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Kipp Heisterman presents his expert NFL DFS prop picks for Week 17. Use these prop picks to win money on Monkey Knife Fight, our partner for all DFS prop picks games.
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As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage of.
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Dolphins @ Titans: More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
A.J. Brown more than 125.5 fantasy points and Jaylen Waddle more than 14.5 fantasy points
These are my two favorite players from this game as both should be able to put up solid fantasy stats. Brown returned to action last Thursday against the 49ers and did not waste any time as he hauled in 11 of 16 targets for 145 receiving yards and a touchdown. He will be relied upon heavily in this one as Julio Jones has just not fit into this Titans' scheme in 2021 and Brown is the most reliable receiver on the field when active. While the Dolphins have been stronger against the pass (and run for that matter) in recent weeks, they have still allowed the eighth-most fantasy points to the wide receiver position on the season and have allowed an average of over 36 fantasy points per game.
Waddle is a PPR machine and that becomes very important in a contest like this, which features PPR scoring. He has hauled in eight or more balls in four consecutive games and five of his previous six games. He will be going up against a Titans defense that has been strong against the run, but has allowed wide receivers to average the second-most fantasy points per game on the season with an average of over 41 points.
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Raiders @ Colts: More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Derek Carr more than 250.5 passing yards and Jonathan Taylor more than 104.5 rushing yards
While Carr has not had to throw over this total in his previous two wins, he will be up against a Colts defense that is much tougher against the run than the pass in this one, and therefore will likely have to throw a bit more to find success. The Colts have allowed the eighth-fewest rushing yards to running backs, but rank right in the middle of the pack in terms of passing yards allowed to the quarterback position. Josh Jacobs could find it tough to get going in this one, which hopefully sets Carr up to hit a total he has gone over in nine games this season.
I am not sure there is a number that Taylor cannot reach right now as he continues to obliterate his prop each week and now has over 100 rushing yards in four of his previous five games. The matchup this week is a great one as the colts will enter the game as favorites against a Raider defense that has allowed quite a bit of success to running backs as seven backfields have gotten them for over 100 rushing yards this season. Taylor should see plenty of volume once again in this one and get over the total.
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Cardinals @ Cowboys: More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Kyler Murray more than 22.5 fantasy points and Dak Prescott more than 21.5 fantasy points
Kyler Murray is always a threat to go over this fantasy total as he has done it in six games this season. He has a great shot to do it again this week against the Cowboys, which currently has the highest total on the board at 52. Dallas has struggled a bit against mobile quarterbacks this season as Jalen Hurts posted a 25-point fantasy game and Taysom Hill posted a 27-point fantasy game against them. The Cardinals will also enter this game as 5.5-point underdogs, so more passing could certainly be in the cards to keep pace.
Dak may have found his groove last week as he posted a 34-point fantasy performance at home against the Washington football team. He has enjoyed playing at home this season as he has gone over 20 fantasy points in all but one home game and has hit this total in five of seven home games. These Cardinals have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks over the previous four weeks by allowing nearly 19 points per game, and that comes against the likes of Carson Wentz, Jared Goff, and Andy Dalton.
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