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The Baller Ranks: Weekly Top 101 Starting Pitcher Rankings

July is here and with it, the unofficial second half of the fantasy baseball season. Pitching is volatile as we adjust to life under Manfred's willy-nilly rule changes, but let's decipher the road ahead as I update my weekly Starting Pitcher Baller Ranks. This brings you my top 101 SPs moving forward. We're halfway into the season, so I've changed the visible stats on my table to display numbers from June 1-July 4 for more relevant intel from the past month. So the "EV" below is Earned Value via Fangraphs for that period.

Click the link! This google sheet accompanies the table below and adds relevant 5x5 stats, K%, BB%, BABIP, FIP, xFIP, SIERA, ERA-FIP, and CSW%. Do note that I leave off most injured players, and removing those injured players can give an illusion that others have risen despite mediocre performances. I highly encourage you to click the link.

To be clear, these Rest of Season ranks are geared towards traditional 5x5 leagues sans most injured SPs, lest a return is imminent. If 25% of the board is on the IL, then it isn't terribly actionable, and I'll intermittently weave in updates of where I'd throw them in if they were healthy. For now, let's dive into my Top 101 SPs and be sure we've got the best rotation possible.

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Top 101 Starting Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball - Week 15

(+/-) Tier Player Rank EV $ $PV Trend Notes
0 1 Jacob deGrom 1 15.6 42.0 42.0 0.0 ▬ Best arm of our generation
0 2 Max Scherzer 2 6.9 38.5 38.5 0.0 ▬ ASG snub is a top ace, no doubt
2 2 Zack Wheeler 3 13.6 36.0 36.0 0.0 ▬
0 2 Brandon Woodruff 4 2.2 36.0 36.5 -0.5 ▼ Cruising v. NYM til rough 7th, remains elite
1 2 Kevin Gausman 5 3.7 34.5 34.0 0.5 ▲
1 2 Yu Darvish 6 5.5 34.0 33.0 1.0 ▲ Ace doing ace things
-4 2 Gerrit Cole 7 -0.7 31.0 36.5 -5.5 ▼ 5.69 FIP since June 1 is frightful; rebound likely but...
1 2 Clayton Kershaw 8 8.0 30.0 28.0 2.0 ▲
1 2 Walker Buehler 9 5.9 28.0 26.0 2.0 ▲
-2 2 Lucas Giolito 10 3.6 27.0 28.5 -1.5 ▼ DET has his number, alas; BAL next
1 3 Carlos Rodon 11 10.3 26.0 25.5 0.5 ▲
1 3 Lance Lynn 12 6.2 25.5 24.5 1.0 ▲
1 3 Corbin Burnes 13 10.0 24.5 24.0 0.5 ▲ Insists knee is OK, draws Mets in spacious Citi next
1 3 Trevor Rogers 14 6.1 24.0 22.0 2.0 ▲
1 3 Freddy Peralta 15 6.9 22.0 20.5 1.5 ▲
2 4 Robbie Ray 16 8.8 20.5 19.0 1.5 ▲ Nice to see control gains not tied to tack
2 4 Luis Castillo 17 9.2 19.5 18.5 1.0 ▲ Pulled out gritty QS vs. SD, @KC next
-1 3 Joe Musgrove 18 1.1 19.0 20.0 -1.0 ▼
1 4 Hyun-Jin Ryu 19 -3.3 18.5 18.5 0.0 ▬ Lower Ks always puts more pressure on ratios
