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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Wednesday August 17th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Cubs vs. Nationals
The Cubs take on the Nationals on Wednesday, August 17th at Nationals Park, Washington. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Chicago Cubs (48-67) vs. Washington Nationals (39-79)
- Date: Wednesday August 17th, 2022
- Time: 1:05 ET
- Venue: Nationals Park, Washington
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Cubs vs. Nationals
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Chicago Cubs - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Chicago Cubs take on Washington hoping to improve on their record of just 48-67, placing them 3rd in the NL Central division. The Cubs will need a win in today's game to improve their road record of just 23-33. In their last game, the Cubs picked up a 7-5 win over the Nationals. To start the year, Chicago has picked up just 14 series wins, going 14-17-6.
Drew Smyly gets the start for the Cubs with a below .500 record at 5-6. Smyly will take the mound with an ERA of 3.69 and a WHIP of 1.29. His batting average allowed currently sits at .262. So far, Drew Smyly has a SLG% allowed of 0.447, including giving up 11 home runs. For the season, he has picked up 61 strikeouts on a K rate of 20.0%.
Offensively, Chicago is scoring at a rate near the MLB average, at 4.18 runs per game. So far, the team's offense has struggled to score late in games, ranking 26th in runs scored in the 8th and 9th innings. For the year, the Cubs have combined for a team batting average of .245, placing them 14th in the league. Per game, the team is averaging 8.29 hits. So far, the team is the 16th-rated home run hitting team, averaging 1.02 per game. Before today's game, the team has one of the worst barrel rates in the league at 6.8%. However, throughout the season, Chicago's batters have been excellent at getting on base, posting the 10th best OBP of .318.
Washington Nationals - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Chicago, the Nationals have a record of just 39-79. This places the team 5th in the NL East division. On the season, the Nationals have been one of the worst performing road teams, going 19-43. In their previous games, Washington lost by a score of 7-5 to the Cubs. Currently, the team has a below .500 record in their 37 series, coming in at 8-26-3.
Cory Abbott gets the start for the Nationals with a below .500 record at 0-2. Abbott will be looking to bring down an ERA of 5.94. Abbott has had problems limiting base runners, made evident by a WHIP of 1.56. So far, Cory Abbott has a SLG% allowed .530, including giving up 5 home runs. Overall, Abbott has notched 16 strikeouts on a K rate of 20.0%.
Washington's offense comes into this game averaging just 3.80 runs per game, placing them 26th in the MLB. The team's total run differential sits at -211. Despite their mediocre scoring average, the Nationals have combined to hit .249, which ranks 12th in the league. On average, the team is coming up with 8.31 hits per game, including .83 home runs per game, placing them 28th in the league. To date, Washington has the MLB's 14th rated OBP, sitting at .315. While their wOBA of .304 is one of the lowest figures in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Cubs vs. Nationals
Heading into today's matchup between Chicago and Washington, the Cubs are the heavy favorite at -162 on the moneyline. Chicago's implied win probability sits at 61.83%. However, the MLB predictive model does not show enough value to take Chicago on the moneyline. Instead, its recommended to take the Nationals on the runline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Nationals Runline
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