X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

EPL Betting Picks and Game Previews for Matchweek 12: English Premier League

Jamie Steed previews EPL Matchweek 12 of the 2022/23 season, starting on 10/18/2022. He previews each game from the English Premier League, picking bets and a player to watch out for in fantasy

We're offering up our favorite betting pick for each game along with a score prediction and will include a player to look out for in fantasy from each fixture. Before you read on, remember these essential things: Betting on sports should be fun. If you aren't having fun with it, stop. And never bet what you can't afford to lose.

A small profit from the weekend made it back-to-back winning weeks. West Ham United could only manage a draw to deny us a big parlay and Newcastle United needed one more corner to give us another nice profitable pick. Still, a winning week overall and we go into the midweek fixtures in decent shape. Due to the 48-hour turnaround, things are a little abbreviated this week but it's still fully researched and all nine games are previewed.

We've been cranking up the soccer content at RotoBaller too. We're still bringing you dedicated DFS and Fantasy Premier League content, on top of the weekly preview and betting content. Follow the team on Twitter (@LucidMediaDFS@PhilOfSports, @EuanOrYouOut, @df_solutions, @Mark_Kieffer, and yours truly @Baseball_Jimbo), and reach out to any of us if you ever have any soccer questions or need advice on any of this.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 50% off using code SUMMER. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

2022-23 EPL Betting Picks

  • Match results: 47-50
  • Total picks: 45-47-6
  • Parlays: 3-14
  • ROI: 98.50% (-1.17 units)

 

Tuesday, October 18th, 2022

Nottingham Forest (+737) at Brighton (-236) 2:30 pm ET

Score prediction: Brighton 2 - 1 Nottingham Forest

Betting pick: Both teams to score/winner - Yes & Brighton (+242) 0.5 units

Brighton is yet to win or keep a clean sheet under De Zerbi (three games) and has failed to score in back-to-back games. But they face a Forest team that has conceded the second most goals this season (23). I expect a home win, but not as easy as the bookmakers seem to think it will be.

Player to watch: Leandro Trossard

Trossard got the De Zerbi reign off to a flying start, scoring a hat trick in their 3-3 draw at Liverpool. But things have been bleak since and Brighton will need their Belgian international to fire again if they are to secure their first win under the new Head Coach.

Wolves (+256) at Crystal Palace (+127) - 3:15 pm ET

Score prediction: Crystal Palace 1 - 0 Wolves

Betting pick: Single game parlay - Total goals under 3.5, Crystal Palace under 6.5 corners & Wolves under 6.5 corners (+115) 1 unit

Both teams are struggling for goals with Wolves the lowest scorers (four goals) and Palace with four goals in their last five games. Palace has also yet to take more than five corners in a game while Wolves have failed to top six in any match. I expect this to be a rather grim and dull game.

Player to watch: Wilfried Zaha

Zaha is Palace's top scorer this season with four goals, three coming at home. He hasn't scored in his last four games but managed to find the net in both games against Wolves last season.

 

Wednesday, October 19th, 2022

Southampton (+157) at Bournemouth (+178) - 2:30 pm ET

Score prediction: Bournemouth 2 - 2 Southampton

Betting pick: Both teams to score and total goals - Yes & over 2.5 (+134) 0.5 units

Southampton ended a run of four straight defeats with a 1-1 draw against West Ham but remains in the relegation. Since losing 9-0 at Liverpool, Bournemouth has picked up 10 points in six games (two wins and four draws). Three of those six games have seen both teams score and at least three total goals.

Player to watch: Dominic Solanke

Solanke has two goals and three assists in eight games this season (seven starts). He led the team with 29 goals last season in their promotion campaign and is beginning to look like he can lead Bournemouth to a successful season.

Chelsea (-144) at Brentford (+424) - 2:30 pm ET

Score prediction: Brentford 1 - 2 Chelsea

Betting pick: Total goals range - 2-3 goals (+112) 1 unit

Chelsea's 100% record under Graham Potter continued with a 2-0 win at Aston Villa on Sunday and that's now six straight EPL games in which there have been two or three goals and all five of their games under Potter's stewardship. Three of Brentford's five home games have seen two or three goals in them.

