April 16, 2025
Sam Burns missed four straight cuts and faltered at the Masters. The American golfer shot consecutive 75's over the weekend on what was perceived to be an easier layout. Almost every week, Burns has that round which makes any bettor, DFS player, or pundit scratch their head. Sunday looked to be going okay and then back-to-back double bogeys on 17 and 18 dropped Burns 14 places on the leaderboard. Errant shots and compounding errors have been the main culprits for the downturn. His putting has been incredible in 2025 ranking 4th with 0.839 strokes gained. However, approaches to the green have been equally putrid. Approaches greater than 200 yards are 148th at 56 feet 5 inches. Burns may struggle again once or twice this week which dampens his DFS outlook.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
April 16, 2025
Sahith Theegala does not have to worry about the cut line this week. The American golfer has made the cut 10 out of 11 tries in 2025. However, his consistency has been just placing outside the Top 25 despite solid numbers. Aside from The Genesis Invitational (T-17), the song has been much the same. Theegala's biggest issue is his approach to the green and Hilton Head is particularly a course for the approach. He ranks 141st in strokes gained at -0.274. Theegala does not have to fret over the driving accuracy (55.82%) as much but ranking 137th in greens in regulation (63.76%) and 136th in proximity (55.33 feet) could mean more of the same in South Carolina.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
April 16, 2025
Aaron Rai continues to play smart even when his game is not quite there. The English golfer enjoyed a solid T-27 at the Masters. Although the Thursday was good, his Sunday offered a hint of what could come this week. Again, Rai bounced back from missing the cut at Houston and made a few putts on Sunday ending up with a 70. The risk is Rai only has played once at Hilton Head. He did gain several strokes off the tee and approach combined. Golfers even joke about muscle memory and the RBC Heritage tends to be an easier course to get back into a rhythm. Rai is currently +105 to finish inside the Top 20 and that could go Even or potentially into the minus territory by Thursday. His DFS price is right around $8,000 which is attractive especially now.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
April 16, 2025
Robert MacIntyre has had quite the interesting previous five events on the PGA Tour. The Scottish golfer has either been squarely in contention or out faster than an errant drive. He righted himself at the Arnold Palmer in March after an opening 74. However at the Masters, not much went right with consecutive 75's. MacIntyre is in a group of golfer around +4000 on the sportsbooks. However, it is that Top 20 number at +115 or even +280 for a Top 10 that carry potential. This is risky given the up-and-down nature of his game. However, if the putter can come close to his approach and drives, that seventh-ranked greens in regulation (71.03%) could loom larger this weekend. That 4.39 birdie average (17th) does not hurt for DFS purposes especially come Sunday.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
April 16, 2025
Tom Hoge did not seem to have the best of weeks, and yet he found his way into the top 15 at Augusta. Hoge simply weathered the storm and posted a solid weekend of 70-71 to finish T14. With the way Hilton Head is set up, this may not quite be the perfect course for the American golfer. His off-the-tee shortcomings will not be as much of an issue (168th in strokes gained). Hoge ranks 12th on approach in the same metric at 0.703. Even better, his birdie average ranks a respectable 40th at 4.14 and he's 48th on par-fours at 4.00. Few are suggesting that Hoge could contend, but no one should be surprised if he ends up near or around the top 20 by Sunday. His proximity ranks 13th and he's in the top 50 for approaches greater than 200 yards, which bodes well for DFS.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
April 16, 2025
Nick Dunlap still had issues finding the green and making putts at Augusta. The American golfer missed his fourth straight cut and must be thankful for the RBC Heritage format. With no cut line, maybe Dunlap can focus on his golf game. The young golfer is +25000 to win in Hilton Head on Sunday. It is a sign that maybe another struggle is likely. At least the shorter 7213 yard, Par-71 should help Dunlap off the tee. He ranks 183rd in strokes gained there (-1.622). That number has nearly doubled over the past four events as Dunlap continues to battle with his game. Worse, driving accuracy is only 46% (181st). Again, there are fewer drivers to hit but even that knocked his birdie average to 3.72 (109th). Improvement is also likely by default but not even DFS worthy.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
April 16, 2025
Keegan Bradley admitted he thought he would make more birdies at Augusta. The American golfer opened with a 74-73 which caused him to miss his first cut of 2025. When he fell a little flat at the Valero Texas Open, few noticed. However, several errant shots on Thursday at the Masters should have been a sign. One good piece of news is that the RBC Heritage does not emphasize the driver much. Bradley also does not have to worry about any cut lines. At Hilton Head, strokes gained on approach is king but not the only thing. Bradley ranks 25th at 0.54 but only 127th in putting at -0.189. His birdie or better percentage has come back to almost average at 31.89% (89th). Bradley dropped to +6000 in the odds early in the week and may be someone to shy away from.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
April 16, 2025
Matt Fitzpatrick played steady, if unspectacular, golf at The Masters, recording rounds of 71-73-74-73 en route to a T40 finish. He'll look to build on that performance at the RBC Heritage, a tournament he's played 10 times and famously won in 2023, defeating defending champion Jordan Spieth in a playoff for one of his two career PGA Tour victories. In that win, Fitzpatrick gained over six strokes on approach and nearly 11 strokes from tee to green, two areas that have been concerns for him this season. He currently ranks 151st in strokes gained from tee to green and 157th on approach. There is reason to believe he can turn this around, as he ranks 49th in driving accuracy and sits in the 45th percentile over the last 12 months in proximity from 150–200 yards, a key range that accounted for 42.5% of all approach shots last year. At $7,200 on DraftKings, Fitzpatrick profiles as a boom-or-bust candidate this week.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
April 16, 2025
Patrick Cantlay has been the model of consistency this season, playing eight events and recording no worse than the T36 that he finished with at The Masters. He'll look to carry that steady form into the RBC Heritage, a tournament where he's experienced tremendous success. In seven trips to Harbour Town, Cantlay has recorded six finishes of T7 or better, including four third-place results. That success has been driven by his dominance off the tee and on approach, two areas where he continues to thrive this season. He ranks 18th in strokes gained from tee to green (0.964 per round), 18th on approach (0.598), and 68th in driving accuracy. He also ranks in the 88th percentile over the last 12 months in proximity from 150–200 yards, a critical range given that 42.5% of all approach shots came from that distance last year. With his track record and current form, Cantlay is a strong play at $10,000 on DraftKings.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
April 16, 2025
After posting a solid 73-73-69-70 at The Masters, Jordan Spieth finished T14, marking his second consecutive top-15 finish and his fourth of the season. He'll look to build on this performance at the RBC Heritage, where he's competed eight times, winning in 2022 and finishing as the runner-up in 2023. To repeat that success, Spieth will need to be accurate off the tee and precise with his irons. He's been solid in these areas this season, ranking 62nd in strokes gained on approach and 51st in driving accuracy. However, Spieth ranks in just the 19th percentile over the last 12 months in proximity from 150–200 yards, a key range considering 42.5% of all approach shots came from that distance last year. Spieth carries some risk, but his strong track record at Harbour Town makes him a viable option for fantasy managers at his $9,200 price tag on DraftKings.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
April 16, 2025
After a T14 finish at The Masters, Collin Morikawa has now recorded six straight results of T17 or better to start the season. He'll look to build on this elite form at the RBC Heritage, an event he's played five times, never missing a cut while recording two top-10 finishes. To succeed at Harbour Town, players need to be accurate off the tee and precise on approach, and no one on the PGA Tour has been better than Morikawa in these areas. He ranks first in strokes gained from tee to green (gaining 1.999 strokes per round), first on approach (1.1929 per round), and first in driving accuracy (72.94%). He's also in the 95th percentile over the last 12 months in proximity from 150–200 yards, a key range considering 42.5% of all approach shots came from that distance last year. Morikawa is a home run pick this week, and fantasy managers should invest in his $10,900 price tag on DraftKings.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
April 16, 2025
After five straight missed cuts, Max Homa finally showed some life at The Masters, posting rounds of 74-70-69-71 en route to a T12 finish. He'll look to build on that momentum at the RBC Heritage, an event he's played three times with results of T55, a missed cut, and a T41. To find success at Harbour Town, players need to be accurate off the tee and precise on approach -- areas where Homa has struggled significantly, ranking 182nd in approach, losing 1.495 strokes per round, and ranking 97th in driving accuracy. However, over the last 12 months, he ranks in the 80th percentile in proximity from 150–200 yards, a key range given that 42.5% of all approach shots came from that distance last year. His showing at The Masters was encouraging, but fantasy managers may want to see more consistency before trusting him in DFS lineups.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
April 15, 2025
Despite gaining over 2.6 strokes from tee to green at The Masters, Tony Finau was unable to make the cut, surrendering nearly 4.5 strokes putting, marking his fourth missed cut of the season. He'll look to bounce back at this week's RBC Heritage, an event he's competed in five times, making the cut four times and recording four straight finishes of T39 or better. To find success at Harbour Town, players need to be accurate off the tee and precise on approach, areas where Finau has struggled, ranking 126th in approach, losing 0.167 strokes per round, and ranking 95th in driving accuracy. However, over the last 12 months, Finau ranks in the 82nd percentile in proximity from 150–200 yards, a key range given that 42.5% of all approach shots came from that distance last year. Finau is a solid bounce-back candidate, but his extreme volatility makes him hard to trust, even at his $7,100 price tag on DraftKings.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
April 15, 2025
Corey Conners was in contention at The Masters for much of the week but ultimately faltered on Sunday, recording a T8 finish. Still, he extended his top-25 streak to six events, including four top-eight results. He'll look to carry that momentum into this week's RBC Heritage, an event he's played eight times, making five straight cuts and earning three top-25 finishes. To continue finding success at Harbour Town, Conners will need to stay accurate off the tee and sharp on approach, two areas where he consistently excels. He ranks 17th in driving accuracy and sits in the 98th percentile in proximity from 150–200 yards, a key range given that 42.5% of all approach shots came from that distance last year. It's a loaded DFS board this week at the top, but Conners warrants serious consideration at his $9,800 price tag on DraftKings.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
April 15, 2025
After his win in Florida a few weeks ago, Viktor Hovland found himself in the mix of things at The Masters going into the weekend before back-to-back 73s thwarted his chances at a green jacket. The approach play remains high, as his week at Augusta was the fourth consecutive event averaging more than a stroke gained per round with his irons. His deficiencies around the greens and severe streakiness with the putter make him a touch choice every week, and while his work from tee to green may do enough to make the cut this week, it likely won't do enough to make his $10,700 price tag worth it.
--Todd McGillSource: Data Golf
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