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Alvin Kamara 2024 Fantasy Football Outlook: The End Is Near?
7 months agoNew Orleans Saints running back Alvin Kamara enjoyed another fine season in 2023. He finished as the overall RB12 in full PPR leagues and was the RB3 in PPR fantasy points per game (PPG). However, serious cracks have emerged in his profile. Kamara finished 46th out of 49 eligible backs in Next Gen Stats Rush Yards Over Expectation (RYOE). Among backs with 100 carries, Kamara finished 40th out of 49 eligible backs in Missed Tackles Forced Per Attempt (MTF/ATT) per Fantasy Points Data Suite. He had career lows in rushing yards, yards per reception (Y/R), and yards per target (Y/TGT). The writing appears to be on the wall. Gamers should not be surprised if things fully cratered this year, and a Todd Gurley-like drop-off is within the realm of possibilities. Kamara currently has an NFFC average draft position (ADP) of 54th overall and is the 16th running back off draft boards. This may seem like a bargain for a player with Kamara's upside, but the advanced data and raw statistics suggest otherwise. Entering his age 29 season, Kamara still has value in PPR leagues but poses a greater risk than previous years. Fantasy players should be aware of these risks before drafting him.