Player to watch: Raheem Sterling

Mason Mount has come to life under Potter but Sterling hasn't scored since August and was deployed as a wing-back on Sunday to start the game. He's in danger of losing regular playing time if he doesn't begin to find some consistency in the coming weeks and will be keen to get back to playing as a winger and scoring again this week.

West Ham United (+609) at Liverpool (-222) - 2:30 pm ET

Score prediction: Liverpool 3 - 0 West Ham United

Betting pick: Score and win - Mo Salah and Liverpool (+150) 1 unit

As we predicted, Liverpool was able to take something from Sunday's game with Manchester City and they ended the champions' unbeaten start to the season with a 1-0 win. They remain unbeaten at home and Salah now faces the Premier League team he has more goals against than anyone else (nine goals and three assists in ten appearances).

Player to watch: Mo Salah

As mentioned, Salah has an amazing record against West Ham and following his seven-minute hat trick against Rangers last Wednesday, he scored the winner on Sunday. Salah has scored in four of the five home games against West Ham since joining Liverpool.

Everton (+433) at Newcastle United (-145) - 2:30 pm ET

Score prediction: Newcastle United 1 - 0 Everton

Betting pick: To win to nil - Newcastle United (+198) 1 unit

Newcastle picked up a solid point at Manchester United on Sunday, battling to a 0-0 draw. They're now unbeaten in their last five games and have conceded the fewest goals in the EPL this season (nine). Only three teams have scored fewer than Everton (eight).

Player to watch: Callum Wilson

Wilson has been limited to six games this season due to injury but has three goals this campaign and has started the last three games. He's still in with a shout of making the England World Cup squad and scored a brace in both games against Everton since joining Newcastle.

Tottenham (+201) at Manchester United (+138) - 3:15 pm ET

Score prediction: Manchester United 1 - 2 Tottenham

Betting pick: To win either half - Tottenham (-110) 1 unit

Tottenham maintained their 100% home record on Saturday, beating Everton 2-0 and comes into this game with an extra day of rest after Manchester United played Sunday. United has scored just six home goals (four games) and Tottenham seems generously priced. I expect they will at least outscore the home side in one 45-minute period.

Player to watch: Lucas Moura

Richarlison left Saturday's game with an injury and Dejan Kulusevski also missed out through injury. That might open up a spot for Moura to make his first start of the season and if he does, he could make a sneaky cheaper option for those playing DFS. But I'm not confident he does start so be prepared to pivot.

 

Thursday, October 20th, 2022

Aston Villa (+161) at Fulham (+180) - 2:30 pm ET

Score prediction: Fulham 2 - 1 Aston Villa

Betting pick: Draw no bet - Fulham (+103) 1 unit

While Fulham has struggled of late with three defeats in their last five games, their only home loss of the season came against Newcastle when they had to play over 80 minutes with ten men. Villa has yet to win away from home, scoring just three goals in their five road games.

Player to watch: Aleksandar Mitrovic

Mitrovic returned from injury to score on Saturday and now has seven goals this season. The only home game he failed to score in was the defeat against Newcastle, in which he limped off injured after 36 minutes.

Leeds United (+241) at Leicester City (+120) - 3:15 pm ET

Score prediction: Leicester City 1 - 1 Leeds United

Betting pick: Draw no bet - Leeds United (+147) 0.5 units

Leicester scuffled along to a goalless draw at home to Crystal Palace while Leeds United took Arsenal to the limit on Sunday, eventually losing 1-0 after missing a second-half penalty. Leicester will have to make do without top scorer James Maddison through suspension and despite not winning in their last six games, Leeds just looks like a better team right now.

Player to watch: Harvey Barnes

As mentioned, Maddison is set to miss out and Leicester will be desperate for some sort of creative spark from somewhere. Barnes is the only other player who has at least shown glimpses of that with two goals this season.

 

Parlays

Both teams to score: Bournemouth/Southampton, Fulham/Aston Villa, Leicester City/Leeds United (+437) 1 unit

 

Good luck with those EPL bets and remember to bet responsibly!

