day Starting Shortstop
Trey Yesavage

Will Open 2026 on the Injured List Due to Shoulder Impingement
Max Fried

to Start on Opening Day for Yankees
Akshay Bhatia

Withdraws From Valspar Championship
CFB

Alberto Mendoza Drawing Positive Reviews at Georgia Tech
CFB

Anthony Colandrea Impressing in Nebraska's Spring Practices
J.J. Spaun

Offers Upside Despite Poor Course History at Innisbrook
Aaron Rai

Looks to Bounce Back at Valspar Championship
Johnny Keefer

Brings Ball-Striking Upside to Valspar Championship
Billy Horschel

a Volatile Play at Valspar Championship
Ben Griffin

Looks to Rebound at the Valspar Championship
Corey Conners

Brings Elite Ball-Striking to Valspar Championship
Xander Schauffele

Trending In The Right Direction For Valspar Championship
Sahith Theegala

Has Shot to Challenge at Valspar Championship
Mackenzie Hughes

Looking to Bounce Back at Valspar Championship
Nicolai Hojgaard

Finding Rhythm For Valspar Championship
Matt Fitzpatrick

Continues Hot Start to 2026 Heading to Valspar Championship
Pierceson Coody

Heads to Valspar Championship Following Two Missed Cuts
Wyndham Clark

Searching for Momentum at Valspar Championship
Justin Thomas

Is Justin Thomas Back Ahead of This Week's Valspar Championship?
Jordan Spieth

to Bounce Back at Favored Valspar Championship?
Brooks Koepka

is Starting to Find His Groove Again Ahead of Valspar Championship
Viktor Hovland

is One of The Best DFS Plays at Innesbrook
Rasmus Hojgaard

to Get Back on Track at Valspar Championship
Tony Finau

is Again a Scary Option at Valspar Championship
Blades Brown

Continues PGA Tour Run at Valspar Championship
Josh Emmett

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
Kevin Vallejos

Scores First-Round TKO
Amanda Lemos

Drops Back-To-Back Fights
Gillian Robertson

Extends Her Win Streak
Andre Fili

Drops Decision on Saturday
Denny Hamlin

Dominates and Gets His Third Career Las Vegas Win
Chase Elliott

Earns Runner-Up Finish at Las Vegas
William Byron

Wins A Stage and Finishes Third at Las Vegas
Christopher Bell

Finishes Fourth at Las Vegas After Strong Run
Kyle Larson

Fades to Seventh Despite Leading Laps Early at Las Vegas
Andre Fili

Jose Delgado Edges Andre Fili in Split-Decision Win
Oumar Sy

Suffers First-Round Submission Loss
Ion Cutelaba

Returns To The Win Column
CFB

CJ Carr Enters Sophomore Season as Heisman Favorite
CFB

Aaron Philo Not a Lock to be Florida's Starting QB?
CFB

George MacIntyre the Favorite to Win Tennessee Quarterback Battle?
CFB

Keelon Russell, Austin Mack Battling for Alabama QB1 Duties
Christopher Bell

Looking for Redemption, Wins Pole at Las Vegas
Denny Hamlin

Should Contend for Another Vegas Win
Chase Briscoe

Qualifies 18th Despite Toyota Dominating at Las Vegas
Chase Elliott

May Fly Under the Radar at Las Vegas
NASCAR

Ross Chastian Has Been As Solid As They Come at Las Vegas
Ty Gibbs

Could Ty Gibbs Finally Break Through With a Win at Las Vegas?
Brad Keselowski

a Solid DFS Pick at Las Vegas
Kyle Larson

Should Kyle Larson be Considered A Favorite for Las Vegas?
William Byron

Could Compete for a Top-Five Finish at Las Vegas
Ryan Blaney

Is Ryan Blaney Worth Rostering in Tournament DFS Lineups for Las Vegas?
Tyler Reddick

Could Continue his Top-10 Streak at Las Vegas
Joey Logano

Should DFS Managers Underestimate Joey Logano for Las Vegas?
Chris Buescher

Is Chris Buescher Worth Rostering For Las Vegas DFS Lineups?
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace is A Risky DFS Option Who Could Pay Off at Las Vegas
Josh Berry

Has Plenty of Upside for Las Vegas DFS Lineups
Ryan Preece

Scores his First Las Vegas Top-10 Starting Spot in Qualifying
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF