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March 23, 2025

Joey Logano has gotten a lot of criticism for being the first defending NASCAR Cup Series champion to fail to earn a top-10 finish in the first five races of the season, but that doesn't reflect how well he has runread more...
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After Josh Berry's semi-surprise first win at Las Vegas last week, he has continued to keep up his consistently good qualifying and starts on the outside front row for Sunday's Homestead race. Although he's definitely gained a lot of speed over his entire sophomore season, he still needed a lot of help from faster cars or drivers either losing tires or making strategic errors. It still seems unlikely to expect Berry to lead any particular non-drafting oval race without some help, but he's obviously a lot faster than last year. Berry did have a solid 11th-place finish in his first Homestead start last year, so he'll likely be a strong contender for a top-10 finish. However, he qualified too well to have much DFS value unless you think he'll lead the race, which is definitely possible since he's arguably looked faster than pole-sitter Alex Bowman this year.--Sean Wrona - RotoBallerSource: Racing Reference
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After Daniel Suárez's unexpected second-place finish last week at Las Vegas where his teammate Ross Chastain seemed to have the most speed for a while, Suárez qualified a miserable 33rd at Homestead, which suggests there's a lot of value there if the Trackhouse Racing cars are able to carry over their speed to other intermediate tracks. Homestead is not normally a top track for Suárez, though, as he has only earned a single top-10 finish once, but he has finished in the top 16 in his last four starts. He's likely to gain a lot of spots from 33rd, but admittedly there are a lot of races where Suárez seems to have no speed at all, and it doesn't seem like his fast races are very predictable. Nonetheless, given his poor qualifying, his recent finishes, and Trackhouse's speed last week, Suárez is probably undervalued.--Sean Wrona - RotoBallerSource: Racing Reference
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Shane van Gisbergen is making his first NASCAR Cup Series start at Homestead. He qualified 25th and finished 17th in his one Xfinity Series start, typically behind A.J. Allmendinger and ahead of Josh Williams. However, that isn't enough experience to make him necessarily valuable at Homestead or really any oval. The fact that he qualified 35th and is very cheap at $6,000 means that he could be valuable in terms of Place Differential points if he backs into a solid finish, but that seems much less likely at Homestead than a lot of other tracks because the races there tend to reward performance and don't devolve into the crapshoots that would be necessary for him to gain enough positions to be valuable in DFS. Once again, chalk this up as a learning experience.--Sean Wrona - RotoBallerSource: Racing Reference
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Although Austin Cindric had a reputation of fading to mid-pack in most of the races where he qualified well, that definitely seems to have stopped in 2025 as he has seemed to have a lot more staying power up front. In last week's race at Las Vegas, he overcame a loose wheel after winning Stage 1 to finish 6th. Such a recovery was not typical of him in previous seasons and the Team Penske cars seem faster on a race-by-race level than they have the past couple years. Given the fact that he qualified 8th at Homestead, Cindric will still probably lose positions in the race but he has been leading enough including at Las Vegas that there is a distinct possibility he might accumulate some leader and/or fastest lap points in this race, but he likely needs to lead to have any DFS value.--Sean Wrona - RotoBallerSource: Racing Reference
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Despite Ricky Stenhouse Jr.'s reputation as a superspeedway driver, Homestead has arguably been his worst superspeedway. At all tracks where Stenhouse has failed to ever earn a top-10 finish in the NASCAR Cup Series, he has made more starts at Homestead than any other despite some solid qualifying runs. He might have some DFS value, as his average finish of 21.6 is better than his 27th-place starting position, suggesting he may gain a few positions on place differential. He's also rather cheap at $6,700, but even though he's still technically in the playoffs right now, he's also declined from his peak and it seems like right now the best he can do on a track like this is barely finishing in the top 20 and not leading at all, which won't give him enough points to be a leading DFS option.--Sean Wrona - RotoBallerSource: Racing Reference
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John Hunter Nemechek qualified seventh for Sunday's Homestead race, which is actually his best-ever as a full-time driver since his fifth-place finish at Charlotte in 2020 came with metric qualifying, and his fourth-place starting position in 2022 also came at Homestead while he was filling in for the injured Kurt Busch. It would be an inspiring story if Nemechek were to win at the track where his namesake uncle had died, but although Legacy Motor Club definitely looks a little faster this year than they have in the past, Nemechek's starting position seems unsustainable, just as it did in 2022, when he finished 27th. He has never finished better than 19th or led a lap at the track, although he was briefly very fast in 2022. In all likelihood, Nemechek will finish much worse than he starts, which should make him one of the worst DFS options.--Sean Wrona - RotoBallerSource: Racing Reference
