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Under-the-Radar Booms/Busts: Week 16

Craig Rondinone analyzes the under-the-radar lineup booms and busts for Week 16 of fantasy football. These players could be upside flex plays or players to sit.

If you are reading this column because you are playing in your fantasy football league’s Super Bowl this weekend, congratulations! If you are reading it because you are hoping to win a few thousand dollars in a DFS league so you can buy bigger holiday presents for your friends and family, even better!

This is the final under-the-radar booms/busts column of the season, fantasy folks! It has been a pleasure serving you up low-priced booms and helping you avoid catastrophic busts throughout the year. This is the most crucial week to find the best booms and sidestep the bad busts, so let’s not waste any more time!

Here are some under-the-radar booms and busts for the 16th week of NFL action to help you set a winning lineup. Good luck RotoBallers!

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Week 16 Under-the-Radar Booms

Sony Michel (RB, NE) vs. BUF

New England’s offense has lost its way over the past month, and so has Michel and the Patriots running attack. The three-game early-season stretch when Michel rushed for 316 yards and four touchdowns feels like it happened eons ago. Michel has averaged a pedestrian 60 yards per game and has failed to score over his past three outings, plus he now has to contend with James White AND a healthy Rex Burkhead taking his touches.

Michel will be running against a top-10 Buffalo run defense that stuffed a Michel-less Pats backfield to the tune of 76 paltry rushing yards earlier this season, but no defense has allowed more touchdowns to running backs the past two months than the Bills have. Am I the only one thinking the Patriots will figure things out this week while the Bills will slump in a meaningless road game and the final score will end up being 40-3? Not only do I see that, I see Michel racking up tons of second-half yards and scoring a couple of touchdowns when the Pats salt the game away late.

Elijah McGuire (RB, NYJ) vs. GB

Bilal Powell and Isaiah Crowell are done for the season with their respective injuries, so McGuire is New York’s top tailback from here on out unless he follows suit in the injury department. He has rushed for 102 yards and two touchdowns and added six receptions for another 52 yards over the past two weeks as the Jets’ uninspired offense has seen a resurgence with rookie signal caller Sam Darnold healthy and appearing like he is getting the hang of being an NFL quarterback.

Green Bay’s decimated defense is missing as many key cogs as any team in the NFL and is ranked 22nd against the run. The Packers have also allowed running backs to score six times over the past five games, including a couple via receptions. McGuire is in line for 15 carries and three-to-five catches and could crack the 100-yard mark and reach the end zone a time or two. McGuire is poised to give fantasy players a happy holiday.

Antonio Callaway (WR, CLE) vs. CIN

Calloway has hurt more fantasy players than he has helped this season. He has no 100-yard games to his credit, but unfortunately, he has had five games where he accounted for 25 receiving yards or less. Callaway golf clubs have been more valuable than Calloway the football player in 2018, by far.

Calloway had his second-best game of the season (4-62-1) against Cincinnati earlier in the year, and the Bengals secondary has gotten worse since then (29th in pass defense in NFL). With Cleveland’s needle pointing up and Cincy’s pointing down as the teams ready for their second “Battle of Ohio” of the campaign, look for Calloway to build off of his 35 yards and a score from this past weekend and provide fantasy owners with even more during their Super Bowls.

 

Week 16 Under-the-Radar Busts

Dede Westbrook (WR, JAX) at MIA

Westbrook has been the one and only Jaguars skilled-position player to keep his fantasy value above water over the past two games as Jacksonville’s offense has died a spectacular death with Cody Kessler at quarterback (did you ever think we’d be begging to bring Blake Bortles back?). Westbrook had seven receptions for 88 yards and a touchdown two weeks ago, and this past week he pulled a Billy “White Shoes” Johnson and returned a punt for a touchdown.

Miami’s 24th-ranked pass defense has no Deion Sanders’ or Ronnie Lotts on the back end, but Jacksonville’s offense is anemic, inept and in no position to take advantage of the Dolphins’ defensive deficiencies. We have watched Jacksonville throw in the towel before (against Tennessee two weeks ago) and the Jags could be ready to do it again. There are better economical options out there in DFS leagues than Westbrook if you are shopping for a bargain-priced receiver.

Theo Riddick (RB, DET) vs. MIN

Riddick is the Duke Johnson of the NFC. You just wish the ball was in both of their hands a lot more than it is, because on the rare occasions they touch the ball, usually something positive happens. At least since Kerryon Johnson has been sidelined with his knee injury, Riddick has been getting some carries to go along with his catches and has been averaging 60 combined yards per game over the past month.

Minnesota has to win out to clinch a wildcard spot. Detroit has nothing to play for except for pride and extra dollars for impending free agents. In his last half-dozen games against his purple division rivals, Riddick has only averaged 38 combined yards per contest and has failed to score any touchdowns. Zach Zenner is also starting to out-touch Riddick as Zenner’s role has surprisingly expanded in the offense. None of this bodes well for Detroit’s underutilized change-of-pace back for this week.

Vance McDonald (TE, PIT) at NO

The better half of Pittsburgh’s tight end twosome (Jesse James is the other half), McDonald has been productive for a low-end tight end in recent weeks. He is averaging 27 yards per game and has two touchdown grabs over Pittsburgh’s past five games. McDonald sounds like the perfect candidate to provide a big bang for little bucks in DFS contests this weekend.

