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Kipp Heisterman presents his expert NFL DFS prop picks for Week 17's Thursday Night Football of the Fantasy Football season. Use these prop picks to win money on Monkey Knife Fight, our partner for all DFS prop picks games.
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As always, I'm here to give you some solid props to take advantage of in tonight's game, so let's get right to the picks!
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Cowboys @ Titans More or Less Contest
Recommended Pick:
Dak Prescott less than 239.5 passing yards and Malik Willis less than 130.5 passing yards
This is a tough game to crack as neither team has much to play for. The Titans will face off against the Jaguars in Week 18 for the AFC South Division crown regardless of what happens tonight, and the Cowboys are pretty much locked into the fifth seed as their chances of winning the NFC East are quite slim at this juncture.
Prescott will likely play in this game, but how long is anyone's guess. This Titans' defense has allowed the second-most passing yards to quarterbacks this season, but Dak may not have reason to play beyond the first half in this one. There have not been rumblings of Dallas sitting guys as they still technically could win the East, but it would not make much sense to risk injuring anyone in this contest. For what it is worth, this is as low as Dak's pass prop has been set in quite some time and that is a bit fishy, especially against a defense as bad against the pass as the Titans have been.
Willis likely will not play the entire game unless Tennessee wants to get him more reps, which certainly could be possible. If this is the case, this prop gets a bit dicey, but Willis has not thrown for more than 99 passing yards in any of his three starts this season. Dallas has also been strong against the pass, on the whole, as they have allowed the 12th-fewest passing yards to quarterbacks this season by allowing an average of just 223 yards per game.
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Cowboys @ Titans More or Less Contest
Recommended Pick:
Dak Prescott less than 239.5 passing yards, Malik Willis less than 230.5 passing yards, and CeeDee Lamb less than 75.5 receiving yards
The theme for tonight is going to be playing less than plays given the nature of this game and the uncertainty that surrounds it. Dak and Malik Willis are listed above, but adding in CeeDee Lamb less than 75.5 receiving yards could also be a solid play. In this projection, you only need to be correct on two of the three selections to be profitable.
In a normal game, I would certainly look to play Lamb over in this spot as the Titans have struggled against wide receivers this season as they have allowed the third-most receiving yards to the position on the season. Even though this is the case, it is unlikely Dallas will want to risk the health of their star wide receiver in a game that has little meaning outside of a crazy chance they win the division if the Eagles lost their final two games and Dallas won out.
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