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Cole Custer was something of a Homestead master in the NASCAR Xfinity Series with a win in 2017, two poles, and three second-place finishes, but his Cup Series performances at the track have left little to be desired as he has finished between 22nd and 24th in all three of his previous starts there for Stewart-Haas Racing. Now at the rebranded Haas Factory Team, his cars have been arguably even slower as aside from briefly fighting for the lead at the end of the Daytona 500, he's been a complete non-factor. Unlike his fellow 2020 rookies Christopher Bell and Tyler Reddick, it doesn't seem like Custer's Xfinity Series success has really translated at the Cup level, especially with the Next Gen chassis. His past history at the Cup level suggests he won't finish any better than he started, so he isn't very valuable for DFS play.--Sean Wrona - RotoBallerSource: Racing Reference
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J.J. Yeley makes his second start of the 2025 season for the NY Racing Team on Sunday at Homestead, but don't expect him to be any sort of contender. Not only did Yeley qualify in 37th and last place for the race, he was so slow that pole-sitter Alex Bowman and 35th-place qualifier Shane van Gisbergen were closer in speed than SVG was to Yeley. Yeley's only hope of gaining positions is if a lot of drivers having DNFs and he does not, but that's not particularly likely at a track like Homestead, where there don't tend to be many crashes. Since he is unlikely to gain more than a handful of places, Yeley has very little value for DFS lineups for this race despite qualifying last.--Sean Wrona - RotoBallerSource: Racing Reference
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Christopher Bell of Joe Gibbs Racing will start 16th for this week's Straight Talk Wireless 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway. This will be the lowest starting position of Bell's Cup career at Homestead since his first race at the site in 2020. In five starts at Homestead, Bell has five top-20 finishes, with four of them being 11th or better. With five races completed so far this season, Bell has three wins and four finishes with positive Place Differential. In practice, Bell ranked 21st in overall lap averages but displayed top-10 speeds in the five through 20 consecutive lap average categories. Considering his equipment, upside, and how Homestead is one of his better tracks, fantasy players should use Bell in all DFS formats as one of the better all-around picks of the week. --Sean Engel - RotoBallerSource: DriverAverages.com
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Hendrick Motorsports driver William Byron will start fifth for this week's race at Homestead-Miami Speedway. This will be the fourth time in his Cup career that Byron will start a race at Homestead inside the top 10. In seven starts at the Miami track, Byron has one win and four top-10 finishes, which he all earned in his last five races at the site. Through five races so far this season, Byron is the season's points leader with one win and four top-10 finishes. In practice, Byron ranked third in overall lap averages while displaying top-10 speeds in all other categories. The No. 24 Chevrolet driver should continue to be one of the most consistent and best drivers of the season with a strong top-5 performance at Homestead based on track history and practice speeds.--Sean Engel - RotoBallerSource: DriverAverages.com
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Bubba Wallace of 23XI Racing will start ninth for this week's race at Homestead-Miami Speedway, the Straight Talk Wireless 400. This will mark the third consecutive Homestead race where Wallace will start inside the top 10. In six previous starts at the Miami track, Wallace has one top-10 finish and obtained positive Place Differential twice. With five races completed so far this season, Wallace has two top-20 finishes, but also led in three different Cup events. In practice for Sunday's race, Wallace ranked first in overall lap averages as well as 10 and 15 consecutive lap averages. As one of the fastest drivers in practice with low upside from his starting position, Wallace should be considered for all tournament lineups as someone who can compete for a top-5 finish. --Sean Engel - RotoBallerSource: DriverAverages.com
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Kyle Busch will start 22nd for this week's Straight Talk Wireless 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway after qualifying. This will be the lowest starting position of the season for the No. 8 Chevrolet driver after five races. In 20 starts at Homestead, Busch has 14 top-20 finishes, including nine of the past 10 Cup events at the site. In five races completed this year, Busch has three top-10 finishes while gaining positive Place Differential twice. In practice, Busch ranked 27th in overall lap averages while not showing much speed at all in all other categories. Busch's track history at Homestead makes him worth consideration for all DFS formats, especially with his below-average starting position providing upside. However, Busch works best as a pivot play, considering his practice speeds this week.--Sean Engel - RotoBallerSource: DriverAverages.com
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March 23, 2025

Ty Gibbs will start 13th for this week's Homestead-Miami Speedway Cup Series race, the Straight Talk Wireless 400. This starting position ties the best of the season so far for Gibbs after five races. In three starts at Homestead in theread more...
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Brad Keselowski of RFK Racing earned a starting position of 32nd after qualifying for Sunday's Straight Talk Wireless 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway. Keselowski was the lowest-qualifying driver of the three RFK entries for this week's race. In 17 starts at Homestead, Keselowski has 13 top-20 finishes with seven inside the top 10. After five races so far this season, Keselowski has two top-20 finishes, but they were both scored in the last three Cup races, and he captured positive Place Differential three times. In practice, Keselowski ranked 12th in overall lap averages and displayed top-20 speeds in the 15-30 consecutive lap average categories. Based on his massive upside from his starting position, equipment, and overall track history at Homestead, expect Keselowski to move through the field into the top 20, making him one of the best overall DFS picks of the week.--Sean Engel - RotoBallerSource: DriverAverages.com
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