More Betting and DFS Picks

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jordan Hicks

Headed to Boston
Kyle Harrison

Traded to Red Sox
Brady House

Nationals Promoting Brady House to Major Leagues
Rafael Devers

Traded to San Francisco
Jayden Higgins

Impresses During Minicamp
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

on the Move to Memphis
Cole Anthony

Dealt to the Grizzlies
Seattle Seahawks

DeMarcus Lawrence Making an Impression With his New Team
Isaiah Simmons

Being Used Exclusively as a Linebacker
Tyler Mahle

Placed on 15-Day Injured List
Travis Etienne Jr.

the Jaguars Lead Back?
Luis Robert Jr.

Scratched with Thumb Soreness
Desmond Bane

Traded to Orlando
Byron Buxton

Scratched from Sunday's Lineup
Daniel Jones

the Favorite in Colts QB Competition?
Brendan Donovan

Returns to the Lineup
Steven Adams

Rockets Agree to Three-Year Contract Extension
Royce Lewis

Hits 10-Day Injured List
Ty Dillon

Is a Respectable Cap Flexiblity-Focused DFS Option For Mexico City
Corey Perry

Produces 10th Postseason Goal
Connor McDavid

Scores First Finals Goal
John Hunter Nemechek

Is John Hunter Nemechek Worth Rostering In Mexico City DFS Lineups?
Shohei Ohtani

Blasts Two Homers in Win
Sam Bennett

Nets Another Road Goal in Game 5 Win
Eetu Luostarinen

Earns Two Points Saturday
Michael King

Not Making Progress
Brad Marchand

Pots Two Goals in Game 5 Victory
Jackson Merrill

Removed Early on Saturday
Sergei Bobrovsky

Ties NHL Record with 10th Road Win
Ross Chastain

Trackhouse Racing's Mexico Focus Makes Ross Chastain a Leading Contender for the Win
Kyle Busch

One of Two Past Mexico City Winners in the Field
Ryan Preece

Earns Surprising Front-Row Start
Austin Cindric

Not as Strong of a Road Racer as People Think
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Stronger on Infield Road Courses Than Purpose-Built Ones
Joey Logano

Seemingly Alternating Between Good and Mediocre Races
Brad Keselowski

One of the Few Drivers with Mexico City Experience
Denny Hamlin

Ryan Truex Makes First Cup Series Start Since 2014
Erik Jones

Mexico City Will Likely be a Struggle for Erik Jones
Noah Gragson

Front Row Motorsports' Speed May Make Noah Gragson a Decent DFS Option
Ricky Stenhouse Jr

Road Courses Are Ricky Stenhouse Jr.'s Worst Track Type
Riley Herbst

Surprisingly Outqualifies 23XI Racing Teammates at Mexico City
Cody Ware

a Very Experienced Road Racer but Still a Long Shot
Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen the Heavy Favorite to Win in Mexico City
Christopher Bell

the Chalk DFS Play in Mexico City
Tyler Reddick

Has a Lot of Work To Do To Be Competitive in Mexico
AJ Allmendinger

Struggling to Find Speed in Mexico City
Chris Buescher

Says Car is "Bad Fast" Heading into Mexico City Race
Michael McDowell

Confident Heading into Viva Mexico 250
Giancarlo Stanton

Likely Returning Early Next Week
Spencer Strider

Registers 13 Strikeouts
Hunter Brown

s Records 12 Strikeouts
Emeka Egbuka

"the Talk" of Bucs Minicamp
Royce Lewis

to be Placed on Injured List
Byron Buxton

Exits Early on Saturday
Evander Kane

Drops to Fourth Line Saturday
Kasperi Kapanen

Won't Play on Saturday
Calvin Pickard

Starts Game 5 for Oilers
Jaxson Dart

Working as No. 2 QB During Offseason Workouts
Xavier Gipson

Roster Spot Could be in Jeopardy
Josh Reynolds

the Front-Runner for WR2 Duties
Garrett Wilson

Stock Up This Offseason
Breece Hall

Motivated Going into 2025 Season
Brandon Aiyuk

Making Good Progress From Knee Injury
Keon Coleman

Inconsistent at Minicamp
Mitchell Trubisky

Not a Lock for Backup Job
Dalton Kincaid

Adds Strength and Bulk
James Cook

a Full Participant in Mandatory Minicamp
Tyrese Haliburton

Struggles in Friday's Loss to OKC
Jacob Misiorowski

Expected to Make Next Start
Chet Holmgren

Dominates the Glass in Game 4
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Leads the Way in Game 4
Jalen Williams

