Matt Chapman 2022 Player Outlook: High Strikeout Rate Has Him Plunging Down Draft Boards
3 years agoToronto Blue Jays' third baseman Matt Chapman hit rock bottom in 2021 with a career-worst .210/.314/.403 slash line. His strikeout rate skyrocketed in 2020 (35.5%), and it did not decrease much in 2021 (32.5). This was quite strange because he had posted a 21.9% K% in 2019 while slashing .249/.342/.506. The most reliable data is always the most recent data, so we must view Chapman as a low batting average bat for 2022. The silver lining is that he can still give you a solid supply of homers (23 PA/HR last year, easily beating the league average), he has a high walk rate (12.9% in 2021), and he is pretty cheap (ADP of 180 right now). The Blue Jays acquired Chapman from the Oakland Athletics in a trade after the MLB lockout. He agreed to a two-year, $25 million contract to avoid his last two years of arbitration. Given what we saw from him in 2017-2019, there is some reason to believe he can strikeout a bit less next year and raise the batting average, but assuming he does not do that – he's a very replaceable fantasy bat that you should not feel much need to prioritize in 2022. However, the move to a loaded Blue Jays lineup should only help Chapman's fantasy value. With a better hitter environment, the 28-year-old could produce as a top-10 fantasy third baseman this year.