👉 TAP TO SAVE 30% WITH CODE NEW
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

Going Against the Late-QB and Zero-RB Tide: 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Strategy

There are plenty of strategies that get thrown around in fantasy football war rooms, with terms like “zero-RB” or “late-round QB” becoming household phrases over the past few seasons.

What do those mean though? And what should they mean to you entering the 2016 season? Let's find out.

Editor's Note: Purchase a full season NFL Premium Pass (including Draft Kit + DFS Premium), and also get MLB Premium + DFS for free through October. Premium DFS lineup picks, expert lineups, tools and more - seven days a week. You can see screenshots of our NFL Premium and MLB Premium and DFS tools. What are you waiting for?

Featured Promo: Looking for some more fantasy football action? Adopt a dynasty orphan team over at FFPC. Sign up today and get $25 off any FFPC league. Sign Up Now!

 

Late-Round Quarterback

Stop me if you’ve heard this before: “you’re a fool if you take a quarterback early!”

Okay, well I’m not actually going to stop, but the point remains. Waiting on quarterback has become the thing to do, and with good reason. Taking a QB early means you’re passing up on a top RB/WR, which can end up burning you down the road more-so than a late QB can do. While Cam Newton did have a stellar season, scoring nearly 50 points more than QB2 Tom Brady according to FantasyPros Leaders, there were only 60 points between Brady and the 12th-best QB in Philip Rivers. So waiting on a QB is sound then yes? Sure, but that doesn't invalidate other approaches, nor does it make it the best approach.

Let's dig into some ADPs and compare 2015 to 2016. Andrew Luck was the first QB taken in 2015, with his standard-league ADP had him at 11.4 overall according to FFToday’s data from last season. This season, the first quarterback is Newton with an average ADP of 20 according to RotoBaller as of Aug. 24. That’s pretty dramatic.

People will push that streaming quarterbacks is viable due to targeting bottom-half defenses, but the landscape has changed a bit here due to the overreaction to early-QB under-performance last season. Andrew Luck’s injury burned many. People hitting on late picks of Blake Bortles, Kirk Cousins and Ryan Fitzpatrick types have encouraged waiting as reactionary trends are made clear.

So what to do? Waiting on QBs is certainly still strong with the state of the NFL right now. Passing is up across the board, with guys like Derek Carr, Andy Dalton and Tyrod Taylor being available outside of the top-12 QBs. Ask many owners and they’d be just fine with starting them. But now let’s wrap our heads around something.

Remember Luck’s 11.4 average ADP from 2015? It’s way down to 42.9 this season. He’s healthy, so what changed? He isn’t old, he has a young Donte Moncrief trending up and losing Coby Fleener definitely doesn’t result in a 30-pick drop. This makes for a great profit margin.

In the end, the obvious caveat that hangs over everything is “know your league”. If you have an aggressive bunch with QB then there’s great value in waiting on a guy like Eli Manning and Philip Rivers. If everyone waits, then taking Andrew Luck in the fourth round could prove to be a league winner.

 

Zero Running Back

Talk about reactionary waves. The “Zero-RB” strategy is one that preaches waiting on taking a running back until the middle rounds, loading up on WRs alongside a potential top QB or TE before selecting an RB.

One just has to glance at how running backs and wide receivers taken early from last season fared to see why favoring WRs early is popular. Last season the first four picks were RBs. Le’Veon Bell, Eddie Lacy, Marshawn Lynch, Jamaal Charles, C.J. Anderson, Jeremy Hill and DeMarco Murray were all selected within the top-14 picks in standard formats last season. Whether it was through injury or ineffectiveness, they all failed to score as RB1s in 12-team formats (Hill fared best, checking in at RB14).

That’s going to leave a mark. So after RBs made up nine of last season’s first 14 picks (including the first four), they are now outside of the top three entirely and you won’t find the ninth RB until pick 20. That doesn’t sound like a lot, but it’s a large change this early in drafts. Say you are picking at the back-end of a 12-team standard league. You now have a great chance at selecting Lamar Miller in the first round, an Allen Robinson or Brandon Marshall type of WR in the second round, and then a LeSean McCoy or C.J Anderson in the third before anyone else even has a running back.

You now have a stud RB1 that can anchor your team, except you didn't need to pick within the top three just to lock him up. You also have a great WR1 and an RB2 that is leaps and bounds ahead of the pack, allowing you to snag some insurance or a legit RB later as a FLEX play when others are scrambling to slot in Matt Jones as a reliable week-in, week-out starter. That sounds pretty good.

 

Conclusion

Austin Powers said it best: “Whoopty doo. What does it all mean, Basil?”

Going zero-RB or late-round QB can certainly work, but it would appear that these buzzy strategies have become so deeply ingrained now that there’s ample margin for profit to be had for the savvy owner. This is not meant to sell you on being contrarian, just to keep an open mind with some context for your 2016 fantasy football draft.

Drafting with a rigid plan tends to be a bad idea. You may have tested your respective strategy in multiple mock drafts, your league-mates may have told you who they’re “dead set” on picking, but anything can happen. It’s one thing to put a certain player on your “do not draft” list, it’s another thing entirely to blacklist a position. Keep an open mind, and you may just find some gold in the shadows as everyone runs to the spotlight.

