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Nick Mariano's 2023 Fantasy Baseball Outfield Rankings

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Taylor Ward - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

2023 fantasy baseball tiered outfield rankings and analysis for 5x5 roto mixed leagues, featuring ranks from RotoBaller's rankings expert Nick Mariano.

Opening Day is starting to appear on the horizon as the draft season hits its apex. We're cranking out content to help you crush it, and with that in mind, my fantasy baseball rankings series now heads to the outfield. And in case you missed any earlier pieces, you can see the rest of the positional rankings articles here:

As you know, the outfield is a lot deeper than any infield position. I'm going to list my top 150 to try to help those in AL and NL-only leagues as well. There are myriad builds possible with the number of outfielders available in the draft room so be sure you monitor your overall construction.

That's enough of my jibber-jabber. Let's jump into the tiered table and analysis below.

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Outfield Fantasy Baseball Rankings - Roto Leagues

Rank Tier Name Team RB Pos
1 1 Ronald Acuna Jr. ATL OF
2 1 Aaron Judge NYY OF
3 1 Julio Rodriguez SEA OF
4 1 Kyle Tucker HOU OF
5 2 Juan Soto SD OF
6 2 Mookie Betts LAD OF
7 2 Mike Trout LAA OF
8 2 Yordan Alvarez HOU OF
9 3 Randy Arozarena TB OF
10 3 Michael Harris II ATL OF
11 3 Kyle Schwarber PHI OF
12 3 Cedric Mullins BAL OF
13 3 Luis Robert Jr. CWS OF
14 3 Corbin Carroll ARI OF
15 4 Adolis Garcia TEX OF
16 4 George Springer TOR OF
17 4 Daulton Varsho TOR C/OF
18 4 Teoscar Hernandez SEA OF
19 4 Starling Marte NYM OF
20 5 Eloy Jimenez CWS OF
21 5 Tyler O'Neill STL OF
22 5 Bryan Reynolds PIT OF
23 5 Byron Buxton MIN OF
24 5 Taylor Ward LAA OF
25 5 Steven Kwan CLE OF
26 5 Kris Bryant COL OF
27 5 Amed Rosario CLE SS/OF
28 5 Jake McCarthy ARI OF
29 5 Seiya Suzuki CHC OF
30 5 Giancarlo Stanton NYY OF
31 5 Christian Yelich MIL OF
32 5 Anthony Santander BAL OF
33 5 MJ Melendez KC C/OF
34 5 Andrew Vaughn CWS 1B/OF
35 6 Nick Castellanos PHI OF
36 6 Hunter Renfroe LAA OF
37 6 Masataka Yoshida BOS OF
38 6 Ian Happ CHC OF
39 6 Brandon Nimmo NYM OF
40 6 Thairo Estrada SF 2B/SS/OF
41 6 Alex Verdugo BOS OF
42 6 Lars Nootbaar STL OF
43 6 Mitch Haniger SF OF
44 6 Cody Bellinger CHC OF
45 6 Jeff McNeil NYM 2B/OF
46 6 Whit Merrifield TOR 2B/OF
47 6 Seth Brown OAK 1B/OF
48 6 Riley Greene DET OF
49 6 Joey Meneses WSH 1B/OF
50 7 Oscar Gonzalez CLE OF
51 7 Bryce Harper PHI OF
52 7 Harrison Bader NYY OF
53 7 Josh Naylor CLE OF
54 7 Ramon Laureano OAK OF
55 7 Andrew Benintendi CWS OF
56 7 Michael Conforto SF OF
57 7 Wil Myers CIN 1B/OF
58 8 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ARI OF
59 8 Joc Pederson SF OF
60 8 Jorge Soler MIA OF
61 8 Austin Hays BAL OF
62 8 Jon Berti MIA 2B/3B/SS/OF
63 8 Manuel Margot TB OF
64 8 Jake Fraley CIN OF
65 8 Brendan Donovan STL 1B/2B/3B/SS/OF
66 8 Esteury Ruiz OAK OF
67 8 Oscar Colas CWS OF
68 8 Adam Duvall BOS OF
69 8 Juan Yepez STL OF
70 8 Brandon Marsh PHI OF
71 8 Trent Grisham SD OF
72 8 Charlie Blackmon COL OF
73 8 Jarred Kelenic SEA OF
74 8 Trey Mancini CHC 1B/OF
75 8 Oswaldo Cabrera NYY OF
76 9 Garrett Mitchell MIL OF
77 9 Lane Thomas WSH OF
78 9 Chris Taylor LAD 2B/OF
79 9 Randal Grichuk COL OF
80 9 Austin Meadows DET OF
81 9 Christopher Morel CHC 2B/3B/SS/OF
82 9 Bryan De La Cruz MIA OF
83 9 Edward Olivares KC OF
84 10 Eric Haase DET C/OF
85 10 Marcell Ozuna ATL OF
86 10 Kyle Isbel KC OF
87 10 Bubba Thompson TEX OF
88 10 Nick Gordon MIN 2B/OF
89 10 Michael Brantley HOU OF
90 10 Kike Hernandez BOS 2B/SS/OF
91 10 Jesse Winker MIL OF
92 10 Avisail Garcia MIA OF
93 10 Mike Yastrzemski SF OF
94 10 Matt Carpenter SD OF
95 10 Jose Siri TB OF
96 10 Dylan Carlson STL OF
97 10 Mark Canha NYM OF
98 10 TJ Friedl CIN OF
99 10 Tony Kemp OAK 2B/OF
100 10 AJ Pollock SEA OF
101 10 Trayce Thompson LAD OF
102 10 Max Kepler MIN OF
103 10 Andrew McCutchen PIT OF
104 10 Leody Taveras TEX OF
105 10 Eddie Rosario ATL OF
106 11 LaMonte Wade Jr. SF 1B/OF
107 11 Alek Thomas ARI OF
108 11 Tommy Pham NYM OF
109 11 Alex Kirilloff MIN 1B/OF
110 11 Harold Ramirez TB 1B/OF
111 11 Nolan Jones COL OF
112 11 Jarren Duran BOS OF
113 11 Chas McCormick HOU OF
114 11 Robbie Grossman TEX OF
115 11 Kerry Carpenter DET OF
116 11 Myles Straw CLE OF
117 11 Jesus Sanchez MIA OF
118 12 David Peralta LAD OF
119 12 Joey Gallo MIN OF
120 12 Josh Lowe TB OF
121 12 Kyle Stowers BAL OF
122 12 Gavin Sheets CWS 1B/OF
123 12 Jack Suwinski PIT OF
124 12 James Outman LAD OF
125 12 Jo Adell LAA OF
126 12 Drew Waters KC OF
127 12 Patrick Wisdom CHC 1B/3B/OF
128 13 Hunter Dozier KC 1B/3B/OF
129 13 Will Brennan CLE OF
130 13 Akil Baddoo DET OF
131 13 Tyrone Taylor MIL OF
132 13 Jace Peterson OAK 3B/OF
133 13 Aaron Hicks NYY OF
134 13 Christian Arroyo BOS 1B/2B/3B/SS/OF
135 13 Victor Robles WSH OF
136 13 Ji Hwan Bae PIT OF
137 13 Nick Pratto KC 1B/OF
138 13 Yonathan Daza COL OF
139 13 Nate Eaton KC 3B/OF
140 13 Dylan Moore SEA 2B/SS/OF
141 13 Will Benson CIN OF
142 13 Matt Vierling DET 3B/OF
143 13 Conner Capel OAK OF
144 13 Adam Frazier BAL 2B/OF
145 13 Jose Azocar SD OF
146 13 Michael Toglia COL 1B/OF
147 13 Alex Call WSH OF
148 13 Kevin Kiermaier TOR OF
149 13 Kyle Lewis ARI OF
150 13 Sal Frelick MIL OF

 

Tier One - Outfield Rankings

The top-four outfielders typically all go within the first six picks of a standard 5x5 draft. These studs offer overwhelming power and speed, with none of them being a batting average liability either. This is a deep position so we don’t need to nitpick the top tier.

Last year, we saw 26 outfielders within the top 90 in Yahoo’s 5x5 scoring (also, Bryce Harper was 91st). This may leave you confident in waiting, and that’s okay, but I assure you the player pool dries up quickly. That 26-figure sounds like a lot, but it only takes 12 teams taking two apiece to run through most of it. You’ll want anchors if you play in a five-outfield format.

 

Tier Two - Outfield Rankings

Juan Soto had an uncharacteristically poor .242 batting average in 2022, yet still posted a .401 OBP and cracked 27 home runs in 153 games. He’d never had a BABIP lower than .312 across four seasons and then a .249 mark reared its head in ‘22. Most seem to be forgiving him for that given the lofty ADP, which is appropriate.

Mookie Betts may grab 2B eligibility and enjoy some additional RBI opportunities if moved down from the leadoff position. Wherever he goes, he’ll make you happy. His 35 home runs weren’t that surprising, as the 15.6% HR/FB rate is on par with his last five seasons but he had a career-high 47.7% fly ball rate. 30 homers and 15 steals with 200 R+RBI are in the pipeline.

Yordan Alvarez and Mike Trout boast immense power but the medicals will make you sweaty. If Alvarez already has hand inflammation/soreness before the long season begins, then will it really hold up over 162 games? Will Houston manage his workload? Does Trout’s back put him in a similar spot? Alvarez hasn’t had as many years of injury risk as Trout, but his being an active problem puts them on a similar level. I’m not targeting Alvarez as a result, but have snagged Trout between Rounds 2-3 when going pitcher first.

 

Tier Three - Outfield Rankings

Randy Arozarena casually had a top-25 season as one of just two players to put up a 20/30 campaign in ‘22. If you need to follow up a power-heavy or pitcher start, then Arozarena is a favorite. More daring drafters can go for Michael Harris II and see whether he holds the second spot in Atlanta’s order.

Need power? Snag Kyle Schwarber. Still light on speed? Then head to Camden and tag in Cedric Mullins II. If you feel secure through 3-4 rounds and want to incorporate risk, then Luis Robert has first-round upside if he can stay healthy. A big if, to be sure.

And surging prospect Corbin Carroll only stole two bases in 32 MLB games last year, but was 31-of-36 in 91 minor-league games prior to the promotion. He also socked 23 home runs while hitting over .300 down there. He has a sharp eye and 80-grade speed worth sniping from others’ queues.

 

Tier Four - Outfield Rankings

I’m not sure folks will ever fully trust players who pop in their age-28 season but Adolis Garcia has been an excellent fantasy weapon across two full seasons now. Power. Speed. An ISO north of .200 against both left- and right-handed pitching in 2022. If you believe, then he’s an excellent value. If you don’t, then you’ll let someone else burn a high pick on him.

Teoscar Hernandez had great numbers when healthy but an oblique injury weighed down his seasonal stats. He’s fallen down some draft boards as a result, and many lucky managers have gotten a nice margin on his 30-homer bat.

 

Tier Five - Outfield Rankings

Taylor Ward is likely my heaviest target of the bunch. You never know when another believer is in your draft room but I’ve regularly seen Ward linger past the 100th pick. He showed league-winning potential in that six-week early stretch of ‘22 before neck/shoulder issues arose following a wall collision.

Even if you don’t buy that as close to his true talent level, you can’t deny the value provided by hitting leadoff on the Angels. His Statcast metrics panel is covered in red and my rosters are covered in Ward. But people struggle to buy into those 28-year-old breakouts!

 

Tier Six and Below - Outfield Rankings

The players start to fit more of a one-trick-pony mold the further down you go. The trick tends to be hitting home runs, for your information. That’s a neat trick, but we still want some speed and average with our power plants.

As such, I am aggressively drafting Boston’s Masataka Yoshida. Some fear the unknown but Fenway Park is relentlessly hitter-friendly (though less so for left-handed swings) and Yoshida’s bat-on-ball talent is MLB-ready. The 29-year-old has quick hands and hit .326 over his seven years in Japan’s NPB.

How exactly he contributes for us will depend on where Boston hits him. More runs and overall volume at leadoff. More RBI down near the heart. But an average over .280, acknowledging room for way higher, with healthy pop will be taken by me earlier than pick 200.

 

Tier Seven and Below - Outfield Rankings

Michael Conforto returns to action after a torn left shoulder sunk his prospects of playing in ‘22. It’s hard for me to picture him making it through a full season without some shoulder soreness cropping up, but his early Spring form is promising. The 30-year-old has thwacked four home runs in 35 at-bats and I wanted to see if his swing looked altered in any demonstrable way compared to pre-injury Conforto. San Fran isn’t welcoming for home runs, but he’s a fine flier as an OF5. (This is why I don’t wait on OF early!)

If you want to tap into some Great American Ball Park mojo, then Jake Fraley (aka Rake from State Farm) is a buzzy play. He hit 12 home runs with four steals in just 68 games last year, working mostly against right-handed pitching. We’ll see if the Reds give him a chance against southpaws in ‘23 but those in daily-move formats who can juggle the platooning should enjoy another OPS above .800 this season.

Despite success this Spring, Oscar Colas hasn’t surged up boards as quickly as I’d imagined. The outfielder has a .289/.304/.511 slash line with three home runs over 45 ABs in which he’s only struck out five times. He’s putting his foot down on the job in right field and could pop 20-plus homers from within a powerful White Sox lineup if the collective health holds.

Garrett Mitchell kicked off his Spring with three home runs in only 18 ABs but a hamstring injury has thrown his Opening Day status into jeopardy. Even if it’s delayed, Mitchell’s 2023 season could be a big one. Being cautious with his hamstring is imperative if we want the Mitchell who went a perfect 8-of-8 on steal attempts in his first 28 MLB games. The 24-year-old also put on muscle this offseason in hopes of tapping into his 55-grade raw power. He’ll strike out a bunch but his power-speed play skews toward fantasy intrigue.

Edward Olivares (and to a lesser extent, Kyle Isbel) should get a chance to prove himself in a full-time gig at long last. He’s never received more than 200 PAs over his three years in the bigs but showed promising pop in the minors. His 2019 at Double-A produced 18 home runs, 35 steals, and a .801 OPS in 127 contests.

We’ve yet to see him steadily play or hit that level in the majors, and coaches must have their reasons, but his range of outcomes includes a .260 hitter with 15 home runs and 6-10 steals. Follow the PT! Isbel is more toolsy for fantasy and has 15-20 steals in his wheelhouse, but might struggle to hit above .230. The opportunity is there for either man with Drew Waters’ oblique injury.

Remember Eddie Rosario? While it’s doubtful he wrests everyday play from Atlanta’s depth chart, the 31-year-old may enjoy a mini-renaissance due to improved vision. ATL skipper Brian Snitker has praised Rosario’s Spring and says he looks better in the box. Rosario popped 32 homers in 2019 and another 13 taters in 57 games through the shortened 2020 season. His performance has fallen since then but now he’s had time for his eyes to adjust. Don’t be shocked at a rebound.



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