DraftKings PGA DFS Lineup Picks - Zurich Classic of New Orleans Advice (2023)

Spencer's DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks for The Zurich Classic of New Orleans. His PGA DFS targets and value plays for daily fantasy golf lineups, and golfers to avoid.

Be sure to follow me on Twitter @TeeOffSports to get more answers this week, and if you aren't doing so already, I'd love for you to consider signing up for my RotoBaller premium subscription. There are numerous tools available, including my heralded 'PGA Rankings Wizard Model.'

PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - Zurich Classic of New Orleans

We have some exciting changes that we are implementing this year over at RotoBaller. There will be multiple subscription-based tiers for our readers to enjoy, including my very own TeeOffSports VIP Package that will include the following items:

PGA Rankings Wizard Model (Pre-Tournament)

• A powerful and interactive data spreadsheet that allows user inputs to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you are considering signing up, take a look at this how-to guide of everything you can find weekly inside my pre-tournament model. The sheet is loaded with sortable and weighable information to help you in all sectors of the market. 
• Zurich Classic of New Orleans Link

Vegas Report (All Pre-Tournament Bets)

• Top Pre-Tournament H2H Pick: (104-60-9) 63.41%
• All Pre-Tournament H2Hs: (234-174-23) 57.35%
• Total H2Hs Since 2017: (434-301-59) 59.05%
• Outright Winners Since 2017: 36
• Units: +311.229 Units
• All Totals Are Entering 2023
• Click here to see an example

In-Tournament Model (Updated Stats + User Configuration Ability)

• Here you will find updated stats for the particular tournament – all sortable and weighable when you make a copy of your own under the file tab. The purpose of this is to provide an area where you can research the daily proceedings for DFS strategy or find outright or daily head-to-head wagers. There are over 25 weighable categories by the time round four comes around, including the ability to add back in your pre-tournament research for every day.

In-Tournament Head-To-Head Bets For Rounds 1,2,3 and 4

• Lifetime Record: (200-127-36) 61.16%
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First-Round Leader Article

• Eight first-round leader wins in 2022.
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One & Done (Deep-Dive Into Potential Options To Consider)

• 10+ million in earnings during two of the past three seasons while providing information for contests. We will take a comprehensive look into a handful of options to consider.
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Late DraftKings Article (Condensed Player Pool)

• We will build off the Monday article throughout the week and consolidate selections toward a more concrete player pool for everyone to consider by Wednesday.

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Field

Field Size: 160 (80 Teams of Two)
Cut: Top 33 Teams and Ties
Top 20 Entrants: N/A

Last Five Winners Of The Zurich Classic

Expected Cut-Line

TPC Louisiana

7,425 Yards - Par 72 - Greens Bermuda

It is a tricky week for us at the Zurich Classic, as eighty teams will be vying to make the weekend at TPC Louisiana. It is worth noting that the top-33 and ties will get to tee it up on Saturday and Sunday, and play will be split between a best-ball format on Thursday/Saturday and an alternate shot structure on Friday/Sunday.

While data isn't as easy to come by as a regular stop, I did pre-plug some "team totals" on my DFS Rankings Wizard model. There you will get a better understanding of what I found to be necessary to succeed, but there are many different ways for you to do your research in New Orleans.

If you are trying to break this down from a statistical perspective, 29 percent of second shots came from over 200 yards when this was played as a solo event, and the ability to ball-strike was an essential component for golfers that found success. All in all, this will provide a unique strategy when constructing DFS lineups, and it is critical to note that no single approach should be considered incorrect during an uncommon test.

Let's Look At The Stats

Key Stats 

Let's quickly run through how I built my model.

Weighted Team Tee-To-Green (40%)

Weighted Team Putting (12.5%)

Team Pete Dye (10%)

Team TPC (12.5%)

Weighted Team Birdie or Better (25%)

I will dive deeper into what went into these totals later in the week on my podcast. If you aren't doing so already, you can follow Bettor Golf Podcast on Twitter.

Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings (PGA DFS)

We have tons of great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.

High-Priced DraftKings DFS Players 

***There are five players priced above $10,000. Please remember that my DFS article is always a first look at the field. Opinions might shift as the week goes on, and I am more than happy to discuss anyone further on Twitter.

For a volatile event, we have a very standard top-of-the-board with pricing. Schauffele/Cantlay grabbed the number one slot at $11,100. As you might expect, my model couldn't find much that it disliked with the duo. Their first-place grade in weighted tee-to-green and weighted birdie or better will go a long way.

Homa/Morikawa also possessed some high-end qualities, grading first in this field for weighted proximity. It will be interesting to see how the two combine to overcome some of their weaknesses, but that good versus bad merger of qualities can sometimes pay dividends.

And then, we have the tandems of Im/Mitchell and Theegala/Suh. I am not necessarily sure how much exposure I want to take on for this event, but it is hard to ignore one of only three teams that graded inside the top 15 for off-the-tee, approach, around-the-green and putting for their "team total." For reference sake, the other two were Cantlay/Schauffele and Kitayama/Montgomery.

Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA subscription? Like what you read today? You can show your support for Spencer by using the discount code TEEOFF when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry.

End of the Season Totals: @rotoballer @BettorGolfPod

2017 +54.26 Units
2018 +55.88 Units
2019 +27.743 Units
2020 + 37.015 Units
2021 + 68.846 Units
2022 +67.485 Units

Total Winnings: +311.229 Units

Total Outright Wins Since 2017: 36

H2H Totals Inside Thread… https://t.co/pNQrSK1rFE

— Spencer Aguiar (@TeeOffSports) December 12, 2022

Mid-Priced DraftKings DFS Players

$9,000 Range

Kurt Kitayama/Taylor Montgomery $9,100

The current form lowered the rank for Kitayama/Montgomery marginally, but how could I call myself an alumnus of UNLV and not take the two when trying to construct a lineup? Kitayama/Montgomery incorporate a highly intriguing skillset combination that could allow Kitayama to use his proximity and Montgomery to use his putter, making them a real threat to take home this title.

Mid-Priced DraftKings DFS Players

$8,000 Range 

I tend to think there is a lot of value in this $8,000 section. Teams like McCarthy/Dahmen, Hoge/English, Moore/NeSmith, Hardy/Riley, Hadwin/Taylor and Kizzire/Todd all look to be in play.

Low-Priced DraftKings DFS Players To Consider ($7,000+)

Akshay Bhatia/Harry Hall $7,600

Similar to my answer for Kitayama/Montgomery, Bhatia/Hall can generate that same proximity (Bhatia) and putting combination (Hall). The metrics are volatile for the pair, but they might be able to go wild in four-ball play because of their fourth-place rank in weighted team birdie or better percentage.

Sub-$6,000 Options To Consider

I don't think we need to go down there if we don't have to this week. There are a few top 40 options in my model, but the list gets shaky fast.

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If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod I’ve been telling y’all it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the ❤️ pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU

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