 

NFL & Fantasy Football Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-0" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Joey Gallo

Throwing for Interested Teams
Jason Adam

Thinks he Could be Ready for Opening Day
Zac Gallen

Diamondbacks Re-Sign Zac Gallen
Zac Veen

Overcomes Substance Abuse, Adds Muscle
Yohel Pozo

Drops Significant Weight Heading into 2026 Season
Sandy Alcantara

Adding a Sweeper
Cleveland Cavaliers

Riley Minix Signs Two-Way Deal With Cavaliers
Nate Pearson

Coming Off Offseason Elbow Surgery
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Likely Available for All-Star Game
Clarke Schmidt

Seen Throwing on Friday
Chris Paul

Retires From Basketball
Spencer Steer

Quad Injury a Thing of the Past?
Zach LaVine

to Undergo Season-Ending Hand Surgery
John Means

Royals Agree to Two-Year Minor-League Deal With John Means
Gleyber Torres

Should be Good to Go for Opening Day
Kyle Manzardo

Packs on Muscle in Offseason
David Pastrnak

Gets Off the Mark at Olympics
Macklin Celebrini

Pots Another Goal Friday
Kevin Fiala

Stretchered Off Against Canada
Bryan Woo

Turns Down WBC as he Eyes Larger 2026 Workload
Rowan Wick

Giants Agree With Rowan Wick on One-Year Deal
Luis Rengifo

Agrees to One-Year Deal With Brewers
Francisco Alvarez

Drops 10 Pounds
Aaron Rodgers

Likely to Return to Steelers?
Emmanuel Clase

Used Coded Language for Pitch-Rigging Plans
Kyle Teel

to be Chicago's Everyday Catcher?
Chris Paddack

to be in Opening Day Starting Rotation
Shelby Miller

Cubs to Sign Shelby Miller to Multi-Year Contract
Roman Anthony

to Play for Team USA in World Baseball Classic
Terry McLaurin

Commanders Want Terry McLaurin to Get 10 Targets a Game
Deandre Ayton

Remains Day-to-Day for Lakers
LeBron James

Posts Historic Triple-Double in Win
Ja Morant

Still Without Clear Return Date
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Expected Back After All-Star Break
Oscar Tshiebwe

Enters Concussion Protocol Thursday
Naji Marshall

Exits Early with Foot Strain
Daniel Gafford

Leaves Game with Ankle Issue
Jordan Binnington

Records 26-Save Shutout Against Czechia
Connor McDavid

Ties Canadian Record With Three Assists in Olympic Debut
Josh Morrissey

Hurt in Olympic Opener
Robert Williams III

Will Not Play Against Utah
Deni Avdija

Sidelined vs. Jazz
Alexandre Sarr

to Miss Multiple Weeks
Naji Marshall

Gets Upgraded to Probable
Myles Turner

Will Not Play Thursday
Caleb Martin

is Downgraded to Doubtful
Jeremy Sochan

Heading to New York
CFB

Trinidad Chambliss Eligible for 2026 Season
Kyle Kuzma

Cleared to Play Against Thunder
Ryan Rollins

Remains Sidelined Against Thunder
Shaedon Sharpe

Sidelined Against Utah
CFB

BYU's Parker Kingston Charged with Felony Rape
Cameron Young

Looking for Pebble Beach Success
J.J. Spaun

Looks to Turn Things Around at Pebble Beach
Collin Morikawa

Eyes Turnaround at Pebble Beach
Jake Knapp

Brings Hot Form to Pebble Beach
Nick Taylor

in Good Form Going into Pebble Beach Event
Viktor Hovland

Carrying Momentum Into Pebble Beach
Tommy Fleetwood

Set for 2026 PGA Tour Debut at Pebble Beach
Harris English

Looks to Build on Steady Form at Pebble Beach
Justin Rose

Tuned in for AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
Keegan Bradley

a Boom-or-Bust Play at Pebble Beach
Maverick McNealy

Playing Well with Pebble Beach Looming
Russell Henley

Carries Momentum to Pebble Beach
Shane Lowry

Makes 2026 PGA Tour Debut at Pebble Beach
Michael Kim

Putting Well with Pebble Beach on the Horizon
Billy Horschel

a Little Rattled After Consecutive Missed Cuts
Ben Griffin

Solid But Not Spectacular Early in 2026
Wyndham Clark

Has Question Marks Heading to Pebble Beach
Daniel Berger

Heating Up at the Right Time for Pebble Beach
Jordan Spieth

Looking For a Return to Form at Pebble Beach
Juuse Saros

Starting Wednesday
William Nylander

Iffy for Olympic Opener
Martin Necas

Ready for Thursday
Drake Maye

Says his Shoulder Injury was Significant
Xander Schauffele

Trying to Get the Motor Going at Pebble Beach
Hideki Matsuyama

Trying to Overcome Sunday Collapse
Kenneth Walker III

Runs Away With Super Bowl MVP Honors
Vinicius Oliveira

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Mario Bautista

Gets Back In The Win Column
Kyoji Horiguchi

Dominates At UFC Vegas 113
Amir Albazi

Gets Dominated At UFC Vegas 113
Rizvan Kuniev

Earns His First UFC Win
Jailton Almeida

Drops Decision At UFC Vegas 113
Marc-Andre Barriault

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Michal Oleksiejczuk

Gets His Third Win In A Row
Las Vegas Raiders

Klint Kubiak Confirms he Will be Next Raiders Head Coach
Jonas Rondbjerg

Out for Olympics
Brad Marchand

Good to Go for Olympic Opener
Gabriel Landeskog

Healthy for Olympics
Jack Hughes

Cleared for Olympics
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Returns to Super Bowl After Injury Scare
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Being Evaluated for Concussion, Questionable to Return
James Pearce Jr.

Arrested Following Police Chase
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF