RADIO
A 1-1 split week was about fair, even though I absolutely loved both plays. I was in a wedding last weekend, and my mind definitely was not fixated on the card so I kept my exposure light. This is arguably one of my least favorite NFL seasons in recent memory. However, winning bets can change that very quickly.
I have always and will always put the disclaimer of **I'm not a professional.** I do this for fun, use my free time to research my favorite plays, and give a little of my insight into why I'm doing a particular play. My goal is to provide you with information that can help you make informed bets, whether you agree or disagree with me.
- 2022 Record: 9-10, -1.88 units
- Spread: 4-3, +0.5 units
- Total/Team Total: 4-6, -2.56 units
- Moneyline: 1-1, +0.18 units
- Props: 0-0
Be sure to follow me on the Twitter machine @stevejanik6 and on Action Network, where I'll have all of my bets this season. It's not only a goal to have a better season, but I'm looking for more engagement on Twitter this season, so feel free to hit me up! Now down to the nitty-gritty – please remember this is all for entertainment. With that, I hope you enjoy it, best of luck, and please bet responsibly!
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Week 8 NFL Betting Picks - Total
Tennessee Titans (-2.5) at Houston Texans
Sunday 10/30, 4:05pm PM EST | O/U: 40.5
The Titans pulled out an old-fashioned 19-10 win over the Colts, putting them to 4-2. Three of the four wins have come within seven points, and they've only crossed the 300-yard threshold twice all season. Derrick Henry isn't off to a monstrous start, but as an entire unit, Tennessee is doing what needs to be done. Averaging just 4.9 yards per play, but a much better 5.7 ypp on the road, the Titans are going into this with Kansas City looming in Week 9, so they'll want to ensure they're hitting on all cylinders.
The Texans were embarrassed by the Raiders in Week 7, and until their defense improves even slightly, we can expect a similar outcome. Dameon Pierce is a stud that gives this offense a needed boost, averaging 4.8 yards per touch. Davis Mills has done an "okay" job slinging it for over 1,300 yards but a 7/5 TD/Int leaves some to desire. Back to their defense that allows 6 ypp, 412 ypg, and 23 ppg. This unit will continue to struggle, especially with a matchup with Philly in Week 9 looming.
Both sides have big matchups looming in Week 9. I'm of the notion that both teams are going to want to bring their best to ensure they're ready. There is a lot of talent on both of these offenses, with each team offering a leaky defense. I think Derrick Henry runs all over this league-worst Texans run defense, which should put Houston behind and thus pass a lot. Overall, this total is just too low given the situation.
Pick: Over 40.5 (-110, BetMGM) Bet to win 1 Unit
Week 8 NFL Betting Picks - Spread
Green Bay Packers at Buffalo Bills (-11.5)
Sunday 10/30, 8:20 PM EST | O/U: 47.5
Who would've guessed that one man's absence (Davante Adams) could derail a whole organization? The Packers have not looked even good so far this year. Aaron Rodgers is slightly banged up, his pass catchers aren't getting the job done and the running game isn't stepping up when needed, averaging just 4.6 yards per carry. The nine turnovers are the truly troublesome stat and following three straight losses to the Giants, Jets, and Commanders is enough to make every Packers fan sick to their stomach.
Buffalo is so much fun to watch. Their first or second in points per game, yards per game, and yards per play – they have just one game where they didn't eclipse 400 yards. Josh Allen is second with 17 touchdown passes and the surefire MVP candidate has two more on the ground. Quite frankly, there are few teams in this league that are suited to stop this attack right now. Add on the top-ranked defense by DVOA and it's impossible not to picture this team in the AFC Championship game.
You'd have to be nuts to bet against the Bills, right? Sure, but here we are. While Rodgers is banged up, you know he's pissed. He likely won't have Allen Lazard but one thing we've learned is to never count out Aaron Rodgers. So I won't, especially spotting 11.5 points.
Pick: Green Bay +11.5 (-110, BetMGM) Bet to win 1 Unit
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Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons (-4)
Miami Dolphins (-3.5) at Detroit Lions
Chicago Bears at Dallas Cowboys (-9.5)
Sunday 10/30 | 1:00 PM EST
Carolina saw some new life PJ Walker in at quarterback last week. Chuba Hubbard and D'Onta Foreman performed quite well without Christian McCaffrey, but ball control regardless of who is at quarterback will be their key to success moving forward.
Detroit is on one of the rougher stretches an NFL team has seen in recent memory, losing their last four with just six points through the last two games. However, before that, they put up 69 points in the previous two. Deandre Swift is on tap to play while Jared Goff has Amon Ra St. Brown back. This offense hasn't had an issue moving the ball (6.1 ypp) but defensively...YIKES. The fewest points they've allowed all season was last week when the Cowboys put up 24 points.
Dallas is going to let Dak Prescott loose in Week 8 to give him some confidence heading into their bye week. Chicago is on cloud 9 after winning by double digits in New England last week. With the Cowboys at home, it's no surprise we see them near 10-point favorites. But we've also seen the Cowboys do their thing and completely fall flat on their face in a good spot, that's why I'm tossing them in a teaser. I think they take care of business but they're always due to make it interesting.
Pick: 6.5 point Teaser (+130, Fanduel) Bet 1 Unit
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