Has a Quality Showing on Friday Night
Charlie Morton

Continues Good Work With 10 Strikeouts
James Wood

Homers, Drives in Four
Agustín Ramírez

Agustin Ramirez Homers Twice to Snap Skid
Anthony Richardson

Should be Fine for Training Camp
Russell Westbrook

to Decline Player Option
Kevin Durant

Trade Could Happen in the "Next Few Days"
Cam Akers

Joining Saints
Michael Mayer

to Get More Involved
Aaron Rodgers

DK Metcalf Building Chemistry with Aaron Rodgers
Colston Loveland

Likely to be Primary Tight End
Joaquin Buckley

Set For Main Event
Kamaru Usman

An Underdog At UFC Atlanta
Miranda Maverick

Set For Co-Main Event
Rose Namajunas

Looks To Bounce Back
Andre Petroski

Looks To Extend His Win Streak To Four
Edmen Shahbazyan

A Favorite At UFC Atlanta
Raoni Barcelos

Set To Take On Former Champion
Cody Garbrandt

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Looks For His Third UFC Win
Cody Brundage

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Alonzo Menifield

Opens Up UFC Atlanta Main Card
Oumar Sy

Looks To Remain Undefeated
Connor Hellebuyck

Wins Vezina And Hart Trophies
Aleksander Barkov

Records Two Power-Play Assists Thursday
Sam Reinhart

Collects Three Points in Thursday's Loss
Matthew Tkachuk

Notches Three Points in Losing Effort
Calvin Pickard

Joins Exclusive List with Thursday's Win
Mattias Ekholm

Logs Two Assists in Comeback Victory
Leon Draisaitl

Delivers Victory in Overtime Thursday
Myles Turner

Playing Through Illness
Reed Sheppard

Will Play in the NBA Summer League
Kevin Durant

Deal Could Come Sooner Rather Than Later
Dorian Finney-Smith

Undergoes Ankle Surgery
Anze Kopitar

Wins Third Lady Byng Trophy
Sergei Bobrovsky

Heading Out for Win No. 15
John Klingberg

Won't Play in Game 4 Against Panthers
Viktor Arvidsson

Sits Out Game 4 Against Panthers
Stuart Skinner

Remains in Oilers Crease Thursday
Jalen Williams

Leads Thunder in Scoring Wednesday
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Settles for 24 Points in Game 3 Loss
Pascal Siakam

Does Everything for Pacers Wednesday Night
Tyrese Haliburton

Gets Close to Triple-Double in Game 3 Win
Bennedict Mathurin

Leads All Scorers with 27 Points Wednesday
Brandin Podziemski

Has Second Offseason Surgery
Jaylen Brown

Undergoes Successful Knee Procedure
Matt McCarty

Comes Off Season-Best Showing at RBC Canadian Open
Justin Thomas

Desperate to Continue Good 2025 Season
Jon Rahm

Seeks Revenge at U.S. Open
Tom Kim

Aiming for Improvement in U.S. Open
PGA

Sungjae Im Expects Solid Performance at Oakmont
Brian Harman

Aims to Rebound From the Memorial
Tony Finau

has Been Up and Down at U.S. Open
Patrick Cantlay

Hoping This is the Year at Oakmont
Akshay Bhatia

Improving in Time for U.S. Open
Xander Schauffele

Primed for Another Major Championship Run
Cameron Young

May Struggle at U.S. Open
Collin Morikawa

Eyeing Third Major Championship Title
Matt Fitzpatrick

Seeks to Avenge Oakmont Collapse
Jordan Spieth

Can Contend at Oakmont
Shane Lowry

a Strong Value Play at U.S. Open
Brooks Koepka

Seeks Another Major Win at Oakmont
Viktor Hovland

Still Can Improve at U.S. Open
Michael Kim

a Boom-or-Bust Value Play at U.S. Open
Russell Henley

Looking to Play the Weekend at Oakmont
Tyrrell Hatton

a Safe Option at U.S. Open
Bryson DeChambeau

Eyeing Third U.S. Open Title
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF