X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

MLB DFS Prop Picks for 7/3/19 - Monkey Knife Fight

As much as I have touted overs on pitcher strikeouts, with some justification, it’s not something to accept blindly.

Sometimes the number is just too big to bank on for that day, or maybe it’s a pitcher who doesn’t – even in this environment – pick up a lot of Ks.

With a full slate of games on Wednesday, of course there will be pitchers who rack up strikeouts, but keep an eye on some that might have a hard time getting to the over. For me, Jason Vargas against the Yankees, Adam Wainwright in Seattle and Walker Buehler against the Diamondbacks are three that look like they could have a hard time getting to their respective overs.

On the other hand, I do like Stephen Strasburg, Yu Darvish, and Sonny Gray.

Here are some more angles to consider for Wednesday’s baseball action.

Editor's Note: Our friends at Monkey Knife Fight have released the best, most fun, fastest growing DFS props game! It's super simple to play and win real money. Just choose your MLB, NBA, NHL or PGA game, and make your picks! Get a 100% instant deposit bonus up to $50 using promo code: BALLER. That's $50 for free - don't miss out!

Play Now!

 

DETROIT-CHICAGO WHITE SOX

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Nick Castellanos OVER 1.5 TOTAL BASES – The play is here taking a shot at Tigers hitters against highly-touted White Sox rookie pitcher Dylan Cease, who has skills, but also had a 1.57 WHIP in 15 starts at Triple-A. Castellanos is slugging .449 against right-handed pitching and .538 on the road, so four at-bats with those percentages should give him a good shot at a couple of bases.

MIAMI-WASHINGTON

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Stephen Strasburg OVER 6.5 STRIKEOUTS – The Nationals starter has recorded at least seven strikeouts in 10 of 17 starts overall, five of eight at home. The Marlins are about average in terms of strikeout rate (23.3%) on the road and Strasburg has struck out 11 and four Marlins, respectively, in his two starts at Miami this season.

 

CHICAGO CUBS-PITTSBURGH

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Yu Darvish OVER 5.5 STRIKEOUTS – The Cubs right-hander has picked up six strikeouts in 10 of 17 starts, including five of eight on the road. He only struck out four Pirates in early April and the Bucs do have the lowest home strikeout rate (18.8%) in the National League.

 

BOSTON-TORONTO

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Rafael Devers OVER 1.5 TOTAL BASES – The Red Sox third baseman is slugging .548 for the season, which is very good, but after hitting two bombs against the Blue Jays Tuesday, is slugging .818 in his past 16 games, which is ridiculous. Mix in the Blue Jays going with rookie starter Jacob Waguespack, who had a 1.56 WHIP in a dozen games at Triple-A, and Devers should stay hot.

 

MILWAUKEE-CINCINNATI

View Contest

RAPID FIRE

Sonny Gray -1.5 strikeouts vs. Jhoulys Chacin – Gray is averaging 9.9 K/9 both overall and at home, while Chacin is averaging 7.2 K/9 on the road. That gets close to the differential here but Gray has a better chance to work deeper in the game – Chacin has pitched more than five innings once in his past eight starts.

 

N.Y. YANKEES-N.Y. METS

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Jason Vargas UNDER 4.5 STRIKEOUTS – While he’s recently threatened to knock out a reporter, the Mets lefty has managed five or more strikeouts just five times in 14 starts, though he did have a season-high 10 in his last start. Three weeks ago, against the Yankees, Vargas struck out three in six innings.

 

BALTIMORE-TAMPA BAY

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Trey Mancini OVER 1.5 TOTAL BASES – The Orioles are naturally underdogs at Tampa Bay, but there is still room for Mancini to get his. He’s slugging .570 on the road this year and that plays favorably for a couple of bags in four at-bats.

 

PHILADELPHIA-ATLANTA

View Contest

RAPID FIRE

Ronald Acuna Jr. +0.5 runs + RBI vs. Bryce Harper – Harper is a good player but averaging 1.24 runs plus RBI per road contest while Acuna Jr. is putting up 1.43 runs plus RBI per home game, making it easy to side with underdog Acuna Jr. plus the half.

 

L.A. ANGELS-TEXAS

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Joey Gallo UNDER 1.5 TOTAL BASES – This play is due to Angels rookie starter Griffin Canning, who is better at home than on the road, yet his road WHIP is still 1.10. He just needs to keep Gallo in the park and he’s had more than two total bases in five of his past 15 games.

 

HOUSTON-COLORADO

View Contest

RAPID FIRE

Trevor Story +0.5 runs + RBI vs. Alex Bregman – Even though Story, like most Rockies, is better at home, this is a category that closes the gap. Bregman is averaging 1.14 runs plus RBI per home game, very slightly better than Story’s road average of 1.11 per game, so getting the extra half run with Story is the play.

 

CLEVELAND-KANSAS CITY

View Contest

RAPID FIRE

Jordan Luplow +0.5 total bases vs. Francisco Lindor – Luplow, the rookie first baseman, is slugging .492 on the road and .705 against left-handed pitching (LHP Danny Duffy starts for the Royals). Lindor is slugging .433 on the road and .398 against lefties. Lindor has the brand name, so he’s favored, but getting Luplow plus a half base is a gift.

 

MINNESOTA-OAKLAND

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Matt Olson UNDER 1.5 HITS + WALKS – Oakland’s first baseman is much better on the road, and his home OBP (.282) is awful. He has a .329 OBP against right-handers, which isn’t enough to expect him to reach base multiple times.

 

ARIZONA-L.A. DODGERS

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Walker Buehler UNDER 7.5 STRIKEOUTS – As good as Buehler is, that’s a big number and he’s had eight strikeouts in just five of 16 starts. He did strike out 11 Diamondbacks a month ago, but that’s not enough reason to go against the odds here.

 

SAN FRANCISCO-SAN DIEGO

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Hunter Renfroe OVER 1.5 TOTAL BASES – Slugging .562 at home and .530 against right-handed pitching, the Padres outfielder has a good chance to pick up a couple of bags.

 

ST. LOUIS-SEATTLE

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Adam Wainwright UNDER 5.5 STRIKEOUTS – Even though the Mariners have the highest home strikeout rate (26.5%) in baseball, Wainwright has recorded six strikeouts just once in seven road starts this year and has a road ERA of 6.56 with a 1.51 WHIP, so he may not last long enough to get half a dozen strikeouts.

 

More 2019 Fantasy Baseball Advice




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Done for the Year With Torn ACL
Luke Hughes

Devils Optimistic About Signing Luke Hughes
Martin Fehérváry

Martin Fehervary on Track to Be Ready for Training Camp
Dylan Holloway

Good to Go for Start of Season
Nick Kurtz

Back in Action on Tuesday
Josh Morrissey

Fully Healthy for Start of Season
Dennis Hildeby

Signs Three-Year Extension With Maple Leafs
Nick Lodolo

Scratched With Illness
Dalton Kincaid

Role Not Expected to Grow?
Quinshon Judkins

Zero Chance Quinshon Judkins Plays Against Bengals?
Najee Harris

Says He's Expecting to Play Against Chiefs
Adolis García

Adolis Garcia Departs Monday with Quad Injury
Franz Wagner

Collects Double-Double in Blowout Win
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Achieves Rare Numbers at EuroBasket
Nikola Vučević

Nikola Vucevic Dominates Against Sweden
Stefon Diggs

Expected to Suit Up in Week 1
Kristaps Porzingis

Finding Form at EuroBasket
Nikola Jović

Nikola Jovic Suffers Minor Injury at EuroBasket
DJ Moore

Bears Experimenting with DJ Moore in Backfield
Rome Odunze

Could Move All Around the Offense
Carolina Panthers

Dave Canales Comfortable With Panthers' Young Receivers
Quinshon Judkins

Not Considering NCAA Return
Dallas Goedert

Healthy for Week 1
Marvin Mims Jr.

Returns to Practice Monday
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Carted Off Monday With Knee Injury
Jason Adam

Diagnosed With Ruptured Left Quadriceps Tendon
Victor Wembanyama

Looking "Quite Stellar"
Fernando Tatis Jr.

Scratched on Monday
Matthew Stafford

Expected to Start in Week 1
Edward Cabrera

Heading to Injured List With Elbow Sprain
Najee Harris

Cleared for Contact, Could Play in Week 1
Denny Hamlin

Ends Eventful Day at Darlington in Seventh Place
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Almost Earns a Top-Five Finish at Darlington
John Hunter Nemechek

has His Best 2025 Performance at Darlington
Ryan Blaney

Has An Underwhelming Performance At Darlington
Josh Berry

Crashes Early and Suffers A Playoff Setback at Darlington
Harry Ford

Called Up for Major-League Debut
Victor Scott II

Activated From Injured List
Fernando Tatis Jr.

Dealing With Hamstring Tightness, Expects to Play Monday
Giannis Antetokounmpo

"Staying in Milwaukee"
Thanasis Antetokounmpo

Agrees to a One-Year Contract with Milwaukee
Kyrie Irving

"Healing Up Great"
Dante Exum

Mavs Agree on a One-Year Deal
Jaylen Warren

Agrees to Two-Year Extension With Steelers
De'Von Achane

Practicing Monday, on Track to Play in Week 1
Quinshon Judkins

Could Report to Browns This Week
Kansas City Chiefs

Chiefs, Trent McDuffie Not Expected to Finalize Extension
Chase Elliott

Under Playoff Pressure After 17th-Place Darlington Finish
Kyle Larson

Despite Hendrick Mediocrity, Kyle Larson Remains Pretty Safe in Playoffs
Alex Bowman

Opening-Lap Crash and Botched Pit Stop May Have Sunk Alex Bowman's Playoff Hopes
Erik Jones

Darlington Master Erik Jones Comes Up Short but Still Finishes Third
AJ Allmendinger

A.J. Allmendinger Impresses at Southern 500
Dameon Pierce

Ahead of Schedule, Ready for Season
Jordan Love

May Wear Thumb Brace During Season
Chicago Bears

Bears Head Coach Admits Offense Could Face Learning Curve
Matt Chapman

Leaves Early on Sunday, Expects to Play Monday
A.J. Brown

Says He'll Be Active For Season Opener
Luis Garcia

to Make Season Debut on Monday
Max Scherzer

Exits Due to Back Tightness
Taylor Ward

Exits Early After Collison
Braelon Allen

Says He Has a Lot Left to Prove
Sal Stewart

Reds Promoting Sal Stewart to Majors
Daniel Suarez

is A DFS Risk for Darlington Lineups?
Randy Rodríguez

Randy Rodriguez to Undergo Tommy John Surgery
Noah Gragson

Should Fantasy Managers Roster Noah Gragson for Darlington?
Ty Dillon

is an Excellent Punt Option for Darlington DFS Lineups
Bogdan Bogdanović

Bogdan Bogdanovic to Miss the Rest of EuroBasket
Denny Hamlin

Picking Up Where He Left Off At Darlington
Kyle Larson

The Sky Is The Limit for Kyle Larson at Darlington
Ryan Blaney

a Strong DFS Play at Darlington This Weekend
Tyler Reddick

Shouldn't Be Overlooked at Darlington This Weekend
Alex Bowman

An Easy Place-Differential Play in DFS This Weekend
Ty Gibbs

Could Be Strong at Darlington This Weekend
Erik Jones

Has Best Darlington Qualifying Effort Since Last Win
Zane Smith

Hopeful For Another Solid Run At Darlington
Aroldis Chapman

Agrees to Contract Extension
Juan Soto

Homers Twice in Loss
Nick Kurtz

Avoids Serious Injury
MacKenzie Gore

Placed on 15-Day Injured List
Dallas Mavericks

Olivier-Maxence Prosper Waived by the Mavs
Lauri Markkanen

Dominant in Win Over Great Britain
Nikola Jović

Nikola Jovic Leads Serbia to a Win
Nikola Jokić

Nikola Jokic Shines Versus Portugal
Jose Alvarado

"Good" After Recent Fall
Lauri Markkanen

Torches Sweden
Neemias Queta

Dominates in EuroBasket Opener
Kawhi Leonard

Clippers Not Allowing Kawhi Leonard to Play Back-to-Backs
Dallas Mavericks

Mavericks Looking to Trade Olivier-Maxence Prosper
Tyrese Haliburton

Expects to Return in 15 Months