New Orleans is currently 28th in pass defense and has been close to the cellar in the department all season long. But while the Saints are low-ranked and have allowed three tight end touchdowns over the past three contests, they have been a lot stingier overall as they did not allow Carolina’s Cam Newton, Tampa Bay’s Jameis Winston, and Dallas’ Dak Prescott to throw for 250 yards against them during that span. McDonald is too inconsistent to be counted on in a huge fantasy spot. He may muster 30 yards but unless he lucks into a touchdown than he will not be worth much.

More Weekly Lineup Prep




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Alvin Kamara

Doesn't Practice on Wednesday
Lukas Dostal

Out Wednesday Night
Sean Durzi

Available Against Canadiens
Thomas Chabot

to Remain Out Wednesday
Jared McCann

Expected to Rejoin Kraken Lineup Wednesday
Andre Burakovsky

a Game-Time Decision Wednesday
Zach Edey

Good to Go Versus New Orleans
Mikko Rantanen

Returns to Stars Lineup Wednesday
J.K. Dobbins

Could Return Later This Season
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Available on Wednesday
Mark Stone

Ready to Return Wednesday
Nikola Jović

Nikola Jovic Good to go on Wednesday
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Agrees With Blue Jays on Seven-Year, $210 Million Deal
Norman Powell

Back in Action Wednesday
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Ruled Out on Wednesday Evening
Andrew Wiggins

Will Suit Up Against Milwaukee
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

a Game-Time Decision on Wednesday
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Plans to Play on Sunday Night
Dru Smith

Available Versus Bucks
Miami Heat

Jamie Jaquez Jr. Available for Wednesday's Matchup With Milwaukee
Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Upgraded to Probable Against Bucks
Pat Connaughton

Sidelined on Wednesday
Dylan Harper

Set to Suit Up Wednesday
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Sent to G League on Wednesday
Landry Shamet

Sidelined at Least Four Weeks
Anthony Rendon

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Brandon Aiyuk

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Bengals Officially Activate Joe Burrow for a Return on Thanksgiving
C.J. Stroud

Practicing Wednesday
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Spotted at Practice on Wednesday
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Back at Practice Wednesday
DeVonta Smith

Missing From Practice Again on Wednesday
Josh Hader

Says his Shoulder is "Back to Normal"
Ketel Marte

Diamondbacks "Actively Listening" on Ketel Marte
Jaxson Dart

to be a Full Participant at Wednesday's Practice
Dalton Kincaid

has "a Chance" to Play in Week 13
Drake London

"Doubtful" to Return from Knee Injury in Week 13
Jayden Daniels

Could Return in Week 14
Aaron Rodgers

Slated to Return in Week 13
Baker Mayfield

Could Play This Week
Josh Jacobs

"Good to Go" in Pivotal NFC North Matchup on Thanksgiving
Steven Adams

Ruled Out Wednesday Against Warriors
George Pickens

Expected to Play Thursday Against the Chiefs
J.J. McCarthy

Not Expected to Play Sunday in Seattle
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Dennis Schroder Questionable With Hip Soreness On Wednesday
Grayson Allen

Sidelined For Sixth Straight Game
Dylan Harper

Nearing Return From Calf Strain
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Nearing Return
Kevin Lankinen

Not Traveling With Canucks
Zach Edey

Status in Doubt Ahead of Pelicans Matchup
Zach Werenski

Escapes Serious Injury, May Play Wednesday
Auston Matthews

Could Be an Option Wednesday
Neemias Queta

Ruled Out For Wednesday's Contest
Jason Robertson

Scores in Seventh Consecutive Game
Wyatt Johnston

Ends Dry Spell With Four-Point Performance
Jaime Jaquez Jr.

May Skip Wednesday's Contest
DeVonta Smith

Listed as DNP on Tuesday
Vinnie Hinostroza

to Miss 4-6 Weeks
Pyotr Kochetkov

Dealing With Undisclosed Injury
Tristan Jarry

Expected to Be Available Wednesday
Evgenii Dadonov

Doubtful for Wednesday
J.T. Miller

Joins Team for Road Trip
Joel Kiviranta

Ready to Return Wednesday
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Expected to Return on Saturday
Jauan Jennings

Won't be Suspended
Omarion Hampton

Chargers Open Omarion Hampton's Practice Window
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Red Sox Showing Interest in J.T. Realmuto
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Red Sox Acquire Sonny Gray From the Cardinals
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Suffers Second-Round Submission Loss
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Gets Submission Win
Brandon Nimmo

Traded to Texas
Belal Muhammad

Loses Back-to-Back Fights
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Ian Machado Garry Outpoints Belal Muhammad
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Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss
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Gets Back In The Win Column
Jack Hermansson

Gets Knocked Out
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Shamil Gaziev

Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

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Tagir Ulanbekov

Suffers Third-Round Submission Loss
Kyoji Horiguchi

Makes Triumphant UFC Return
Adolis García

Rangers Non-Tender Adolis Garcia on Friday
CFB

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Dan Hooker

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Arman Tsarukyan

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Ian Machado Garry

A Favorite At UFC Qatar
Belal Muhammad

Looks To Bounce Back
Alonzo Menifield

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Volkan Oezdemir

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Myktybek Orolbai

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Jack Hermansson

Makes His Welterweight Debut
Kyoji Horiguchi

Returns To The UFC

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WR
TE
K
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