February 19, 2025
Aldrich Potgieter has played in three PGA Tour events this year, recording two missed cuts before bouncing back with a T15 finish at the Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines. He now looks ahead to the Mexican Open at Vidanta Vallarta, a course that demands length off the tee and strong long-iron play. Potgieter absolutely bombs it off the tee, ranking first on tour in driving distance at 328.7 yards and first in club-head speed with an impressive 125.75 mph average. He is also gaining 1.103 strokes off the tee per round, second-best on tour. However, his approach play has been a concern, as he has lost 9.067 strokes on approach in his six measured rounds of play. Without a larger sample size, it's difficult to fully assess Potgieter's game, but he may be the most intriguing player in the field this week. Fantasy managers should consider taking a flier on him at his $7,300 price tag on DraftKings.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
February 19, 2025
Mac Meissner started the year with a T21 at the Sony Open but has since posted results of T68, T52, and most recently a missed cut at the WM Phoenix Open. He now looks ahead to the Mexican Open in hopes of finding his form, having missed the cut at the event in 2024. At 7,456 yards, Vidanta Vallarta is a course that demands length off the tee and strong long-iron play. Meissner is long enough off the tee, averaging 307.4 yards per drive, ranking 56th on tour. He also ranks 29th on tour in strokes gained on approach (5.455), but this comes almost exclusively from inside 200 yards, as he ranks 150th on tour in proximity from 200-plus yards. This is significant, as 43.3% of all approach shots at this course came from over 200 yards last year. Meissner will need to improve his performance on long approach shots to justify his $7,900 price tag on DraftKings for fantasy managers.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
February
19,
2025
After
missing
five
straight
cuts
dating
back
to
last
year,
K.H.
Lee
has
recorded
finishes
of
T9
at
the
Farmers
Insurance
Open
and
T67
at
the
WM
Phoenix
Open.
He
now
looks
ahead
to
the
Mexican
Open,
an
event
he
missed
read more...
February 19, 2025
Stephan Jaeger's results have varied to start the season, ranging from a T3 at the Sony Open to missing the cut at the Farmers Insurance Open. He now looks ahead to the Mexican Open, where he has recorded strong results with finishes of T15, T18, and most recently a T3 in 2024. At 7,456 yards, Vidanta Vallarta is a course that requires length off the tee and strong long-iron play. Jaeger is long enough off the tee, averaging 304.1 yards per drive, and ranks in the 84th percentile in greens in regulation from 200-plus yards, a distance that accounted for 43.3% of all approach shots at this event last year. While Jaeger isn't in his best form, competing against a weaker field should allow the talented German to find more consistency. Fantasy managers should consider playing him at his $9,600 price tag on DraftKings.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
February 19, 2025
Nicolai Hojgaard has played in just one PGA Tour event this year, finishing T36 at the WM Phoenix Open. He now looks ahead to the Mexican Open, an event he has competed in twice, with results of T52 in 2024 and T33 in 2023. At 7,456 yards, Vidanta Vallarta is a course that requires length off the tee and strong long-iron play. Hojgaard fits the bill, as he ranked 25th in driving distance last year (309.1-yard average) and 30th in strokes gained on approach. This includes ranking first on tour in proximity from 175-200 yards and being in the 99th percentile in proximity from 200-plus yards. These distances accounted for 63.5% of all approach shots at this event last year. This course suits Hojgaard perfectly, and with a weaker field, he can be played with confidence by fantasy managers at his $10,100 price tag on DraftKings.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
February
19,
2025
Joel
Dahmen
has
missed
three
of
his
four
cuts
this
year
with
a
T9
finish
wedged
in
at
the
Farmers
Insurance
Open.
He
will
now
turn
his
focus
to
the
Mexican
Open,
an
event
he
has
yet
to
compete
in.
At
read more...
February 18, 2025
After two missed cuts to start the season, Michael Thorbjornsen finished T74 in Phoenix two weeks ago. The 23-year-old does have some upside this week given his 312.4 driving distance (ranked 21st on Tour) and his proximity with longer irons; however, many negatives make this immensely talented player hard to trust until things improve. Putting has been downright scary at times, and his strokes gained around the green average (-1.134) is the worst on the PGA Tour. Both things luckily take a bit of a backseat at Vidanta Vallarta, so if there was ever a place to take a chance and see what happens, this could be the place to take the risk.
--Todd McGill - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
February 18, 2025
It has been a rough start in this young season for Davis Riley. The 28-year-old hasn't played four rounds in an event with a WD at the Sentry followed up with three consecutive missed cuts. The ball striking has completely evaded the former Crimson Tide golfer, as he ranks second-to-last on the PGA Tour in strokes gained off the tee (-1.901), on approach (-2.327), and tee to green (-4.627). Even at $7,300 on FanDuel, there is absolutely nothing to suggest Riley is worth consideration this week.
--Todd McGill - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
February 18, 2025
Luke List has competed in four events this year with results of T72, a missed cut, T56, and most recently a T36 finish at the WM Phoenix Open. He now turns his attention to the Mexican Open, an event he has played in only once, missing the cut in 2023. At 7,456 yards, Vidanta Vallarta is a course that requires length off the tee, which plays to List's strength. He ranks 29th on tour in driving distance, averaging 312.9 yards per drive. Additionally, List ranks in the 77th percentile for proximity from 200-plus yards over the past 12 months, a range that accounted for 43.3% of all approach shots at this event last year. However, List has lost 10.324 strokes on approach this season, a concerning statistic given the importance of approach play this week. If List can improve his iron play, his $6,900 price tag could make him a worthwhile risk for fantasy managers.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
February 18, 2025
Carson Young has had mixed results to start the year, recording a T29, T57, and two missed cuts. He now looks to the Mexican Open to find some consistency — an event where he's had strong results in the past, finishing T8 in 2024 and T15 in 2023. At 7,456 yards, Vidanta Vallarta is a course that requires length off the tee and strong long-iron play. Young currently ranks 104th in driving distance for 2025 and is in the 34th percentile for proximity from 200-plus yards over the past 12 months, a range that accounted for 43.3% of all approach shots at this event last year. While these are areas where Young has struggled this year, his solid course history suggests this could be the event where he turns things around. At $7,700 on DraftKings, Young is a quintessential boom-or-bust candidate.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
February 18, 2025
Ryan Fox has played in just one PGA event this year, finishing T63 at the WM Phoenix Open. He now turns his attention to the Mexican Open, an event he has played in only once, missing the cut last year. At 7,456 yards, Vidanta Vallarta is a course that requires length off the tee and strong long-iron play. Fox ranked 20th on tour in driving distance in 2024 (310.9 yards), but he's in just the 21st percentile for greens in regulation from 200-plus yards, a range that accounted for 43.3% of all approach shots at this event last year. Fox also ranked eighth on tour last year in par-three scoring, averaging 2.98 strokes per hole. With five par-threes on this course, this could play to Fox's advantage. At a price tag of $8,000 on DraftKings, fantasy managers should proceed with caution before inserting Fox into their lineups.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
February 18, 2025
Alex Smalley has been in great form to start the year, recording three top-25 finishes in his four starts. After having the week off, he now turns his attention to the Mexican Open, where he has played three times, including a T6 finish in 2022. Smalley has all the tools for another strong performance here, ranking 34th in total driving, seventh in strokes gained from tee to green, and third in total strokes gained. He's also ranked in the 83rd percentile for greens in regulation from 200-plus yards, a range that accounted for 43.3% of all approach shots at this course last year. At $8,700 on DraftKings, Smalley is an ideal pick for fantasy managers looking to round out the middle of their lineups.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
February 18, 2025
After finishing T17 at the Genesis Invitational, Kevin Yu now has back-to-back top-20 finishes, marking an impressive turnaround after starting the year with a T44, two missed cuts, and a 64th-place finish in his first four events. Yu now turns his attention to the Mexican Open, an event he has yet to play in his career. This course demands distance off the tee and the ability to hit long irons onto the green — two areas where Yu can struggle. He currently ranks 57th in total driving and 11th in strokes gained off the tee, but ranks just 105th in driving distance. He's also in the 36th percentile for greens in regulation from 200-plus yards, a distance that accounted for 43.3% of all approach shots at this event last year. While Yu has momentum on his side, at $8,800 on DraftKings, fantasy managers should carefully consider their options before inserting him into their lineups.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
February 18, 2025
Taylor Moore has found success early in 2025, recording three top-25 finishes, including two top-10s in his first five events of the year. He now looks ahead to the Mexican Open, where his lone result at this event was a missed cut last year. This course favors players who are long off the tee and proficient with long irons, as 63.5% of all approach shots came from 175-plus yards at this event last year. Moore certainly fits the bill, averaging 310 yards with his driver and ranking inside the top 30 in both strokes gained off the tee and strokes gained from tee to green. To find success this weekend, Moore will need to hit greens in regulation, and he ranks in the 68th percentile from 200-plus yards in this category. At $9,000 on DraftKings, Moore is a strong fantasy option this week.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
February
18,
2025
Rasmus
Hojgaard
struggled
at
the
Genesis
Invitational,
posting
the
worst
score
of
the
event
at
15-over
and
missing
the
cut.
However,
he
has
a
solid
track
record
of
bouncing
back
from
poor
performances,
with
his
last
two
missed
cuts
(both
on
read more...
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