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Kipp Heisterman presents his expert NFL DFS prop picks for Week 13. Use these prop picks to win money on Monkey Knife Fight, our partner for all DFS prop picks games.
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As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage of.
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Vikings @ Lions: More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Kirk Cousins less than 275.5 passing yards and Jared Goff more than 220.5 passing yards
Cousins is certainly capable of hitting this number as he has done it in five of 11 games in 2021, but he likely will not have to in this one. The Lions are allowing running backs to average over 107 rushing yards per game over their previous three games, so this sets up as an Alexander Mattison game, especially considering the Vikings will enter the contest as a seven-point favorite. The Lions have also allowed quarterbacks to average just 239 passing yards per game over this span, and Cousins failed to reach this total (barely) in this previous start against the Lions on October 10th when he threw for 275 yards.
Goff is not normally someone I want to look at for props with the Lions' offense having struggled so much this season, but the matchup appears right in this one. The Lions will enter this game as seven-point underdogs, which should equate to more passing on their side of the ball. This should be a great spot for the Lions to throw the ball as well considering the Vikings have allowed quarterbacks to average nearly 253 passing yards per game over their previous four games, which is ranked second-worst in the league. Goff has also gone over this total in six of the 10 games he has played in this season.
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Colts @ Texans: More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Jonathan Taylor more than 100.5 rushing yards and Brandin Cooks more than 68.5 receiving yards
We have a big number on Taylor this week, and rightfully so as he has eclipsed this in three of his previous four games. The Colts will enter this game as big favorites and should be able to run the ball at will on this Texans' defense. Over the previous three games, Houston has allowed an average of over 100 rushing yards per game to the running back position. Taylor has also averaged 22 carries per game over his previous four games as well, so the volume will certainly be there.
Cooks is also in a great spot as an underdog in this game, meaning the Texans will likely be in pass mode most of the game. Cooks has seen an average of over eight targets per game this season and has had at least five targets in all but his most recent game when the Texans were leading the Titans all game. Cooks has also faced these Colts once in 2021 and hauled in nine balls on a whopping 13 targets for a total of 89 receiving yards. This should be another great spot for him.
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Football Team @ Raiders: Fantasy Challenge Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Hunter Renfrow, Terry McLaurin, and Antonio Gibson to combine for more than 56.5 fantasy points
A spot where the WFT defense has been proven vulnerable is in their secondary against wide receivers. On the season they have allowed an average of nearly 40 fantasy points per game to the position, which ranks fourth-worst in the league. Renfrow has seen the most targets this season of any Raiders' wide receiver with a total of 82 targets. He has also scored 17 or more fantasy points in three of his previous four games.
McLaurin will be facing a Raiders defense that has allowed an average of nearly 35 fantasy points per game to wide receivers over their previous four games, which is ranked ninth-worst in the league. He has seen an average of over eight targets per game over his previous five games and has scored an average of 16 fantasy points per game in those five games with two games of 20+ fantasy points.
Antonio Gibson has one of the best running back matchups of the week and it comes fresh off a game against the Seahawks in which he rushed for 111 yards and hauled in seven receptions for 35 yards. The Raiders have struggled mightily against running backs in 2021 as they have allowed an average of over 27 fantasy points per game this season, which is ranked third-worst in the league.
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