1 4 Aaron Nola 20 2.3 18.5 17.0 1.5 ▲ 23 Ks in last 10 IP, but MIA hung 7 runs on him
1 4 Sandy Alcantara 21 6.8 17.0 15.0 2.0 ▲ Blanked ATL over 6 IP; avenge May 14 v. LAD next?
1 4 Julio Urias 22 1.7 15.0 15.0 0.0 ▬
1 4 Pablo Lopez 23 4.1 15.0 15.0 0.0 ▬
1 4 Framber Valdez 24 6.7 15.0 13.5 1.5 ▲
1 4 Tyler Mahle 25 5.5 13.0 13.0 0.0 ▬ Rebounded v. CHC after 2 clunkers, Ks keep coming
2 4 Chris Bassitt 26 4.5 13.0 12.0 1.0 ▲ Dominated TEX in B2B outings, @HOU is a test
0 5 Shohei Ohtani 27 4.1 12.5 13.0 -0.5 ▼ Recent success derailed @NYY but bet on talent
2 5 Kyle Hendricks 28 4.3 12.5 11.5 1.0 ▲ At least 6 IP in 10 straight starts: 9 QS, 8 Ws
N/A 5 Zach Plesac 29 #N/A 12.0 0.0 12.0 ▲ Returns July 8 v. KC at home, great draw if needed
-1 5 Jose Berrios 30 3.1 11.0 11.5 -0.5 ▼ CWS beat him up, he gets rematch Tuesday
1 5 Kenta Maeda 31 3.4 11.0 10.5 0.5 ▲ Glimpse of '20 w/ 6 IP, 0 ER, 10 K @KC
1 5 Zack Greinke 32 2.7 10.0 9.5 0.5 ▲
2 5 Ian Anderson 33 7.4 9.5 9.0 0.5 ▲ Only 8 ER in last 5 starts, @PIT on deck
2 5 Lance McCullers Jr. 34 3.0 9.5 9.0 0.5 ▲
2 5 Charlie Morton 35 6.8 9.0 9.0 0.0 ▬
2 5 Taijuan Walker 36 5.5 9.0 8.5 0.5 ▲
-3 5 Marcus Stroman 37 4.9 9.0 9.5 -0.5 ▼
N/A 5 Sonny Gray 38 3.3 8.5 0.0 8.5 ▲ 5 IP, 1 ER, 8 K v. CHC after missing a month
1 6 Sean Manaea 39 8.4 8.0 8.0 0.0 ▬
1 6 Yusei Kikuchi 40 3.9 8.0 8.0 0.0 ▬
2 6 Kyle Gibson 41 4.8 8.0 8.0 0.0 ▬ Peripherals in the mid 3's, but he's no pumpkin
-3 6 Dylan Cease 42 4.2 8.0 8.0 0.0 ▬
-1 6 Tarik Skubal 43 5.2 8.0 8.0 0.0 ▬
5 6 Luis Garcia 44 10.1 7.0 7.0 0.0 ▬
17 6 Alek Manoah 45 0.5 7.0 3.0 4.0 ▲ Rookie displaying adjustments, huge 10 Ks v. TB
-1 6 Zach Eflin 46 1.5 8.0 7.0 1.0 ▲ Hadn't won since May 7, sharp in last 2 now
6 6 Anthony DeSclafani 47 7.5 7.0 6.0 1.0 ▲ 5-1 over last 6, 2 ER or fewer in each of 5 Ws
10 6 Logan Gilbert 48 4.3 7.0 4.5 2.5 ▲ Remains impressive as he progresses with command
-5 6 Mike Minor 49 2.8 7.0 8.0 -1.0 ▼
-2 6 Rich Hill 50 -2.0 6.5 7.0 -0.5 ▼
-1 7 Blake Snell 51 2.4 6.0 6.5 -0.5 ▼ Control plagues him, road Rockies next!
5 7 Casey Mize 52 2.3 5.0 5.0 0.0 ▬
6 7 James Kaprielian 53 4.6 5.0 4.0 1.0 ▲
6 7 Patrick Sandoval 54 4.7 5.0 4.0 1.0 ▲
10 7 Nathan Eovaldi 55 8.9 4.0 2.5 1.5 ▲ Respect for the AL All Star, minuscule BB rate
-4 7 JT Brubaker 56 1.4 6.0 6.0 0.0 ▬
-10 7 Adbert Alzolay 57 -2.5 6.5 7.0 -0.5 ▼
-4 7 Chris Paddack 58 6.1 5.0 5.0 0.0 ▬ Gains some trust and then slaps us in the face
2 7 Adam Wainwright 59 7.7 4.5 3.0 1.5 ▲
4 7 Shane McClanahan 60 1.1 4.0 3.0 1.0 ▲
6 8 Ryan Yarbrough 61 3.6 3.0 2.5 0.5 ▲
6 8 Alex Cobb 62 5.4 3.0 2.0 1.0 ▲
6 8 Eduardo Rodriguez 63 6.9 3.0 2.0 1.0 ▲ 3 QS in a row (TB, NYY, OAK); command returned
6 8 German Marquez 64 12.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 ▲ Punishing Coors doubters; only recent L was @CIN
7 8 Jake Odorizzi 65 5.3 2.5 1.5 1.0 ▲ Only 1 ER in last 4 games (20 IP), attacking zone
-15 8 Domingo German 66 -0.1 2.5 6.5 -4.0 ▼
-11 8 Jordan Montgomery 67 7.4 2.5 5.0 -2.5 ▼
-13 8 Alex Wood 68 1.4 2.0 5.0 -3.0 ▼
2 8 Tony Gonsolin 69 1.8 2.0 2.0 0.0 ▬
3 8 Nick Pivetta 70 2.2 2.0 1.5 0.5 ▲
5 8 Zach Davies 71 3.7 2.0 1.5 0.5 ▲
7 9 Ross Stripling 72 3.7 1.5 1.5 0.0 ▬
8 9 Joe Ross 73 7.7 1.5 1.0 0.5 ▲ Fastball, sinker, slider...all clicking; 11 Ks v LAD
0 9 Jameson Taillon 74 0.9 1.5 1.5 0.0 ▬
2 9 Caleb Smith 75 2.0 1.5 1.5 0.0 ▬
4 9 Kolby Allard 76 4.5 1.5 1.0 0.5 ▲
5 9 Zach Thompson 77 6.4 1.5 1.0 0.5 ▲
-15 9 Andrew Heaney 78 3.4 1.5 3.0 -1.5 ▼ Too inconsistent; Ks there but 5 HRs in last 2
5 9 Merrill Kelly 79 4.5 1.5 1.0 0.5 ▲ 3 straight Ws (MIL, SD, SF), gets road Rox Tues.
-14 9 Frankie Montas 80 5.0 1.0 2.5 -1.5 ▼ Control's been off, @HOU tough draw if that continues
6 9 Wade Miley 81 7.1 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
18 9 Drew Smyly 82 6.2 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
12 9 Chris Flexen 83 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬ Flashed earlier, KBO success carrying over
-9 9 Marco Gonzales 84 -1.9 1.0 1.5 -0.5 ▼ Can't deploy unless 2020 control returns
-7 10 Patrick Corbin 85 2.4 1.0 1.5 -0.5 ▼
3 10 Antonio Senzatela 86 8.2 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
7 10 Josh Fleming 87 2.2 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
N/A 10 Cole Irvin 88 5.7 1.0 0.0 1.0 ▲
N/A 10 Kyle Muller 89 2.9 1.0 0.0 1.0 ▲ Optioned to stay stretched out til after ASB
3 10 Kwang-Hyun Kim 90 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
0 10 Johan Oviedo 91 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
5 10 Alec Mills 92 5.7 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
N/A 10 Vince Velasquez 93 4.6 1.0 0.0 1.0 ▲
4 10 Eli Morgan 94 -1.1 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
-10 10 Dallas Keuchel 95 2.4 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬ If he's not hitting corners then hard to stream
-13 11 Bailey Ober 96 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
-7 11 Garrett Richards 97 -2.7 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬ Clearly affected by new rules, must reinvent arsenal
-6 11 Matt Manning 98 -0.3 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬ More time in minors before he can make a leap?
N/A 11 Eric Lauer 99 0.1 1.0 0.0 1.0 ▲
-4 11 Vladimir Gutierrez 100 -0.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
N/A 11 Wily Peralta 101 0.7 1.0 0.0 1.0 ▲ Don't laugh, 2 straight Ws; 0 ER in last 13.2 IP


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